Derby County vs Crewe Alexandra: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 14 November

Derby County

W W D W L

No standing data

1-3

14/11/2023 15:45

Crewe Alexandra

W D W L W

No standing data

England FA Cup

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Derby County vs Crewe Alexandra on 14 November 2023 (kick-off: 15:45) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Derby County vs Crewe Alexandra preview before placing your bet.

Our algorithm prediction: Derby County to win with probability 69%.
Head-to-head history favors Crewe Alexandra, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Derby County have one win, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

15:45

2023-11-14

Derby County vs Crewe Alexandra - Prediction & Odds

Derby County

Crewe Alexandra

2023-11-14 15:45

STANDINGS UP TO 14/11/2023

The standings compare the rankings (Rank-XH) of Derby County and Crewe Alexandra in the England FA Cup football standings for the 2023-2024 season, updated before kickoff and immediately after the match ends.

Head To Head

05/11/2023 10:45

Crewe Alexandra

2 - 2

Derby County

ENG FAC

26/07/2011 14:30

Crewe Alexandra

2 - 1

Derby County

INT CF

10/08/2010 14:45

Crewe Alexandra

1 - 0

Derby County

ENG LC

01/08/2007 14:45

Crewe Alexandra

2 - 0

Derby County

INT CF

14/01/2006 11:00

Derby County

5 - 1

Crewe Alexandra

ENG LCH

11/09/2005 08:30

Crewe Alexandra

1 - 1

Derby County

ENG LCH

Derby County

17%

Draw

33%

Crewe Alexandra

50%

Derby County Last 6 matches

11/11/2023 11:00

Derby County 3 - 0 Barnsley ENG L1

08/11/2023 15:00

Derby County 4 - 1 Wolverhampton U21 ENG JPT

05/11/2023 10:45

Crewe Alexandra 2 - 2 Derby County ENG FAC

31/10/2023 15:45

Derby County 4 - 0 Northampton Town ENG L1

28/10/2023 10:00

Stevenage Borough 3 - 1 Derby County ENG L1

24/10/2023 14:45

Derby County 2 - 0 Exeter City ENG L1

Win

67%

Draw

17%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Crewe Alexandra

11/11/2023 11:00

Crewe Alexandra 1 - 0 Notts County ENG L2

05/11/2023 10:45

Crewe Alexandra 2 - 2 Derby County ENG FAC

28/10/2023 10:00

Harrogate Town 0 - 1 Crewe Alexandra ENG L2

24/10/2023 14:45

Crewe Alexandra 0 - 2 Stockport County ENG L2

21/10/2023 10:00

Crawley Town 2 - 4 Crewe Alexandra ENG L2

14/10/2023 10:00

Crewe Alexandra 2 - 0 Tranmere Rovers ENG L2

Win

67%

Draw

17%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues England FA Cup

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

225

Avg. per game

0.75

Conceded

206

Avg. per game

0.69

Scored

217

Avg. per game

0.72

Conceded

217

Avg. per game

0.72

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

161 (54%)139 (46%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

151 (50%)149 (50%)

Derby County

Recent matches

Crewe Alexandra

Under /Over

(78%)35 10(22%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(76%)34 11(24%)

Under /Over

(31%)14 31(69%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

Under /Over

(51%)23 22(49%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(47%)21 24(53%)

/Yes

(64%)29 16(36%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(60%)27 18(40%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Derby County

Crewe Alexandra

Shots

Derby County

Total shots

11.41 avg / game

Blocked

826 total

Avg. 3.49

Crewe Alexandra

Total shots

10.61 avg / game

Blocked

674 total

Avg. 3.16

Derby County Pass Crewe Alexandra

Total passes

100064

Avg. 382 / game

Accurate

72%

Ball possession

49%

Total passes

96539

Avg. 373 / game

Accurate

70%

Ball possession

50%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Derby County

300

Played games

Crewe Alexandra

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.32

Clean sheets

0.26

5.08

1523

Corners

1323

4.41

21.08

6324

Throw-ins

6052

20.17

1.84

553

Offsides

529

1.76

2.27

682

GK saves

788

2.63

Derby County

DISCIPLINARY

Crewe Alexandra

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.76

528

507

1.69

0.05

0.07

9.91

2974

Fouls

2878

9.59

12.17

3651

Tackles

3557

11.86

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Derby County vs Crewe Alexandra Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Derby County vs Crewe Alexandra on 14 November 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this England FA Cup fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Derby County vs Crewe Alexandra Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Derby County's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Crewe Alexandra's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

England FA Cup Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live England FA Cup standings and the England FA Cup form table to understand exactly where Derby County and Crewe Alexandra sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our England FA Cup predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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