Derby County vs Morecambe Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – February 04

Derby County

D D W W D

7th place in England League 1

5 - 0

04/02/2023 11:00

Morecambe

L D W W W

22nd place in England League 1

England League 1

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Derby County vs Morecambe on February 04, 2023 (kick-off: 11:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Derby County vs Morecambe preview before placing for you.

Derby County are currently 7th with 76 points after 46 matches.
Morecambe sit 22nd with 44 points from 46 matches.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

STANDINGS UP TO 04/02/2023

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Plymouth Argyle	101	46	31	8	7	82	47	35
02 Ipswich Town	98	46	28	14	4	101	35	66
03 Sheffield Wednesday	96	46	28	12	6	81	37	44
04 Barnsley	86	46	26	8	12	80	47	33
05 Bolton Wanderers	81	46	23	12	11	62	36	26
06 Peterborough United	77	46	24	5	17	75	54	21
07 Derby County	76	46	21	13	12	67	46	21
08 Portsmouth	70	46	17	19	10	61	50	11
09 Wycombe Wanderers	69	46	20	9	17	59	51	8
10 Charlton Athletic	62	46	16	14	16	70	66	4
11 Lincoln City	62	46	14	20	12	47	47	0
12 Shrewsbury Town	59	46	17	8	21	52	61	-9
13 Fleetwood Town	58	46	14	16	16	53	51	2
14 Exeter City	56	46	15	11	20	64	68	-4
15 Burton Albion	56	46	15	11	20	57	79	-22
16 Cheltenham Town	54	46	14	12	20	45	61	-16
17 Bristol Rovers	53	46	14	11	21	58	73	-15
18 Port Vale	49	46	13	10	23	48	71	-23
19 Oxford United	47	46	11	14	21	49	56	-7
20 Cambridge United	46	46	13	7	26	41	68	-27
21 Milton Keynes Dons	45	46	11	12	23	44	66	-22
22 Morecambe	44	46	10	14	22	47	78	-31
23 Accrington Stanley	44	46	11	11	24	40	77	-37
24 Forest Green Rovers	27	46	6	9	31	31	89	-58

Derby County Last 6 matches

05/08/2026 01:30

Rotherham United 1 - 1 Derby County International Club Friendly

01/08/2026 21:00

Burton Albion 1 - 0 Derby County International Club Friendly

01/08/2026 01:00

Mansfield Town 1 - 3 Derby County International Club Friendly

28/07/2026 21:00

Derby County 1 - 2 Valencia International Club Friendly

24/07/2026 21:00

SC Freiburg 3 - 1 Derby County International Club Friendly

18/07/2026 01:00

Alfreton Town 0 - 2 Derby County International Club Friendly

Win

33%

Draw

17%

Lost

50%

Last 6 matches Morecambe

01/08/2026 21:00

Morecambe 0 - 1 Barrow International Club Friendly

29/07/2026 01:00

Morecambe 1 - 1 AFC Fylde International Club Friendly

18/07/2026 21:00

Bamber Bridge 0 - 3 Morecambe International Club Friendly

25/04/2026 18:30

Forest Green Rovers 5 - 0 Morecambe England Conference

18/04/2026 21:00

Morecambe 0 - 3 Boreham Wood England Conference

11/04/2026 21:00

Woking 5 - 1 Morecambe England Conference

Win

17%

Draw

17%

Lost

67%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues England League 1

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

185

Avg. per game

0.62

Conceded

140

Avg. per game

0.47

Scored

172

Avg. per game

0.57

Conceded

231

Avg. per game

0.77

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

141 (47%)159 (53%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

128 (43%)172 (57%)

Derby County

Recent matches

Morecambe

Under /Over

(78%)35 10(22%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(87%)39 6(13%)

Under /Over

(31%)14 31(69%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(44%)20 25(56%)

Under /Over

(51%)23 22(49%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(62%)28 17(38%)

/Yes

(64%)29 16(36%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(53%)24 21(47%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Derby County

Morecambe

Shots

Derby County

Total shots

11.38 avg / game

Blocked

821 total

Avg. 3.48

Morecambe

Total shots

10.08 avg / game

Blocked

551 total

Avg. 3.06

Derby County Pass Morecambe

Total passes

99723

Avg. 382 / game

Accurate

72%

Ball possession

49%

Total passes

66877

Avg. 308 / game

Accurate

65%

Ball possession

44%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Derby County

300

Played games

Morecambe

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.32

Clean sheets

0.17

5.07

1520

Corners

1275

4.25

21.02

6305

Throw-ins

4851

16.17

1.83

550

Offsides

318

1.06

2.27

680

GK saves

738

2.46

Derby County

DISCIPLINARY

Morecambe

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.77

530

541

1.80

0.05

0.07

9.88

2964

Fouls

2418

8.06

12.14

3641

Tackles

3367

11.22

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Derby County vs Morecambe Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Derby County vs Morecambe on 04 February 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this England League 1 fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Derby County vs Morecambe Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Derby County's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Morecambe's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

England League 1 Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live England League 1 standings and the England League 1 form table to understand exactly where Derby County and Morecambe sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our England League 1 predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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