Defensor Sporting Montevideo vs Club Atletico Progreso: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 11 January

Defensor Sporting Montevideo

D L L W L

No standing data

0-0

Pen. 3-4

11/01/2026 20:30

Club Atletico Progreso

D L L L W

No standing data

Uruguay Copa de la Liga

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Defensor Sporting Montevideo vs Club Atletico Progreso on 11 January 2026 (kick-off: 20:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Defensor Sporting Montevideo vs Club Atletico Progreso preview before placing your bet.

Our algorithm prediction: Defensor Sporting Montevideo to win with probability 43%.
Head-to-head history favors Defensor Sporting Montevideo, who have won 4 of the last 6 meetings. Club Atletico Progreso have one win, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

20:30

2026-01-11

Defensor Sporting Montevideo vs Club Atletico Progreso - Prediction & Odds

Defensor Sporting Montevideo

Club Atletico Progreso

2026-01-11 20:30

STANDINGS UP TO 11/01/2026

The standings compare the rankings (Rank-XH) of Defensor Sporting Montevideo and Club Atletico Progreso in the Uruguay Copa de la Liga football standings for the 2026 season, updated before kickoff and immediately after the match ends.

Head To Head

19/10/2025 14:30

Club Atletico Progreso

2 - 3

Defensor Sporting Montevideo

URU D1

20/04/2025 18:30

Defensor Sporting Montevideo

1 - 2

Club Atletico Progreso

URU D1

13/11/2024 20:30

Defensor Sporting Montevideo

3 - 0

Club Atletico Progreso

URU D1

15/06/2024 19:00

Defensor Sporting Montevideo

1 - 1

Club Atletico Progreso

URU D1

12/05/2024 14:00

Club Atletico Progreso

1 - 4

Defensor Sporting Montevideo

URU D1

03/11/2022 19:00

Defensor Sporting Montevideo

3 - 1

Club Atletico Progreso

U Cup

Defensor Sporting Montevideo

67%

Draw

17%

Club Atletico Progreso

17%

Defensor Sporting Montevideo Last 6 matches

09/11/2025 15:30

Defensor Sporting Montevideo 1 - 1 Nacional Montevideo URU D1

02/11/2025 18:00

CA Penarol 2 - 1 Defensor Sporting Montevideo URU D1

24/10/2025 18:30

Defensor Sporting Montevideo 0 - 1 Montevideo City Torque URU D1

19/10/2025 14:30

Club Atletico Progreso 2 - 3 Defensor Sporting Montevideo URU D1

15/10/2025 20:00

Defensor Sporting Montevideo 0 - 2 CA Penarol U Cup

11/10/2025 19:30

Cerro Montevideo 1 - 0 Defensor Sporting Montevideo URU D1

Win

17%

Draw

17%

Lost

67%

Last 6 matches Club Atletico Progreso

09/11/2025 15:30

CA Juventud 1 - 1 Club Atletico Progreso URU D1

01/11/2025 09:00

Club Atletico Progreso 0 - 5 Montevideo City Torque URU D1

26/10/2025 15:00

Liverpool URU 3 - 1 Club Atletico Progreso URU D1

19/10/2025 14:30

Club Atletico Progreso 2 - 3 Defensor Sporting Montevideo URU D1

10/10/2025 18:00

Plaza Colonia 0 - 1 Club Atletico Progreso URU D1

05/10/2025 09:30

Club Atletico Progreso 2 - 0 Cerro Montevideo URU D1

Win

33%

Draw

17%

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Uruguay Copa de la Lig...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Defensor Sporting Montevideo

137

Club Atletico Progreso

110

Goals

Scored

112

Avg. per game

0.82

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.65

Scored

Avg. per game

0.70

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.64

Scored a goal

In last 6 home matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 home matches

NoYes

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 137 home matches

YesNo

81 (59%)56 (41%)

In last 137 home matches

NoYes

59 (54%)51 (46%)

Defensor Sporting Montevideo

Recent matches

Club Atletico Progreso

Under /Over

(71%)32 13(29%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(64%)29 16(36%)

Under /Over

(27%)12 33(73%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(31%)14 31(69%)

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

/Yes

(49%)22 23(51%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(42%)19 26(58%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Defensor Sporting Montevideo

Club Atletico Progreso

Shots

Defensor Sporting Montevideo

Total shots

9.35 avg / game

Blocked

12 total

Avg. 4.00

Club Atletico Progreso

Total shots

8.94 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Defensor Sporting Montevideo Pass Club Atletico Progreso

Total passes

1236

Avg. 412 / game

Accurate

73%

Ball possession

53%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

50%

TOTAL ATTACKS

Defensor Sporting Montevideo

12875

Avg. 93.98 / game

Club Atletico Progreso

11437

Avg. 103.97 / game

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

Defensor Sporting Montevideo

8189

Avg. 59.77 / game

Club Atletico Progreso

7549

Avg. 68.63 / game

OTHERS

Defensor Sporting Montevideo

137

Played games

Club Atletico Progreso

110

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.34

Clean sheets

0.28

4.52

619

Corners

580

5.27

0.22

Throw-ins

0.00

0.12

Offsides

0.00

1.05

144

GK saves

118

1.07

Defensor Sporting Montevideo

DISCIPLINARY

Club Atletico Progreso

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.31

317

312

2.84

0.13

0.15

0.49

Fouls

0.00

0.39

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

08/03

Defensor Sporting Montevideo

Cerro Montevideo

URU

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

How We Build the Defensor Sporting Montevideo vs Club Atletico Progreso Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Defensor Sporting Montevideo vs Club Atletico Progreso on 11 January 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Uruguay Copa de la Liga fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Defensor Sporting Montevideo vs Club Atletico Progreso Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Defensor Sporting Montevideo's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Club Atletico Progreso's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Uruguay Copa de la Liga Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Uruguay Copa de la Liga standings and the Uruguay Copa de la Liga form table to understand exactly where Defensor Sporting Montevideo and Club Atletico Progreso sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Uruguay Copa de la Liga predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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