Club Atletico Progreso vs Nacional Montevideo: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 29 September

Club Atletico Progreso

L D L D L

16th place in Autumn

0-3

29/09/2024 16:00

Nacional Montevideo

W W W W D

2nd place in Autumn

Uruguay Primera Division

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Club Atletico Progreso vs Nacional Montevideo on 29 September 2024 (kick-off: 16:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Club Atletico Progreso vs Nacional Montevideo preview before placing your bet.

Club Atletico Progreso are currently 16th with 8 points after 15 matches.
Nacional Montevideo sit 2nd with 36 points from 15 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Nacional Montevideo to win with probability 60%.
Head-to-head history favors Nacional Montevideo, who have won 4 of the last 6 meetings. Club Atletico Progreso have one win, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

16:00

2024-09-29

Club Atletico Progreso vs Nacional Montevideo - Prediction & Odds

Club Atletico Progreso

Nacional Montevideo

2024-09-29 16:00

STANDINGS UP TO 29/09/2024

Autumn	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 CA Penarol	38	15	12	2	1	32	5	27
02 Nacional Montevideo	36	15	11	3	1	37	11	26
03 Racing Club Montevideo	27	15	7	6	2	16	10	6
04 Boston River	26	15	8	2	5	19	15	4
05 Danubio FC	25	15	6	7	2	14	7	7
06 Cerro Largo	22	15	6	4	5	15	11	4
07 Defensor Sporting Montevideo	20	15	5	5	5	17	17	0
08 Miramar Misiones FC	19	15	4	7	4	11	15	-4
09 Liverpool URU	18	15	4	6	5	15	16	-1
10 CA River Plate	18	15	5	3	7	15	20	-5
11 Wanderers FC	17	15	4	5	6	15	20	-5
12 Rampla Juniors FC	16	15	4	4	7	12	19	-7
13 Centro Atletico Fenix	14	15	4	2	9	14	28	-14
14 Cerro Montevideo	12	15	2	6	7	9	20	-11
15 Deportivo Maldonado	9	15	2	3	10	12	24	-12
16 Club Atletico Progreso	8	15	1	5	9	9	24	-15

Torneo Intermedio Group A	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 CA Penarol	14	7	4	2	1	10	5	5
02 Wanderers FC	13	7	4	1	2	11	9	2
03 Defensor Sporting Montevideo	11	7	3	2	2	7	5	2
04 Centro Atletico Fenix	10	7	3	1	3	10	9	1
05 CA River Plate	8	7	2	2	3	8	9	-1
06 Club Atletico Progreso	8	7	2	2	3	8	11	-3
07 Racing Club Montevideo	6	7	1	3	3	8	10	-2
08 Deportivo Maldonado	6	7	1	3	3	5	9	-4

Torneo Intermedio Group B	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Nacional Montevideo	16	7	5	1	1	18	5	13
02 Danubio FC	14	7	4	2	1	11	11	0
03 Cerro Largo	11	7	3	2	2	6	7	-1
04 Cerro Montevideo	10	7	3	1	3	8	5	3
05 Miramar Misiones FC	10	7	3	1	3	7	10	-3
06 Rampla Juniors FC	8	7	2	2	3	8	12	-4
07 Boston River	7	7	2	1	4	6	8	-2
08 Liverpool URU	3	7	1	0	6	4	10	-6

League	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 CA Penarol	41	15	13	2	0	31	7	24
02 Nacional Montevideo	34	15	10	4	1	31	16	15
03 Defensor Sporting Montevideo	28	15	8	4	3	31	17	14
04 Boston River	27	15	8	3	4	21	17	4
05 Club Atletico Progreso	24	15	7	3	5	25	25	0
06 Cerro Largo	21	15	6	3	6	16	16	0
07 Racing Club Montevideo	19	15	5	4	6	22	22	0
08 Liverpool URU	18	15	4	6	5	22	24	-2
09 Wanderers FC	18	15	5	3	7	15	20	-5
10 Cerro Montevideo	17	15	4	5	6	19	25	-6
11 Deportivo Maldonado	15	15	4	3	8	14	19	-5
12 Rampla Juniors FC	15	15	4	3	8	15	27	-12
13 CA River Plate	14	15	3	5	7	20	25	-5
14 Danubio FC	14	15	3	5	7	13	19	-6
15 Centro Atletico Fenix	13	15	3	4	8	11	17	-6
16 Miramar Misiones FC	11	15	2	5	8	18	28	-10

Head To Head

23/03/2024 14:30

Nacional Montevideo

0 - 0

Club Atletico Progreso

URU D1

19/09/2021 11:30

Nacional Montevideo

0 - 1

Club Atletico Progreso

URU D1

23/05/2021 11:00

Club Atletico Progreso

1 - 3

Nacional Montevideo

URU D1

18/02/2021 13:00

Club Atletico Progreso

0 - 1

Nacional Montevideo

URU D1

26/08/2020 16:00

Nacional Montevideo

2 - 1

Club Atletico Progreso

URU D1

10/11/2019 12:00

Club Atletico Progreso

0 - 1

Nacional Montevideo

URU D1

Club Atletico Progreso

17%

Draw

17%

Nacional Montevideo

67%

Club Atletico Progreso Last 6 matches

21/09/2024 12:00

Racing Club Montevideo 1 - 0 Club Atletico Progreso URU D1

18/09/2024 16:30

Rincon 3 - 0 Club Atletico Progreso U Cup

14/09/2024 12:00

Club Atletico Progreso 0 - 1 Cerro Montevideo URU D1

08/09/2024 06:00

Rampla Juniors FC 2 - 0 Club Atletico Progreso URU D1

18/08/2024 11:00

Club Atletico Progreso 0 - 0 Miramar Misiones FC URU D1

27/07/2024 08:30

Centro Atletico Fenix 1 - 1 Club Atletico Progreso URU D1

Win

Draw

33%

Lost

67%

Last 6 matches Nacional Montevideo

25/09/2024 16:00

Frontera Rivera Renegades 1 - 5 Nacional Montevideo U Cup

21/09/2024 15:00

Nacional Montevideo 1 - 1 Defensor Sporting Montevideo URU D1

15/09/2024 15:30

Wanderers FC 0 - 2 Nacional Montevideo URU D1

08/09/2024 14:00

Nacional Montevideo 1 - 0 Liverpool URU URU D1

22/08/2024 15:00

Sao Paulo 2 - 0 Nacional Montevideo CON CLA

18/08/2024 14:00

CA River Plate 3 - 3 Nacional Montevideo URU D1

Win

50%

Draw

33%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Uruguay Primera Divisi...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Club Atletico Progreso

221

Nacional Montevideo

300

Goals

Scored

140

Avg. per game

0.63

Conceded

149

Avg. per game

0.67

Scored

274

Avg. per game

0.91

Conceded

161

Avg. per game

0.54

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 221 matches

YesNo

106 (48%)115 (52%)

In last 221 matches

NoYes

183 (61%)117 (39%)

Club Atletico Progreso

Recent matches

Nacional Montevideo

Under /Over

(71%)32 13(29%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(67%)30 15(33%)

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

Under /Over

(31%)14 31(69%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

/Yes

(47%)21 24(53%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(53%)24 21(47%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Club Atletico Progreso

Nacional Montevideo

Shots

Club Atletico Progreso

Total shots

8.27 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Nacional Montevideo

Total shots

8.96 avg / game

Blocked

76 total

Avg. 2.92

Club Atletico Progreso Pass Nacional Montevideo

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

49%

Total passes

15669

Avg. 348 / game

Accurate

73%

Ball possession

53%

TOTAL ATTACKS

Club Atletico Progreso

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

Club Atletico Progreso

OTHERS

Club Atletico Progreso

221

Played games

Nacional Montevideo

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.26

Clean sheets

119

0.40

4.82

1065

Corners

1351

4.50

0.00

Throw-ins

312

1.04

0.00

Offsides

0.26

1.13

249

GK saves

447

1.49

Club Atletico Progreso

DISCIPLINARY

Nacional Montevideo

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.78

615

704

2.35

0.15

0.14

0.00

Fouls

636

2.12

0.00

Tackles

727

2.42

NEXT MATCHES

08/02

Nacional Montevideo

Club Atletico Progreso

URU

NEXT MATCHES

08/02

Nacional Montevideo

Club Atletico Progreso

URU

How We Build the Club Atletico Progreso vs Nacional Montevideo Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Club Atletico Progreso vs Nacional Montevideo on 29 September 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Uruguay Primera Division fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Club Atletico Progreso vs Nacional Montevideo Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Club Atletico Progreso's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Nacional Montevideo's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Uruguay Primera Division Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Uruguay Primera Division standings and the Uruguay Primera Division form table to understand exactly where Club Atletico Progreso and Nacional Montevideo sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Uruguay Primera Division predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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