Derby County vs Millwall: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 22 February

Derby County

D D L W W

19th place in England Championship

0-1

22/02/2025 08:30

Millwall

W W L W W

8th place in England Championship

England Championship

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Derby County vs Millwall on 22 February 2025 (kick-off: 08:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Derby County vs Millwall preview before placing your bet.

Derby County are currently 19th with 50 points after 46 matches.
Millwall sit 8th with 66 points from 46 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Derby County to win with probability 40%.
Head-to-head history is evenly balanced: Derby County and Millwall have each won 2 of the last 6 meetings, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

08:30

2025-02-22

Derby County vs Millwall - Prediction & Odds

Derby County

Millwall

2025-02-22 08:30

STANDINGS UP TO 22/02/2025

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Leeds United	100	46	29	13	4	95	30	65
02 Burnley	100	46	28	16	2	69	16	53
03 Sheffield United	90	46	28	8	10	63	36	27
04 Sunderland A.F.C	76	46	21	13	12	58	44	14
05 Coventry City	69	46	20	9	17	64	58	6
06 Bristol City	68	46	17	17	12	59	55	4
07 Blackburn Rovers	66	46	19	9	18	53	48	5
08 Millwall	66	46	18	12	16	47	49	-2
09 West Bromwich(WBA)	64	46	15	19	12	57	47	10
10 Middlesbrough	64	46	18	10	18	64	56	8
11 Swansea City	61	46	17	10	19	51	56	-5
12 Sheffield Wednesday	58	46	15	13	18	60	69	-9
13 Norwich City	57	46	14	15	17	71	68	3
14 Watford	57	46	16	9	21	53	61	-8
15 Queens Park Rangers (QPR)	56	46	14	14	18	53	63	-10
16 Portsmouth	54	46	14	12	20	58	71	-13
17 Oxford United	53	46	13	14	19	49	65	-16
18 Stoke City	51	46	12	15	19	45	62	-17
19 Derby County	50	46	13	11	22	48	56	-8
20 Preston North End	50	46	10	20	16	48	59	-11
21 Hull City	49	46	12	13	21	44	54	-10
22 Luton Town	49	46	13	10	23	45	69	-24
23 Plymouth Argyle	46	46	11	13	22	51	88	-37
24 Cardiff City	44	46	9	17	20	48	73	-25

Head To Head

19/10/2024 10:00

Millwall

1 - 1

Derby County

ENG LCH

23/02/2022 15:45

Derby County

1 - 2

Millwall

ENG LCH

06/11/2021 11:00

Millwall

1 - 1

Derby County

ENG LCH

13/03/2021 11:00

Derby County

0 - 1

Millwall

ENG LCH

05/12/2020 11:00

Millwall

0 - 1

Derby County

ENG LCH

20/06/2020 08:00

Millwall

2 - 3

Derby County

ENG LCH

Derby County

33%

Draw

33%

Millwall

33%

Derby County Last 6 matches

14/02/2025 16:00

Queens Park Rangers (QPR) 4 - 0 Derby County ENG LCH

11/02/2025 15:45

Derby County 0 - 0 Oxford United ENG LCH

08/02/2025 11:00

Norwich City 1 - 1 Derby County ENG LCH

01/02/2025 11:00

Derby County 0 - 1 Sheffield United ENG LCH

25/01/2025 11:00

Cardiff City 2 - 1 Derby County ENG LCH

21/01/2025 15:45

Derby County 0 - 1 Sunderland A.F.C ENG LCH

Win

Draw

33%

Lost

67%

Last 6 matches Millwall

18/02/2025 15:45

Preston North End 1 - 1 Millwall ENG LCH

15/02/2025 11:10

Millwall 1 - 1 West Bromwich(WBA) ENG LCH

12/02/2025 15:45

Plymouth Argyle 5 - 1 Millwall ENG LCH

08/02/2025 08:15

Leeds United 0 - 2 Millwall ENG FAC

01/02/2025 11:00

Millwall 2 - 1 Queens Park Rangers (QPR) ENG LCH

28/01/2025 15:45

Portsmouth 0 - 1 Millwall ENG LCH

Win

50%

Draw

33%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues England Championship

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

183

Avg. per game

0.61

Conceded

141

Avg. per game

0.47

Scored

158

Avg. per game

0.53

Conceded

137

Avg. per game

0.46

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

1 (17%)5 (83%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

139 (46%)161 (54%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

127 (42%)173 (58%)

Derby County

Recent matches

Millwall

Under /Over

(78%)35 10(22%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(78%)35 10(22%)

Under /Over

(29%)13 32(71%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(31%)14 31(69%)

Under /Over

(51%)23 22(49%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

/Yes

(64%)29 16(36%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(53%)24 21(47%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Derby County

Millwall

Shots

Derby County

Total shots

11.42 avg / game

Blocked

831 total

Avg. 3.48

Millwall

Total shots

11.68 avg / game

Blocked

795 total

Avg. 3.33

Derby County Pass Millwall

Total passes

100963

Avg. 382 / game

Accurate

72%

Ball possession

49%

Total passes

92143

Avg. 350 / game

Accurate

70%

Ball possession

45%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Derby County

300

Played games

Millwall

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.32

Clean sheets

103

0.34

5.08

1524

Corners

1420

4.73

21.28

6384

Throw-ins

6288

20.96

1.87

562

Offsides

539

1.80

2.28

684

GK saves

677

2.26

Derby County

DISCIPLINARY

Millwall

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.76

527

497

1.66

0.05

0.04

9.97

2991

Fouls

3292

10.97

12.24

3673

Tackles

4240

14.13

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

Queens Park Rangers (QPR)

How We Build the Derby County vs Millwall Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Derby County vs Millwall on 22 February 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this England Championship fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Derby County vs Millwall Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Derby County's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Millwall's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

England Championship Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live England Championship standings and the England Championship form table to understand exactly where Derby County and Millwall sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our England Championship predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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