Club Atletico Progreso vs Nacional Montevideo: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 21 February

Club Atletico Progreso

L L W L L

15th place in Apertura

0-1

21/02/2026 23:30

Nacional Montevideo

L L W L L

7th place in Apertura

Uruguay Primera Division

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Club Atletico Progreso vs Nacional Montevideo on 21 February 2026 (kick-off: 23:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Club Atletico Progreso vs Nacional Montevideo preview before placing your bet.

Club Atletico Progreso are currently 15th with 10 points after 15 matches.
Nacional Montevideo sit 7th with 22 points from 15 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Nacional Montevideo to win with probability 62%.
Head-to-head history favors Nacional Montevideo, who have won 4 of the last 6 meetings. Club Atletico Progreso have no wins, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

23:30

2026-02-21

Club Atletico Progreso vs Nacional Montevideo - Prediction & Odds

Club Atletico Progreso

Nacional Montevideo

2026-02-21 23:30

STANDINGS UP TO 21/02/2026

Apertura	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Racing Club Montevideo	31	15	9	4	2	23	14	9
02 Deportivo Maldonado	29	15	9	2	4	24	16	8
03 Albion FC	28	15	8	4	3	26	16	10
04 CA Penarol	27	15	8	3	4	23	16	7
05 Central Espanol	24	15	7	3	5	23	22	1
06 Montevideo City Torque	23	15	6	5	4	22	16	6
07 Nacional Montevideo	22	15	7	1	7	26	21	5
08 Defensor Sporting Montevideo	21	15	5	6	4	13	11	2
09 Liverpool URU	20	15	5	5	5	20	18	2
10 Wanderers FC	20	15	6	2	7	16	21	-5
11 Danubio FC	18	15	4	6	5	17	21	-4
12 Cerro Largo	17	15	5	2	8	16	19	-3
13 Boston River	17	15	5	2	8	14	20	-6
14 CA Juventud	15	15	4	3	8	17	22	-5
15 Club Atletico Progreso	10	15	2	4	9	12	23	-11
16 Cerro Montevideo	10	15	2	4	9	8	24	-16

Torneo Intermedio Group A	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 CA Penarol	16	7	5	1	1	12	3	9
02 Cerro Largo	11	7	3	2	2	7	5	2
03 Cerro Montevideo	9	6	3	0	3	5	8	-3
04 Liverpool URU	8	6	2	2	2	5	5	0
05 Central Espanol	8	6	2	2	2	4	4	0
06 Racing Club Montevideo	7	6	1	4	1	3	3	0
07 Boston River	5	6	1	2	3	5	9	-4
08 Defensor Sporting Montevideo	3	6	0	3	3	4	8	-4

Torneo Intermedio Group B	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Wanderers FC	15	7	4	3	0	12	4	8
02 Deportivo Maldonado	12	7	3	3	1	12	6	6
03 Montevideo City Torque	12	7	4	0	3	11	11	0
04 Nacional Montevideo	10	6	3	1	2	6	7	-1
05 CA Juventud	8	7	2	2	3	8	11	-3
06 Albion FC	6	7	1	3	3	6	8	-2
07 Club Atletico Progreso	6	6	2	0	4	5	9	-4
08 Danubio FC	4	7	0	4	3	5	9	-4
09 Unknown	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10 Unknown	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Head To Head

22/01/2026 23:30

Nacional Montevideo

1 - 1

Club Atletico Progreso

UCL

16/08/2025 21:00

Nacional Montevideo

3 - 1

Club Atletico Progreso

URU D1

23/05/2025 23:30

Nacional Montevideo

1 - 0

Club Atletico Progreso

URU D1

16/02/2025 20:00

Club Atletico Progreso

1 - 5

Nacional Montevideo

URU D1

29/09/2024 23:00

Club Atletico Progreso

0 - 3

Nacional Montevideo

URU D1

23/03/2024 21:30

Nacional Montevideo

0 - 0

Club Atletico Progreso

URU D1

Club Atletico Progreso

Draw

33%

Nacional Montevideo

67%

Club Atletico Progreso Last 6 matches

14/02/2026 20:00

Deportivo Maldonado 2 - 0 Club Atletico Progreso URU D1

07/02/2026 20:00

Club Atletico Progreso 0 - 3 Central Espanol URU D1

29/01/2026 23:00

Club Atletico Progreso 2 - 1 Boston River UCL

22/01/2026 23:30

Nacional Montevideo 1 - 1 Club Atletico Progreso UCL

19/01/2026 00:30

CA Juventud 0 - 1 Club Atletico Progreso UCL

15/01/2026 21:15

Club Atletico Progreso 1 - 2 Atletico Tucuman INT CF

Win

33%

Draw

17%

Lost

50%

Last 6 matches Nacional Montevideo

14/02/2026 23:30

Nacional Montevideo 1 - 1 Racing Club Montevideo URU D1

08/02/2026 23:30

Boston River 1 - 2 Nacional Montevideo URU D1

01/02/2026 23:00

CA Penarol 0 - 0 Nacional Montevideo Uruguay SC

25/01/2026 00:00

Nacional Montevideo 1 - 0 D. Concepcion INT CF

22/01/2026 23:30

Nacional Montevideo 1 - 1 Club Atletico Progreso UCL

17/01/2026 23:00

Nacional Montevideo 1 - 1 Cerro Largo UCL

Win

33%

Draw

67%

Lost

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Uruguay Primera Divisi...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Club Atletico Progreso

221

Nacional Montevideo

300

Goals

Scored

140

Avg. per game

0.63

Conceded

149

Avg. per game

0.67

Scored

274

Avg. per game

0.91

Conceded

161

Avg. per game

0.54

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 221 matches

YesNo

106 (48%)115 (52%)

In last 221 matches

NoYes

183 (61%)117 (39%)

Club Atletico Progreso

Recent matches

Nacional Montevideo

Under /Over

(71%)32 13(29%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(67%)30 15(33%)

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

Under /Over

(31%)14 31(69%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

/Yes

(47%)21 24(53%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(53%)24 21(47%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Club Atletico Progreso

Nacional Montevideo

Shots

Club Atletico Progreso

Total shots

8.27 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Nacional Montevideo

Total shots

8.96 avg / game

Blocked

76 total

Avg. 2.92

Club Atletico Progreso Pass Nacional Montevideo

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

49%

Total passes

15669

Avg. 348 / game

Accurate

73%

Ball possession

53%

TOTAL ATTACKS

Club Atletico Progreso

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

Club Atletico Progreso

OTHERS

Club Atletico Progreso

221

Played games

Nacional Montevideo

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.26

Clean sheets

119

0.40

4.82

1065

Corners

1351

4.50

0.00

Throw-ins

312

1.04

0.00

Offsides

0.26

1.13

249

GK saves

447

1.49

Club Atletico Progreso

DISCIPLINARY

Nacional Montevideo

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.78

615

704

2.35

0.15

0.14

0.00

Fouls

636

2.12

0.00

Tackles

727

2.42

NEXT MATCHES

08/02

Nacional Montevideo

Club Atletico Progreso

URU

NEXT MATCHES

08/02

Nacional Montevideo

Club Atletico Progreso

URU

How We Build the Club Atletico Progreso vs Nacional Montevideo Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Club Atletico Progreso vs Nacional Montevideo on 21 February 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Uruguay Primera Division fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Club Atletico Progreso vs Nacional Montevideo Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Club Atletico Progreso's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Nacional Montevideo's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Uruguay Primera Division Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Uruguay Primera Division standings and the Uruguay Primera Division form table to understand exactly where Club Atletico Progreso and Nacional Montevideo sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Uruguay Primera Division predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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