Chivas Guadalajara vs Toluca: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 18 July

Chivas Guadalajara

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17th place in Primera Division de Mexico

0-2

Chivas Guadalajara
Win Probability 43%

18/07/2026 21:10

Toluca

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3rd place in Primera Division de Mexico

Primera Division de Mexico

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Chivas Guadalajara vs Toluca on 18 July 2026 (kick-off: 21:10) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Chivas Guadalajara vs Toluca preview before placing your bet.

Chivas Guadalajara will face Toluca in Primera Division de Mexico on July 18, 2026 at 21:10.
Chivas Guadalajara are currently 17th with 0 points after 1 matches.
Toluca sit 3rd with 3 points from 1 matches.
Current model prediction leans green with a projected score of 2 - 1 and average coefficient 2.10.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

21:10

2026-07-18

Chivas Guadalajara vs Toluca - Prediction & Odds

Chivas Guadalajara

Toluca

2026-07-18 21:10

STANDINGS UP TO 18/07/2026

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Pachuca	3	1	1	0	0	3	0	3
02 Club Tijuana	3	1	1	0	0	3	1	2
03 Toluca	3	1	1	0	0	2	0	2
04 Atlas	3	1	1	0	0	3	2	1
05 CDSyC Cruz Azul	3	1	1	0	0	3	2	1
06 Monterrey	3	1	1	0	0	3	2	1
07 Necaxa	3	1	1	0	0	2	1	1
08 Club America	3	1	1	0	0	1	0	1
09 Puebla	3	1	1	0	0	1	0	1
10 Santos Laguna	0	1	0	0	1	2	3	-1
11 Atletico San Luis	0	1	0	0	1	2	3	-1
12 Club Leon	0	1	0	0	1	2	3	-1
13 CF Atlante	0	1	0	0	1	1	2	-1
14 Queretaro FC	0	1	0	0	1	0	1	-1
15 FC Juarez	0	1	0	0	1	0	1	-1
16 Tigres UANL	0	1	0	0	1	1	3	-2
17 Chivas Guadalajara	0	1	0	0	1	0	2	-2
18 Pumas U.N.A.M.	0	1	0	0	1	0	3	-3

Head To Head

28/02/2026 19:00

Toluca

2 - 0

Chivas Guadalajara

MEX D1

20/09/2025 21:00

Chivas Guadalajara

0 - 3

Toluca

MEX D1

15/02/2025 23:10

Toluca

2 - 1

Chivas Guadalajara

MEX D1

06/07/2024 21:00

Chivas Guadalajara

0 - 0

Toluca

MEX D1

11/05/2024 22:10

Toluca

0 - 0

Chivas Guadalajara

MEX D1

08/05/2024 21:05

Chivas Guadalajara

1 - 0

Toluca

MEX D1

Toluca

50%

Draw

33%

Chivas Guadalajara

17%

Chivas Guadalajara Last 6 matches

03/07/2026 22:00

Correcaminos UAT 0 - 0 Chivas Guadalajara

INT CF

16/05/2026 21:00

Chivas Guadalajara 1 - 2 CDSyC Cruz Azul

MEX D1

13/05/2026 22:00

CDSyC Cruz Azul 2 - 2 Chivas Guadalajara

MEX D1

09/05/2026 21:00

Chivas Guadalajara 2 - 0 Tigres UANL

MEX D1

02/05/2026 21:00

Tigres UANL 3 - 1 Chivas Guadalajara

MEX D1

25/04/2026 21:00

Chivas Guadalajara 0 - 0 Club Tijuana

MEX D1

Win

17%

Draw

50%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Toluca

10/07/2026 16:00

CF Atlante 3 - 3 Toluca

INT CF

03/07/2026 21:20

Cancun 1 - 0 Toluca

INT CF

30/05/2026 20:05

Toluca 0 - 0 Tigres UANL

CNCF CHL

10/05/2026 19:00

Pachuca 2 - 0 Toluca

MEX D1

06/05/2026 21:30

Toluca 4 - 0 Los Angeles FC

CNCF CHL

03/05/2026 21:15

Toluca 0 - 1 Pachuca

MEX D1

Win

17%

Draw

33%

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Primera Division de Me...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Chivas Guadalajara

Toluca

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.00

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.00

Scored

Avg. per game

0.00

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.00

Scored a goal

In last 6 home matches

YesNo

0 (0%)1 (100%)

In last 6 home matches

NoYes

0 (0%)0 (0%)

Chivas Guadalajara

Recent matches

Toluca

Under /Over

(100%)1 0(0%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(0%)0 0(0%)

Under /Over

(0%)0 1(100%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(0%)0 0(0%)

Under /Over

(0%)0 1(100%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(0%)0 0(0%)

/Yes

(0%)0 1(100%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(0%)0 0(0%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Chivas Guadalajara

Toluca

Shots

Chivas Guadalajara

Total shots

13.00 avg / game

Blocked

3 total

Avg. 3.00

Toluca

Total shots

— avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Chivas Guadalajara Pass Toluca

Total passes

356

Avg. 356 / game

Accurate

81%

Ball possession

40%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

—

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Chivas Guadalajara

Played games

Toluca

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.00

Clean sheets

0.00

9.00

Corners

0.00

22.00

Throw-ins

0.00

1.00

Offsides

0.00

7.00

GK saves

0.00

Chivas Guadalajara

DISCIPLINARY

Toluca

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.00

0.00

1.00

0.00

14.00

Fouls

0.00

7.00

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Chivas Guadalajara vs Toluca Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Chivas Guadalajara vs Toluca on 18 July 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Primera Division de Mexico fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Chivas Guadalajara vs Toluca Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Chivas Guadalajara's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Toluca's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Primera Division de Mexico Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Primera Division de Mexico standings and the Primera Division de Mexico form table to understand exactly where Chivas Guadalajara and Toluca sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Primera Division de Mexico predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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