Derby County vs Stoke City: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 03 May

Derby County

D D L W W

19th place in England Championship

0-0

03/05/2025 07:30

Stoke City

D W W L L

18th place in England Championship

England Championship

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Derby County vs Stoke City on 03 May 2025 (kick-off: 07:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Derby County vs Stoke City preview before placing your bet.

Derby County are currently 19th with 50 points after 46 matches.
Stoke City sit 18th with 51 points from 46 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Derby County to win with probability 45%.
Head-to-head history favors Derby County, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Stoke City have 2 wins, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

07:30

2025-05-03

Derby County vs Stoke City - Prediction & Odds

Derby County

Stoke City

2025-05-03 07:30

STANDINGS UP TO 03/05/2025

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Leeds United	100	46	29	13	4	95	30	65
02 Burnley	100	46	28	16	2	69	16	53
03 Sheffield United	90	46	28	8	10	63	36	27
04 Sunderland A.F.C	76	46	21	13	12	58	44	14
05 Coventry City	69	46	20	9	17	64	58	6
06 Bristol City	68	46	17	17	12	59	55	4
07 Blackburn Rovers	66	46	19	9	18	53	48	5
08 Millwall	66	46	18	12	16	47	49	-2
09 West Bromwich(WBA)	64	46	15	19	12	57	47	10
10 Middlesbrough	64	46	18	10	18	64	56	8
11 Swansea City	61	46	17	10	19	51	56	-5
12 Sheffield Wednesday	58	46	15	13	18	60	69	-9
13 Norwich City	57	46	14	15	17	71	68	3
14 Watford	57	46	16	9	21	53	61	-8
15 Queens Park Rangers (QPR)	56	46	14	14	18	53	63	-10
16 Portsmouth	54	46	14	12	20	58	71	-13
17 Oxford United	53	46	13	14	19	49	65	-16
18 Stoke City	51	46	12	15	19	45	62	-17
19 Derby County	50	46	13	11	22	48	56	-8
20 Preston North End	50	46	10	20	16	48	59	-11
21 Hull City	49	46	12	13	21	44	54	-10
22 Luton Town	49	46	13	10	23	45	69	-24
23 Plymouth Argyle	46	46	11	13	22	51	88	-37
24 Cardiff City	44	46	9	17	20	48	73	-25

Head To Head

02/11/2024 08:30

Stoke City

2 - 1

Derby County

ENG LCH

22/07/2023 10:00

Derby County

3 - 0

Stoke City

INT CF

30/12/2021 15:45

Stoke City

1 - 2

Derby County

ENG LCH

18/09/2021 10:00

Derby County

2 - 1

Stoke City

ENG LCH

20/03/2021 11:00

Stoke City

1 - 0

Derby County

ENG LCH

12/12/2020 11:00

Derby County

0 - 0

Stoke City

ENG LCH

Derby County

50%

Draw

17%

Stoke City

33%

Derby County Last 6 matches

26/04/2025 10:00

Hull City 0 - 1 Derby County ENG LCH

21/04/2025 10:00

West Bromwich(WBA) 1 - 3 Derby County ENG LCH

18/04/2025 07:30

Derby County 0 - 1 Luton Town ENG LCH

12/04/2025 10:00

Portsmouth 2 - 2 Derby County ENG LCH

08/04/2025 14:45

Derby County 0 - 0 Burnley ENG LCH

05/04/2025 10:00

Swansea City 1 - 0 Derby County ENG LCH

Win

33%

Draw

33%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Stoke City

25/04/2025 15:00

Stoke City 0 - 2 Sheffield United ENG LCH

21/04/2025 10:00

Leeds United 6 - 0 Stoke City ENG LCH

18/04/2025 10:00

Stoke City 2 - 0 Sheffield Wednesday ENG LCH

12/04/2025 10:00

Cardiff City 0 - 1 Stoke City ENG LCH

08/04/2025 14:45

Stoke City 1 - 1 Luton Town ENG LCH

05/04/2025 10:00

Preston North End 1 - 1 Stoke City ENG LCH

Win

33%

Draw

33%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues England Championship

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

225

Avg. per game

0.75

Conceded

206

Avg. per game

0.69

Scored

185

Avg. per game

0.62

Conceded

205

Avg. per game

0.68

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

161 (54%)139 (46%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

140 (47%)160 (53%)

Derby County

Recent matches

Stoke City

Under /Over

(78%)35 10(22%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(69%)31 14(31%)

Under /Over

(31%)14 31(69%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(24%)11 34(76%)

Under /Over

(51%)23 22(49%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

/Yes

(64%)29 16(36%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(44%)20 25(56%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Derby County

Stoke City

Shots

Derby County

Total shots

11.41 avg / game

Blocked

826 total

Avg. 3.49

Stoke City

Total shots

11.68 avg / game

Blocked

824 total

Avg. 3.48

Derby County Pass Stoke City

Total passes

100064

Avg. 382 / game

Accurate

72%

Ball possession

49%

Total passes

109081

Avg. 413 / game

Accurate

76%

Ball possession

51%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Derby County

300

Played games

Stoke City

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.32

Clean sheets

0.31

5.08

1523

Corners

1583

5.28

21.08

6324

Throw-ins

6140

20.47

1.84

553

Offsides

537

1.79

2.27

682

GK saves

694

2.31

Derby County

DISCIPLINARY

Stoke City

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.76

528

562

1.87

0.05

0.05

9.91

2974

Fouls

3118

10.39

12.17

3651

Tackles

3683

12.28

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Derby County vs Stoke City Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Derby County vs Stoke City on 03 May 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this England Championship fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Derby County vs Stoke City Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Derby County's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Stoke City's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

England Championship Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live England Championship standings and the England Championship form table to understand exactly where Derby County and Stoke City sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our England Championship predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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