Derby County vs Millwall: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 10 December

Derby County

W L W L W

8th place in England Championship

1-1

10/12/2025 15:45

Millwall

L D W W D

3rd place in England Championship

England Championship

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Derby County vs Millwall on 10 December 2025 (kick-off: 15:45) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Derby County vs Millwall preview before placing your bet.

Derby County are currently 8th with 69 points after 46 matches.
Millwall sit 3rd with 83 points from 46 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: a draw with probability 31%.
Head-to-head history favors Millwall, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Derby County have one win, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

15:45

2025-12-10

Derby County vs Millwall - Prediction & Odds

Derby County

Millwall

2025-12-10 15:45

STANDINGS UP TO 10/12/2025

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Coventry City	95	46	28	11	7	97	45	52
02 Ipswich Town	84	46	23	15	8	80	47	33
03 Millwall	83	46	24	11	11	64	49	15
04 Southampton	80	46	22	14	10	82	56	26
05 Middlesbrough	80	46	22	14	10	72	47	25
06 Hull City	73	46	21	10	15	70	66	4
07 Wrexham	71	46	19	14	13	69	65	4
08 Derby County	69	46	20	9	17	67	59	8
09 Norwich City	65	46	19	8	19	63	56	7
10 Birmingham City	64	46	17	13	16	57	56	1
11 Swansea City	64	46	18	10	18	57	59	-2
12 Bristol City	62	46	17	11	18	59	59	0
13 Sheffield United	60	46	18	6	22	66	66	0
14 Preston North End	60	46	15	15	16	55	62	-7
15 Queens Park Rangers (QPR)	58	46	16	10	20	61	73	-12
16 Watford	57	46	14	15	17	53	65	-12
17 Stoke City	55	46	15	10	21	51	56	-5
18 Portsmouth	55	46	14	13	19	49	64	-15
19 Charlton Athletic	53	46	13	14	19	44	58	-14
20 Blackburn Rovers	52	46	13	13	20	42	56	-14
21 West Bromwich(WBA)	51	46	13	14	19	48	58	-10
22 Oxford United	47	46	11	14	21	45	59	-14
23 Leicester City	46	46	12	16	18	58	68	-10
24 Sheffield Wednesday	0	46	2	12	32	29	89	-60

Head To Head

22/02/2025 08:30

Derby County

0 - 1

Millwall

ENG LCH

19/10/2024 10:00

Millwall

1 - 1

Derby County

ENG LCH

23/02/2022 15:45

Derby County

1 - 2

Millwall

ENG LCH

06/11/2021 11:00

Millwall

1 - 1

Derby County

ENG LCH

13/03/2021 11:00

Derby County

0 - 1

Millwall

ENG LCH

05/12/2020 11:00

Millwall

0 - 1

Derby County

ENG LCH

Derby County

17%

Draw

33%

Millwall

50%

Derby County Last 6 matches

06/12/2025 08:30

Derby County 1 - 3 Leicester City ENG LCH

29/11/2025 11:00

Middlesbrough 2 - 1 Derby County ENG LCH

25/11/2025 15:45

Swansea City 1 - 2 Derby County ENG LCH

22/11/2025 11:00

Derby County 2 - 3 Watford ENG LCH

08/11/2025 08:30

Blackburn Rovers 1 - 2 Derby County ENG LCH

04/11/2025 15:45

Derby County 2 - 1 Hull City ENG LCH

Win

50%

Draw

Lost

50%

Last 6 matches Millwall

06/12/2025 11:00

Bristol City 0 - 1 Millwall ENG LCH

29/11/2025 11:00

Millwall 3 - 2 Southampton ENG LCH

26/11/2025 15:45

Millwall 1 - 0 Sheffield Wednesday ENG LCH

22/11/2025 11:00

Portsmouth 3 - 1 Millwall ENG LCH

08/11/2025 08:30

Millwall 1 - 1 Preston North End ENG LCH

04/11/2025 15:45

Birmingham City 4 - 0 Millwall ENG LCH

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues England Championship

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

183

Avg. per game

0.61

Conceded

141

Avg. per game

0.47

Scored

158

Avg. per game

0.53

Conceded

137

Avg. per game

0.46

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

1 (17%)5 (83%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

139 (46%)161 (54%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

127 (42%)173 (58%)

Derby County

Recent matches

Millwall

Under /Over

(78%)35 10(22%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(78%)35 10(22%)

Under /Over

(29%)13 32(71%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(31%)14 31(69%)

Under /Over

(51%)23 22(49%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

/Yes

(64%)29 16(36%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(53%)24 21(47%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Derby County

Millwall

Shots

Derby County

Total shots

11.42 avg / game

Blocked

831 total

Avg. 3.48

Millwall

Total shots

11.68 avg / game

Blocked

795 total

Avg. 3.33

Derby County Pass Millwall

Total passes

100963

Avg. 382 / game

Accurate

72%

Ball possession

49%

Total passes

92143

Avg. 350 / game

Accurate

70%

Ball possession

45%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Derby County

300

Played games

Millwall

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.32

Clean sheets

103

0.34

5.08

1524

Corners

1420

4.73

21.28

6384

Throw-ins

6288

20.96

1.87

562

Offsides

539

1.80

2.28

684

GK saves

677

2.26

Derby County

DISCIPLINARY

Millwall

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.76

527

497

1.66

0.05

0.04

9.97

2991

Fouls

3292

10.97

12.24

3673

Tackles

4240

14.13

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

Queens Park Rangers (QPR)

How We Build the Derby County vs Millwall Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Derby County vs Millwall on 10 December 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this England Championship fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Derby County vs Millwall Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Derby County's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Millwall's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

England Championship Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live England Championship standings and the England Championship form table to understand exactly where Derby County and Millwall sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our England Championship predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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