Defensor Sporting Montevideo vs Club Atletico Progreso: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 27 April

Defensor Sporting Montevideo

L W D W D

8th place in Apertura

1-0

27/04/2026 22:30

Club Atletico Progreso

L L W L L

15th place in Apertura

Uruguay Primera Division

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Defensor Sporting Montevideo vs Club Atletico Progreso on 27 April 2026 (kick-off: 22:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Defensor Sporting Montevideo vs Club Atletico Progreso preview before placing your bet.

Defensor Sporting Montevideo are currently 8th with 21 points after 15 matches.
Club Atletico Progreso sit 15th with 10 points from 15 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Defensor Sporting Montevideo to win with probability 45%.
Head-to-head history favors Defensor Sporting Montevideo, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Club Atletico Progreso have one win, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

22:30

2026-04-27

Defensor Sporting Montevideo vs Club Atletico Progreso - Prediction & Odds

Defensor Sporting Montevideo

Club Atletico Progreso

2026-04-27 22:30

STANDINGS UP TO 27/04/2026

Apertura	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Racing Club Montevideo	31	15	9	4	2	23	14	9
02 Deportivo Maldonado	29	15	9	2	4	24	16	8
03 Albion FC	28	15	8	4	3	26	16	10
04 CA Penarol	27	15	8	3	4	23	16	7
05 Central Espanol	24	15	7	3	5	23	22	1
06 Montevideo City Torque	23	15	6	5	4	22	16	6
07 Nacional Montevideo	22	15	7	1	7	26	21	5
08 Defensor Sporting Montevideo	21	15	5	6	4	13	11	2
09 Liverpool URU	20	15	5	5	5	20	18	2
10 Wanderers FC	20	15	6	2	7	16	21	-5
11 Danubio FC	18	15	4	6	5	17	21	-4
12 Cerro Largo	17	15	5	2	8	16	19	-3
13 Boston River	17	15	5	2	8	14	20	-6
14 CA Juventud	15	15	4	3	8	17	22	-5
15 Club Atletico Progreso	10	15	2	4	9	12	23	-11
16 Cerro Montevideo	10	15	2	4	9	8	24	-16

Torneo Intermedio Group A	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 CA Penarol	13	6	4	1	1	9	3	6
02 Cerro Largo	11	6	3	2	1	7	2	5
03 Cerro Montevideo	9	6	3	0	3	5	8	-3
04 Liverpool URU	8	6	2	2	2	5	5	0
05 Central Espanol	8	6	2	2	2	4	4	0
06 Racing Club Montevideo	7	6	1	4	1	3	3	0
07 Boston River	5	6	1	2	3	5	9	-4
08 Defensor Sporting Montevideo	3	6	0	3	3	4	8	-4

Torneo Intermedio Group B	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Wanderers FC	12	6	3	3	0	10	4	6
02 Montevideo City Torque	12	6	4	0	2	11	9	2
03 Deportivo Maldonado	11	6	3	2	1	12	6	6
04 Nacional Montevideo	10	6	3	1	2	6	7	-1
05 CA Juventud	7	6	2	1	3	8	11	-3
06 Club Atletico Progreso	6	6	2	0	4	5	9	-4
07 Albion FC	5	6	1	2	3	4	6	-2
08 Danubio FC	3	6	0	3	3	3	7	-4
09 Unknown	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10 Unknown	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Head To Head

12/01/2026 00:30

Defensor Sporting Montevideo

0 - 0

Club Atletico Progreso

UCL

19/10/2025 18:30

Club Atletico Progreso

2 - 3

Defensor Sporting Montevideo

URU D1

20/04/2025 22:30

Defensor Sporting Montevideo

1 - 2

Club Atletico Progreso

URU D1

14/11/2024 00:30

Defensor Sporting Montevideo

3 - 0

Club Atletico Progreso

URU D1

15/06/2024 23:00

Defensor Sporting Montevideo

1 - 1

Club Atletico Progreso

URU D1

12/05/2024 18:00

Club Atletico Progreso

1 - 4

Defensor Sporting Montevideo

URU D1

Defensor Sporting Montevideo

50%

Draw

33%

Club Atletico Progreso

17%

Defensor Sporting Montevideo Last 6 matches

18/04/2026 19:00

Racing Club Montevideo 1 - 1 Defensor Sporting Montevideo URU D1

11/04/2026 18:30

Defensor Sporting Montevideo 2 - 0 Boston River URU D1

05/04/2026 18:25

Cerro Montevideo 1 - 0 Defensor Sporting Montevideo URU D1

31/03/2026 21:55

Defensor Sporting Montevideo 1 - 1 Albion FC URU D1

26/03/2026 19:00

Danubio FC 0 - 0 Defensor Sporting Montevideo URU D1

21/03/2026 00:30

Defensor Sporting Montevideo 2 - 1 Nacional Montevideo URU D1

Win

33%

Draw

50%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Club Atletico Progreso

18/04/2026 16:00

Club Atletico Progreso 2 - 1 Wanderers FC URU D1

12/04/2026 18:30

CA Juventud 1 - 0 Club Atletico Progreso URU D1

04/04/2026 21:55

Club Atletico Progreso 0 - 2 CA Penarol URU D1

31/03/2026 13:55

Club Atletico Progreso 3 - 3 Liverpool URU URU D1

26/03/2026 16:00

Racing Club Montevideo 1 - 1 Club Atletico Progreso URU D1

22/03/2026 19:00

Club Atletico Progreso 0 - 1 Boston River URU D1

Win

17%

Draw

33%

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Uruguay Primera Divisi...

Played games

Defensor Sporting Montevideo

137

Club Atletico Progreso

110

Goals

Scored

187

Avg. per game

1.36

Conceded

152

Avg. per game

1.11

Scored

132

Avg. per game

1.20

Conceded

150

Avg. per game

1.36

Scored a goal

In last 6 home matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 home matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 137 home matches

YesNo

103 (75%)34 (25%)

In last 137 home matches

NoYes

73 (66%)37 (34%)

Defensor Sporting Montevideo

Recent matches

Club Atletico Progreso

Under /Over

(71%)32 13(29%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(64%)29 16(36%)

Under /Over

(27%)12 33(73%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(31%)14 31(69%)

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

/Yes

(49%)22 23(51%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(42%)19 26(58%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Defensor Sporting Montevideo

Club Atletico Progreso

Shots

Defensor Sporting Montevideo

Total shots

9.35 avg / game

Blocked

12 total

Avg. 4.00

Club Atletico Progreso

Total shots

8.94 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Defensor Sporting Montevideo Pass Club Atletico Progreso

Total passes

1236

Avg. 412 / game

Accurate

73%

Ball possession

53%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

50%

TOTAL ATTACKS

Defensor Sporting Montevideo

12875

Avg. 93.98 / game

Club Atletico Progreso

11437

Avg. 103.97 / game

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

Defensor Sporting Montevideo

8189

Avg. 59.77 / game

Club Atletico Progreso

7549

Avg. 68.63 / game

OTHERS

Defensor Sporting Montevideo

137

Played games

Club Atletico Progreso

110

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.34

Clean sheets

0.28

4.52

619

Corners

580

5.27

0.22

Throw-ins

0.00

0.12

Offsides

0.00

1.05

144

GK saves

118

1.07

Defensor Sporting Montevideo

DISCIPLINARY

Club Atletico Progreso

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.31

317

312

2.84

0.13

0.15

0.49

Fouls

0.00

0.39

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

08/03

Defensor Sporting Montevideo

NEXT MATCHES

Club Atletico Progreso

URU

How We Build the Defensor Sporting Montevideo vs Club Atletico Progreso Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Defensor Sporting Montevideo vs Club Atletico Progreso on 27 April 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Uruguay Primera Division fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Defensor Sporting Montevideo vs Club Atletico Progreso Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Defensor Sporting Montevideo's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Club Atletico Progreso's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Uruguay Primera Division Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Uruguay Primera Division standings and the Uruguay Primera Division form table to understand exactly where Defensor Sporting Montevideo and Club Atletico Progreso sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Uruguay Primera Division predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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