Club Leon vs Toluca Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – October 21

Club Leon

W W L L W

11th place in Autumn

1-0

21/10/2023 19:00

Toluca

W W W L W

3rd place in Autumn

Primera Division de Mexico

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Club Leon vs Toluca on October 21, 2023 (kick-off: 19:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Club Leon vs Toluca preview before placing for you.

Club Leon are currently 11th with 24 points after 17 matches.
Toluca sit 3rd with 32 points from 17 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Club Leon to win with probability 45%.
Head-to-head history is evenly balanced: Club Leon and Toluca have each won 1 of the last 6 meetings, while 4 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

19:00

2023-10-21

Club Leon vs Toluca - Prediction & Odds

Club Leon

Toluca

2023-10-21 19:00

STANDINGS UP TO 21/10/2023

Autumn	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Club America	35	17	10	5	2	30	12	18
02 CDSyC Cruz Azul	33	17	10	3	4	23	14	9
03 Toluca	32	17	9	5	3	38	23	15
04 Monterrey	32	17	9	5	3	32	19	13
05 Tigres UANL	31	17	9	4	4	34	23	11
06 Chivas Guadalajara	31	17	9	4	4	24	17	7
07 Pachuca	29	17	9	2	6	34	27	7
08 Pumas U.N.A.M.	27	17	7	6	4	27	22	5
09 Necaxa	27	17	7	6	4	30	29	1
10 Queretaro FC	24	17	6	6	5	22	21	1
11 Club Leon	24	17	7	3	7	23	25	-2
12 FC Juarez	16	17	4	4	9	19	26	-7
13 Atletico San Luis	16	17	5	1	11	25	35	-10
14 Mazatlan FC	16	17	4	4	9	21	32	-11
15 Santos Laguna	15	17	4	3	10	15	28	-13
16 Club Tijuana	14	17	2	8	7	21	30	-9
17 Atlas	14	17	3	5	9	21	31	-10
18 Puebla	5	17	1	2	14	18	43	-25

Apertura	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Club America	40	17	12	4	1	37	14	23
02 Monterrey	33	17	10	3	4	27	15	12
03 Tigres UANL	30	17	8	6	3	32	18	14
04 Pumas U.N.A.M.	28	17	8	4	5	27	18	9
05 Chivas Guadalajara	27	17	8	3	6	22	22	0
06 Puebla	25	17	7	4	6	24	25	-1
07 Atletico San Luis	23	17	7	2	8	31	26	5
08 Club Leon	23	17	6	5	6	23	22	1
09 Santos Laguna	23	17	7	2	8	31	34	-3
10 Mazatlan FC	22	17	6	4	7	25	27	-2
11 Pachuca	22	17	5	7	5	16	27	-11
12 Toluca	21	17	5	6	6	23	19	4
13 Club Tijuana	20	17	6	2	9	23	26	-3
14 Queretaro FC	19	17	5	4	8	18	29	-11
15 FC Juarez	18	17	5	3	9	24	34	-10
16 CDSyC Cruz Azul	17	17	5	2	10	21	29	-8
17 Atlas	17	17	4	5	8	14	24	-10
18 Necaxa	15	17	3	6	8	18	27	-9

Head To Head

29/01/2023 14:00

Toluca

0 - 0

Club Leon

MEX D1

26/07/2022 22:05

Club Leon

0 - 1

Toluca

MEX D1

01/05/2022 21:05

Club Leon

4 - 4

Toluca

MEX D1

31/10/2021 14:00

Toluca

0 - 0

Club Leon

MEX D1

09/05/2021 20:00

Club Leon

2 - 2

Toluca

MEX D1

04/04/2021 22:05

Club Leon

2 - 1

Toluca

MEX D1

Club Leon

17%

Draw

67%

Toluca

17%

Club Leon Last 6 matches

08/10/2023 21:05

Santos Laguna 0 - 2 Club Leon MEX D1

29/09/2023 21:10

Queretaro FC 1 - 1 Club Leon MEX D1

23/09/2023 21:00

Club Leon 1 - 0 Club Tijuana MEX D1

16/09/2023 21:00

Monterrey 3 - 1 Club Leon MEX D1

09/09/2023 19:50

Chivas Guadalajara 2 - 0 Club Leon INT CF

02/09/2023 19:00

Club Leon 1 - 1 Necaxa MEX D1

Win

33%

Draw

33%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Toluca

08/10/2023 14:00

Toluca 3 - 1 Queretaro FC MEX D1

04/10/2023 23:00

Tigres UANL 2 - 2 Toluca MEX D1

01/10/2023 19:20

Toluca 1 - 1 Chivas Guadalajara MEX D1

24/09/2023 14:00

Toluca 1 - 1 Club America MEX D1

15/09/2023 23:00

Club Tijuana 2 - 1 Toluca MEX D1

03/09/2023 14:00

Toluca 5 - 0 Pachuca MEX D1

Win

33%

Draw

50%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Primera Division de Me...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

201

Avg. per game

0.75

Conceded

210

Avg. per game

0.79

Scored

261

Avg. per game

0.94

Conceded

187

Avg. per game

0.67

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 267 matches

YesNo

142 (53%)125 (47%)

In last 267 matches

NoYes

165 (59%)113 (41%)

Club Leon

Recent matches

Toluca

Under /Over

(80%)36 9(20%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(71%)32 13(29%)

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(27%)12 33(73%)

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

/Yes

(56%)25 20(44%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(51%)23 22(49%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Club Leon

Toluca

Shots

Club Leon

Total shots

11.49 avg / game

Blocked

401 total

Avg. 2.97

Toluca

Total shots

12.64 avg / game

Blocked

470 total

Avg. 3.13

Club Leon Pass Toluca

Total passes

77987

Avg. 386 / game

Accurate

82%

Ball possession

53%

Total passes

94768

Avg. 433 / game

Accurate

84%

Ball possession

54%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Club Leon

267

Played games

Toluca

278

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.25

Clean sheets

0.24

4.16

1111

Corners

1173

4.22

5.84

1558

Throw-ins

2102

7.56

1.60

426

Offsides

364

1.31

2.51

670

GK saves

678

2.44

Club Leon

DISCIPLINARY

Toluca

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.79

477

513

1.85

0.17

0.10

10.48

2798

Fouls

2760

9.93

9.91

2646

Tackles

2778

9.99

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Club Leon vs Toluca Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Club Leon vs Toluca on 21 October 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Primera Division de Mexico fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Club Leon vs Toluca Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Club Leon's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Toluca's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Primera Division de Mexico Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Primera Division de Mexico standings and the Primera Division de Mexico form table to understand exactly where Club Leon and Toluca sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Primera Division de Mexico predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

Explore More Primera Division de Mexico Predictions

Find every upcoming Primera Division de Mexico fixtures and predictions for this matchday, or browse all football predictions for today across every major league on Betiball.com.

View More View Less