Colwyn Bay vs Caernarfon: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 04 October

Colwyn Bay

L W L W L

6th place in League

1-0

04/10/2025 16:15

Caernarfon

D L D L W

4th place in League

Welsh Premier League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Colwyn Bay vs Caernarfon on 04 October 2025 (kick-off: 16:15) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Colwyn Bay vs Caernarfon preview before placing your bet.

Colwyn Bay are currently 6th with 30 points after 22 matches.
Caernarfon sit 4th with 34 points from 22 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Caernarfon to win with probability 41%.
Head-to-head history favors Caernarfon, who have won 3 of the last 3 meetings. Colwyn Bay have no wins, while 0 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

16:15

2025-10-04

Colwyn Bay vs Caernarfon - Prediction & Odds

Colwyn Bay

Caernarfon

2025-10-04 16:15

STANDINGS UP TO 04/10/2025

League	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 The New Saints	53	22	17	2	3	59	19	40
02 Connahs Quay Nomads FC	47	22	14	5	3	48	25	23
03 Penybont FC	38	22	11	5	6	36	31	5
04 Caernarfon	34	22	9	7	6	44	32	12
05 Barry Town United	30	22	7	9	6	33	25	8
06 Colwyn Bay	30	22	8	6	8	29	25	4
07 UWIC Inter Cardiff	28	22	6	10	6	33	36	-3
08 Briton Ferry Athletic	25	22	6	7	9	32	40	-8
09 Haverfordwest County	24	22	6	6	10	30	39	-9
10 Bala Town F.C.	23	22	6	5	11	19	30	-11
11 Flint Town	21	22	5	6	11	34	48	-14
12 Llanelli	8	22	2	2	18	12	59	-47

Championship Playoffs	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 The New Saints	80	10	9	0	1	22	6	16
02 Connahs Quay Nomads FC	58	10	2	5	3	13	13	0
03 Barry Town United	46	10	5	1	4	10	8	2
04 Colwyn Bay	45	10	4	3	3	12	12	0
05 Caernarfon	45	10	3	2	5	12	15	-3
06 Penybont FC	41	10	0	3	7	3	18	-15

Playoffs	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Haverfordwest County	48	10	8	0	2	18	4	14
02 Briton Ferry Athletic	45	10	6	2	2	14	7	7
03 UWIC Inter Cardiff	38	10	2	4	4	10	15	-5
04 Flint Town	35	10	3	5	2	14	11	3
05 Bala Town F.C.	32	10	2	3	5	14	15	-1
06 Llanelli	13	10	1	2	7	5	23	-18

Head To Head

01/08/2025 19:00

Caernarfon

3 - 0

Colwyn Bay

WAL CLC

31/12/2023 12:30

Caernarfon

2 - 1

Colwyn Bay

Welsh PR

13/08/2023 16:15

Colwyn Bay

0 - 4

Caernarfon

Welsh PR

Colwyn Bay

Draw

Caernarfon

100%

Colwyn Bay Last 6 matches

23/09/2025 18:45

Colwyn Bay 0 - 1 Bala Town F.C. Welsh PR

20/09/2025 13:30

Llanelli 0 - 0 Colwyn Bay Welsh PR

13/09/2025 11:30

Colwyn Bay 3 - 0 Haverfordwest County Welsh PR

06/09/2025 11:30

UWIC Inter Cardiff 1 - 4 Colwyn Bay Welsh PR

30/08/2025 13:30

Colwyn Bay 2 - 2 Briton Ferry Athletic Welsh PR

25/08/2025 13:30

Colwyn Bay 1 - 1 The New Saints Welsh PR

Win

33%

Draw

50%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Caernarfon

23/09/2025 18:45

Connahs Quay Nomads FC 1 - 2 Caernarfon Welsh PR

20/09/2025 16:15

Caernarfon 1 - 2 Pen-y-Bont FC Welsh PR

13/09/2025 11:30

Briton Ferry Athletic 2 - 5 Caernarfon Welsh PR

10/09/2025 18:45

Caernarfon 2 - 2 Holywell WAL CLC

07/09/2025 11:30

Caernarfon 3 - 1 Barry Town United Welsh PR

30/08/2025 16:15

Haverfordwest County 1 - 1 Caernarfon Welsh PR

Win

50%

Draw

33%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Welsh Premier League

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

213

Avg. per game

1.11

Conceded

136

Avg. per game

0.71

Scored

233

Avg. per game

0.97

Conceded

247

Avg. per game

1.03

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 192 matches

YesNo

116 (60%)76 (40%)

In last 192 matches

NoYes

145 (60%)95 (40%)

Colwyn Bay

Recent matches

Caernarfon

Under /Over

(71%)32 13(29%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(93%)42 3(7%)

Under /Over

(40%)18 27(60%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

Under /Over

(51%)23 22(49%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(71%)32 13(29%)

/Yes

(47%)21 24(53%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(56%)25 20(44%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Colwyn Bay

Caernarfon

Shots

Colwyn Bay

Total shots

12.43 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Caernarfon

Total shots

10.19 avg / game

Blocked

3 total

Avg. 1.50

Colwyn Bay Pass Caernarfon

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

50%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

49%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Colwyn Bay

192

Played games

Caernarfon

240

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.32

Clean sheets

0.24

4.00

768

Corners

1040

4.33

0.00

Throw-ins

0.13

0.05

Offsides

0.12

0.75

144

GK saves

379

1.58

Colwyn Bay

DISCIPLINARY

Caernarfon

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.96

184

427

1.78

0.04

0.12

0.19

Fouls

110

0.46

0.00

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

Connahs Quay Nomads FC

How We Build the Colwyn Bay vs Caernarfon Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Colwyn Bay vs Caernarfon on 04 October 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Welsh Premier League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Colwyn Bay vs Caernarfon Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Colwyn Bay's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Caernarfon's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Welsh Premier League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Welsh Premier League standings and the Welsh Premier League form table to understand exactly where Colwyn Bay and Caernarfon sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Welsh Premier League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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