Defensor Sporting Montevideo vs CA Penarol Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – May 24

Defensor Sporting Montevideo

L W D W D

8th place in Apertura

0-2

24/05/2026 17:30

CA Penarol

W L D L D

4th place in Apertura

Uruguay Primera Division

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Defensor Sporting Montevideo vs CA Penarol on May 24, 2026 (kick-off: 17:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Defensor Sporting Montevideo vs CA Penarol preview before placing for you.

Defensor Sporting Montevideo are currently 8th with 21 points after 15 matches.
CA Penarol sit 4th with 27 points from 15 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: CA Penarol to win with probability 40%.
Head-to-head history favors CA Penarol, who have won 5 of the last 6 meetings. Defensor Sporting Montevideo have no wins, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

17:30

2026-05-24

Defensor Sporting Montevideo vs CA Penarol - Prediction & Odds

Defensor Sporting Montevideo

CA Penarol

2026-05-24 17:30

STANDINGS UP TO 24/05/2026

Apertura	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Racing Club Montevideo	31	15	9	4	2	23	14	9
02 Deportivo Maldonado	29	15	9	2	4	24	16	8
03 Albion FC	28	15	8	4	3	26	16	10
04 CA Penarol	27	15	8	3	4	23	16	7
05 Central Espanol	24	15	7	3	5	23	22	1
06 Montevideo City Torque	23	15	6	5	4	22	16	6
07 Nacional Montevideo	22	15	7	1	7	26	21	5
08 Defensor Sporting Montevideo	21	15	5	6	4	13	11	2
09 Liverpool URU	20	15	5	5	5	20	18	2
10 Wanderers FC	20	15	6	2	7	16	21	-5
11 Danubio FC	18	15	4	6	5	17	21	-4
12 Cerro Largo	17	15	5	2	8	16	19	-3
13 Boston River	17	15	5	2	8	14	20	-6
14 CA Juventud	15	15	4	3	8	17	22	-5
15 Club Atletico Progreso	10	15	2	4	9	12	23	-11
16 Cerro Montevideo	10	15	2	4	9	8	24	-16

Torneo Intermedio Group A	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 CA Penarol	16	7	5	1	1	12	3	9
02 Cerro Largo	11	7	3	2	2	7	5	2
03 Racing Club Montevideo	10	7	2	4	1	4	3	1
04 Liverpool URU	9	7	2	3	2	5	5	0
05 Central Espanol	9	7	2	3	2	4	4	0
06 Cerro Montevideo	9	7	3	0	4	6	10	-4
07 Defensor Sporting Montevideo	6	7	1	3	3	6	9	-3
08 Boston River	5	7	1	2	4	5	10	-5

Torneo Intermedio Group B	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Wanderers FC	15	7	4	3	0	12	4	8
02 Nacional Montevideo	13	7	4	1	2	8	8	0
03 Deportivo Maldonado	12	7	3	3	1	12	6	6
04 Montevideo City Torque	12	7	4	0	3	11	11	0
05 CA Juventud	8	7	2	2	3	8	11	-3
06 Albion FC	6	7	1	3	3	6	8	-2
07 Club Atletico Progreso	6	7	2	0	5	6	11	-5
08 Danubio FC	4	7	0	4	3	5	9	-4
09 Unknown	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10 Unknown	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Head To Head

04/05/2026 18:30

CA Penarol

1 - 1

Defensor Sporting Montevideo

URU D1

02/11/2025 18:00

CA Penarol

2 - 1

Defensor Sporting Montevideo

URU D1

15/10/2025 20:00

Defensor Sporting Montevideo

0 - 2

CA Penarol

U Cup

07/06/2025 19:00

CA Penarol

3 - 0

Defensor Sporting Montevideo

URU D1

02/05/2025 20:30

Defensor Sporting Montevideo

0 - 1

CA Penarol

URU D1

17/11/2024 17:30

CA Penarol

2 - 0

Defensor Sporting Montevideo

URU D1

Defensor Sporting Montevideo

Draw

17%

CA Penarol

83%

Defensor Sporting Montevideo Last 6 matches

17/05/2026 09:00

Central Espanol 2 - 1 Defensor Sporting Montevideo URU D1

10/05/2026 09:55

Defensor Sporting Montevideo 1 - 2 CA Juventud URU D1

04/05/2026 18:30

CA Penarol 1 - 1 Defensor Sporting Montevideo URU D1

27/04/2026 18:30

Defensor Sporting Montevideo 1 - 0 Club Atletico Progreso URU D1

18/04/2026 15:00

Racing Club Montevideo 1 - 1 Defensor Sporting Montevideo URU D1

11/04/2026 14:30

Defensor Sporting Montevideo 2 - 0 Boston River URU D1

Win

33%

Draw

33%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches CA Penarol

21/05/2026 20:30

CA Penarol 1 - 1 Corinthians Paulista (SP) CON CLA

16/05/2026 17:30

CA Penarol 2 - 1 Liverpool URU URU D1

11/05/2026 19:25

Cerro Largo 2 - 3 CA Penarol URU D1

07/05/2026 18:00

CA Platense 1 - 1 CA Penarol CON CLA

04/05/2026 18:30

CA Penarol 1 - 1 Defensor Sporting Montevideo URU D1

30/04/2026 20:00

Corinthians Paulista (SP) 2 - 0 CA Penarol CON CLA

Win

33%

Draw

50%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Uruguay Primera Divisi...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Defensor Sporting Montevideo

138

CA Penarol

167

Goals

Scored

113

Avg. per game

0.82

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.64

Scored

150

Avg. per game

0.90

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.36

Scored a goal

In last 6 home matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 home matches

NoYes

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 138 home matches

YesNo

82 (59%)56 (41%)

In last 138 home matches

NoYes

102 (61%)65 (39%)

Defensor Sporting Montevideo

Recent matches

CA Penarol

Under /Over

(71%)32 13(29%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(78%)35 10(22%)

Under /Over

(29%)13 32(71%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(29%)13 32(71%)

Under /Over

(40%)18 27(60%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

/Yes

(49%)22 23(51%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(44%)20 25(56%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Defensor Sporting Montevideo

CA Penarol

Shots

Defensor Sporting Montevideo

Total shots

9.35 avg / game

Blocked

12 total

Avg. 4.00

CA Penarol

Total shots

9.18 avg / game

Blocked

46 total

Avg. 3.29

Defensor Sporting Montevideo Pass CA Penarol

Total passes

1236

Avg. 412 / game

Accurate

73%

Ball possession

53%

Total passes

7933

Avg. 361 / game

Accurate

69%

Ball possession

54%

TOTAL ATTACKS

Defensor Sporting Montevideo

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

Defensor Sporting Montevideo

OTHERS

Defensor Sporting Montevideo

138

Played games

CA Penarol

167

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.34

Clean sheets

0.47

4.52

624

Corners

774

4.63

0.22

Throw-ins

278

1.66

0.12

Offsides

0.34

1.04

144

GK saves

183

1.10

Defensor Sporting Montevideo

DISCIPLINARY

CA Penarol

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.32

320

310

1.86

0.13

0.09

0.49

Fouls

330

1.98

0.38

Tackles

367

2.20

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Defensor Sporting Montevideo vs CA Penarol Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Defensor Sporting Montevideo vs CA Penarol on 24 May 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Uruguay Primera Division fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Defensor Sporting Montevideo vs CA Penarol Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Defensor Sporting Montevideo's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against CA Penarol's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Uruguay Primera Division Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Uruguay Primera Division standings and the Uruguay Primera Division form table to understand exactly where Defensor Sporting Montevideo and CA Penarol sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Uruguay Primera Division predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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