Dep.Independiente Medellin vs Fortaleza F.C: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 11 May

Dep.Independiente Medellin

1st place in Colombia Copa Cup

1-0

Dep.Independiente Medellin
Win Probability 57%

11/05/2026 17:00

Fortaleza F.C

2nd place in Colombia Copa Cup

Colombia Copa Cup

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Dep.Independiente Medellin vs Fortaleza F.C on 11 May 2026 (kick-off: 17:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Dep.Independiente Medellin vs Fortaleza F.C preview before placing your bet.

Dep.Independiente Medellin will face Fortaleza F.C in Colombia Copa Cup on May 11, 2026 at 17:00.
Dep.Independiente Medellin are currently 1st with 8 points after 4 matches.
Fortaleza F.C sit 2nd with 5 points from 4 matches.
Current model prediction leans green with a projected score of 2 - 1 and average coefficient 1.60.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

17:00

2026-05-11

Dep.Independiente Medellin vs Fortaleza F.C - Prediction & Odds

Dep.Independiente Medellin

Fortaleza F.C

2026-05-11 17:00

STANDINGS UP TO 11/05/2026

Group C	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Dep.Independiente Medellin	8	4	2	2	0	5	3	2
02 Fortaleza F.C	5	4	1	2	1	5	3	2
03 Leones	5	4	1	2	1	4	5	-1
04 Cucuta	3	4	0	3	1	2	3	-1
05 Orsomarso	3	4	0	3	1	3	5	-2

Head To Head

25/04/2026 21:30

Dep.Independiente Medellin

1 - 0

Fortaleza F.C

COL D1

17/10/2025 19:30

Dep.Independiente Medellin

3 - 1

Fortaleza F.C

COL D1

03/09/2025 20:30

Dep.Independiente Medellin

2 - 1

Fortaleza F.C

COL Cup

27/08/2025 16:00

Fortaleza F.C

0 - 0

Dep.Independiente Medellin

COL Cup

27/04/2025 17:10

Fortaleza F.C

0 - 0

Dep.Independiente Medellin

COL D1

26/08/2024 21:00

Fortaleza F.C

2 - 2

Dep.Independiente Medellin

COL D1

Dep.Independiente Medellin

50%

Draw

50%

Fortaleza F.C

Dep.Independiente Medellin Last 6 matches

03/05/2026 16:30

Dep.Independiente Medellin 1 - 2 Aguilas Doradas

COL D1

30/04/2026 22:00

Dep.Independiente Medellin 1 - 0 Cusco FC

CON CLA

25/04/2026 21:30

Dep.Independiente Medellin 1 - 0 Fortaleza F.C

COL D1

22/04/2026 19:20

Dep.Independiente Medellin 2 - 0 Boyaca Chico

COL D1

19/04/2026 17:10

Alianza Petrolera 0 - 1 Dep.Independiente Medellin

COL D1

16/04/2026 20:30

Flamengo 4 - 1 Dep.Independiente Medellin

CON CLA

Win

67%

Draw

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Fortaleza F.C

08/05/2026 16:00

Fortaleza F.C 4 - 1 Leones

COL Cup

03/05/2026 16:30

Fortaleza F.C 2 - 1 Atletico Bucaramanga

COL D1

25/04/2026 21:30

Dep.Independiente Medellin 1 - 0 Fortaleza F.C

COL D1

22/04/2026 21:30

Fortaleza F.C 1 - 2 America de Cali

COL D1

18/04/2026 21:30

Fortaleza F.C 2 - 0 Aguilas Doradas

COL D1

03/04/2026 19:20

Fortaleza F.C 1 - 1 Internacional de Bogota

COL D1

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Colombia Copa Cup

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Dep.Independiente Medellin

Fortaleza F.C

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.83

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.63

Scored

Avg. per game

0.74

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.65

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 35 matches

YesNo

21 (60%)14 (40%)

In last 35 matches

NoYes

16 (70%)7 (30%)

Dep.Independiente Medellin

Recent matches

Fortaleza F.C

Under /Over

(77%)27 8(23%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(78%)18 5(22%)

Under /Over

(34%)12 23(66%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(26%)6 17(74%)

Under /Over

(40%)14 21(60%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(35%)8 15(65%)

/Yes

(69%)24 11(31%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(70%)16 7(30%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Dep.Independiente Medellin

Fortaleza F.C

Shots

Dep.Independiente Medellin

Total shots

11.28 avg / game

Blocked

71 total

Avg. 2.73

Fortaleza F.C

Total shots

10.43 avg / game

Blocked

45 total

Avg. 2.37

Dep.Independiente Medellin Pass Fortaleza F.C

Total passes

8304

Avg. 286 / game

Accurate

79%

Ball possession

52%

Total passes

6623

Avg. 349 / game

Accurate

83%

Ball possession

55%

TOTAL ATTACKS

Dep.Independiente Medellin

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

Dep.Independiente Medellin

OTHERS

Dep.Independiente Medellin

Played games

Fortaleza F.C

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.23

Clean sheets

0.17

4.37

153

Corners

3.96

11.83

414

Throw-ins

295

12.83

0.83

Offsides

1.17

1.80

GK saves

1.74

Dep.Independiente Medellin

DISCIPLINARY

Fortaleza F.C

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.06

2.04

0.17

0.17

8.66

303

Fouls

187

8.13

6.34

222

Tackles

100

4.35

NEXT MATCHES

07/22

Dep.Independiente Medellin

Vasco da Gama

CON

07/25

Dep.Independiente Medellin

Dep.Independiente Medellin

CON

08/01

Dep.Independiente Medellin

Dep.Independiente Medellin

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Dep.Independiente Medellin vs Fortaleza F.C Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Dep.Independiente Medellin vs Fortaleza F.C on 11 May 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Colombia Copa Cup fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Dep.Independiente Medellin vs Fortaleza F.C Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Dep.Independiente Medellin's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Fortaleza F.C's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Colombia Copa Cup Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Colombia Copa Cup standings and the Colombia Copa Cup form table to understand exactly where Dep.Independiente Medellin and Fortaleza F.C sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Colombia Copa Cup predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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