Cherno More Varna vs Septemvri Sofia: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 27 September

Cherno More Varna

W W L L D

6th place in League

1-1

27/09/2025 14:30

Septemvri Sofia

L L L D W

14th place in League

Bulgaria Premier League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Cherno More Varna vs Septemvri Sofia on 27 September 2025 (kick-off: 14:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Cherno More Varna vs Septemvri Sofia preview before placing your bet.

Cherno More Varna are currently 6th with 44 points after 30 matches.
Septemvri Sofia sit 14th with 26 points from 30 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Cherno More Varna to win with probability 70%.
Head-to-head history favors Cherno More Varna, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Septemvri Sofia have 2 wins, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

14:30

2025-09-27

Cherno More Varna vs Septemvri Sofia - Prediction & Odds

Cherno More Varna

Septemvri Sofia

2025-09-27 14:30

STANDINGS UP TO 27/09/2025

League	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Levski Sofia	70	30	22	4	4	64	22	42
02 Ludogorets Razgrad	60	30	17	9	4	57	20	37
03 CSKA 1948 Sofia	59	30	18	5	7	50	31	19
04 CSKA Sofia	56	30	16	8	6	43	23	20
05 Lokomotiv Plovdiv	46	30	11	13	6	30	33	-3
06 Cherno More Varna	44	30	11	11	8	33	26	7
07 FC Arda Kardzhali	44	30	12	8	10	33	27	6
08 Botev Plovdiv	40	30	11	7	12	40	37	3
09 Slavia Sofia	39	30	10	9	11	36	33	3
10 Botev Vratsa	38	30	9	11	10	24	26	-2
11 Lokomotiv Sofia	37	30	9	10	11	40	39	1
12 Spartak Varna	27	30	5	12	13	25	50	-25
13 FC Dobrudzha	26	30	7	5	18	23	43	-20
14 Septemvri Sofia	26	30	7	5	18	25	58	-33
15 Beroe Stara Zagora	23	30	4	11	15	19	44	-25
16 PFK Montana	17	30	3	8	19	15	45	-30

Championship Round	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Levski Sofia	81	6	3	2	1	7	3	4
02 CSKA 1948 Sofia	67	6	2	2	2	4	4	0
03 Ludogorets Razgrad	67	6	2	1	3	4	5	-1
04 CSKA Sofia	63	6	2	1	3	4	7	-3

Relegation	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Botev Vratsa	53	7	4	3	0	12	6	6
02 Lokomotiv Sofia	47	7	2	4	1	11	9	2
03 Slavia Sofia	46	7	2	1	4	6	11	-5
04 Spartak Varna	37	7	3	1	3	10	7	3
05 Septemvri Sofia	36	7	2	4	1	7	6	1
06 Beroe Stara Zagora	34	7	3	2	2	9	8	1
07 FC Dobrudzha	31	7	1	2	4	5	9	-4
08 PFK Montana	23	7	1	3	3	6	10	-4

Qualifications	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Lokomotiv Plovdiv	55	6	3	0	3	6	8	-2
02 FC Arda Kardzhali	54	6	3	1	2	9	7	2
03 Cherno More Varna	54	6	3	1	2	7	8	-1
04 Botev Plovdiv	46	6	2	0	4	9	8	1

Head To Head

29/11/2024 15:00

Septemvri Sofia

1 - 2

Cherno More Varna

BUL D1

29/07/2024 18:15

Cherno More Varna

2 - 0

Septemvri Sofia

BUL D1

17/03/2023 13:00

Cherno More Varna

3 - 0

Septemvri Sofia

BUL D1

05/09/2022 14:30

Septemvri Sofia

0 - 0

Cherno More Varna

BUL D1

24/11/2018 10:30

Septemvri Sofia

2 - 1

Cherno More Varna

BUL D1

04/08/2018 15:30

Cherno More Varna

1 - 5

Septemvri Sofia

BUL D1

Cherno More Varna

50%

Draw

17%

Septemvri Sofia

33%

Cherno More Varna Last 6 matches

15/09/2025 17:30

Cherno More Varna 2 - 0 FC Dobrudzha BUL D1

29/08/2025 16:45

Botev Vratsa 1 - 0 Cherno More Varna BUL D1

23/08/2025 18:15

Cherno More Varna 1 - 1 Lokomotiv Plovdiv BUL D1

16/08/2025 16:00

Spartak Varna 1 - 3 Cherno More Varna BUL D1

09/08/2025 16:00

CSKA Sofia 0 - 0 Cherno More Varna BUL D1

04/08/2025 16:00

Cherno More Varna 4 - 0 Beroe Stara Zagora BUL D1

Win

50%

Draw

33%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Septemvri Sofia

13/09/2025 17:15

CSKA Sofia 3 - 1 Septemvri Sofia BUL D1

29/08/2025 19:00

Septemvri Sofia 1 - 0 Lokomotiv Sofia BUL D1

23/08/2025 16:00

PFK Montana 2 - 0 Septemvri Sofia BUL D1

18/08/2025 16:00

Septemvri Sofia 2 - 1 FC Dobrudzha BUL D1

11/08/2025 16:00

Septemvri Sofia 2 - 3 Beroe Stara Zagora BUL D1

01/08/2025 18:15

CSKA 1948 Sofia 2 - 1 Septemvri Sofia BUL D1

Win

33%

Draw

Lost

67%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Bulgaria Premier Leagu...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

231

Avg. per game

0.77

Conceded

144

Avg. per game

0.48

Scored

222

Avg. per game

0.78

Conceded

219

Avg. per game

0.77

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

159 (53%)141 (47%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

148 (52%)138 (48%)

Cherno More Varna

Recent matches

Septemvri Sofia

Under /Over

(56%)25 20(44%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(76%)34 11(24%)

Under /Over

(13%)6 39(87%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(24%)11 34(76%)

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(47%)21 24(53%)

/Yes

(31%)14 31(69%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(44%)20 25(56%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Cherno More Varna

Septemvri Sofia

Shots

Cherno More Varna

Total shots

10.57 avg / game

Blocked

88 total

Avg. 2.93

Septemvri Sofia

Total shots

9.78 avg / game

Blocked

23 total

Avg. 1.53

Cherno More Varna Pass Septemvri Sofia

Total passes

251

Avg. 251 / game

Accurate

75%

Ball possession

52%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

51%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Cherno More Varna

300

Played games

Septemvri Sofia

286

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.46

137

Clean sheets

0.29

4.30

1290

Corners

1045

3.65

2.82

847

Throw-ins

714

2.50

0.84

253

Offsides

0.28

1.09

326

GK saves

264

0.92

Cherno More Varna

DISCIPLINARY

Septemvri Sofia

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.81

543

492

1.72

0.05

0.09

6.89

2068

Fouls

966

3.38

0.02

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Cherno More Varna vs Septemvri Sofia Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Cherno More Varna vs Septemvri Sofia on 27 September 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Bulgaria Premier League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Cherno More Varna vs Septemvri Sofia Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Cherno More Varna's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Septemvri Sofia's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Bulgaria Premier League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Bulgaria Premier League standings and the Bulgaria Premier League form table to understand exactly where Cherno More Varna and Septemvri Sofia sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Bulgaria Premier League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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