Cherno More Varna vs CSKA Sofia: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 28 September

Cherno More Varna

D D L D W

4th place in League

0-0

28/09/2024 17:00

CSKA Sofia

D W W D W

7th place in League

Bulgaria Premier League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Cherno More Varna vs CSKA Sofia on 28 September 2024 (kick-off: 17:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Cherno More Varna vs CSKA Sofia preview before placing your bet.

Cherno More Varna are currently 4th with 53 points after 30 matches.
CSKA Sofia sit 7th with 47 points from 30 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Cherno More Varna to win with probability 38%.
Head-to-head history favors Cherno More Varna, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. CSKA Sofia have 2 wins, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

17:00

2024-09-28

Cherno More Varna vs CSKA Sofia - Prediction & Odds

Cherno More Varna

CSKA Sofia

2024-09-28 17:00

STANDINGS UP TO 28/09/2024

League	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Ludogorets Razgrad	76	30	24	4	2	62	14	48
02 Levski Sofia	62	30	19	5	6	55	25	30
03 Arda	53	30	15	8	7	49	33	16
04 Cherno More Varna	53	30	14	11	5	41	25	16
05 Botev Plovdiv	49	30	14	7	9	32	31	1
06 Spartak Varna	48	30	14	6	10	39	38	1
07 CSKA Sofia	47	30	13	8	9	40	27	13
08 Beroe Stara Zagora	42	30	12	6	12	34	29	5
09 Slavia Sofia	42	30	12	6	12	43	42	1
10 CSKA 1948 Sofia	34	30	8	10	12	38	44	-6
11 Septemvri Sofia	33	30	10	3	17	32	47	-15
12 FK Levski Krumovgrad	30	30	7	9	14	16	31	-15
13 Lokomotiv Sofia	30	30	8	6	16	29	49	-20
14 Lokomotiv Plovdiv	28	30	7	7	16	27	40	-13
15 Botev Vratsa	21	30	5	6	19	24	57	-33
16 FC Hebar Pazardzhik	17	30	3	8	19	23	52	-29

Championship Group	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Ludogorets Razgrad	83	6	1	4	1	8	8	0
02 Levski Sofia	72	6	2	4	0	9	4	5
03 Cherno More Varna	59	6	1	3	2	3	5	-2
04 Arda	58	6	0	5	1	5	8	-3

Relegation Group	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Slavia Sofia	49	7	2	1	4	7	10	-3
02 Lokomotiv Sofia	47	7	5	2	0	14	2	12
03 CSKA 1948 Sofia	47	7	4	1	2	7	3	4
04 Septemvri Sofia	45	7	4	0	3	10	9	1
05 Lokomotiv Plovdiv	38	7	3	1	3	10	9	1
06 Botev Vratsa	36	7	5	0	2	10	8	2
07 FK Levski Krumovgrad	33	7	1	0	6	4	14	-10
08 FC Hebar Pazardzhik	21	7	1	1	5	5	12	-7

Qualifications	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 CSKA Sofia	65	6	6	0	0	18	1	17
02 Botev Plovdiv	56	6	2	1	3	11	12	-1
03 Spartak Varna	51	6	1	0	5	6	15	-9
04 Beroe Stara Zagora	49	6	2	1	3	7	14	-7

Head To Head

23/05/2024 17:15

CSKA Sofia

0 - 1

Cherno More Varna

BUL D1

24/02/2024 13:15

Cherno More Varna

1 - 0

CSKA Sofia

BUL D1

26/08/2023 18:15

CSKA Sofia

1 - 1

Cherno More Varna

BUL D1

15/05/2023 15:00

CSKA Sofia

2 - 0

Cherno More Varna

BUL D1

04/04/2023 17:00

CSKA Sofia

1 - 2

Cherno More Varna

BUL Cup

12/11/2022 13:00

Cherno More Varna

0 - 2

CSKA Sofia

BUL D1

Cherno More Varna

50%

Draw

17%

CSKA Sofia

33%

Cherno More Varna Last 6 matches

15/09/2024 14:00

Cherno More Varna 1 - 1 Arda BUL D1

01/09/2024 18:30

Ludogorets Razgrad 0 - 0 Cherno More Varna BUL D1

26/08/2024 18:15

Cherno More Varna 3 - 0 FK Levski Krumovgrad BUL D1

19/08/2024 18:15

Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1 - 2 Cherno More Varna BUL D1

12/08/2024 18:15

Cherno More Varna 2 - 1 Botev Vratsa BUL D1

04/08/2024 15:59

Lokomotiv Sofia 2 - 1 Cherno More Varna BUL D1

Win

50%

Draw

33%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches CSKA Sofia

16/09/2024 16:45

Lokomotiv Sofia 0 - 3 CSKA Sofia BUL D1

30/08/2024 18:30

CSKA Sofia 0 - 1 Botev Plovdiv BUL D1

24/08/2024 16:00

Arda 2 - 1 CSKA Sofia BUL D1

17/08/2024 15:59

CSKA Sofia 0 - 1 Slavia Sofia BUL D1

03/08/2024 15:59

Spartak Varna 3 - 0 CSKA Sofia BUL D1

27/07/2024 15:59

CSKA Sofia 3 - 1 FC Hebar Pazardzhik BUL D1

Win

33%

Draw

Lost

67%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Bulgaria Premier Leagu...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

231

Avg. per game

0.77

Conceded

144

Avg. per game

0.48

Scored

262

Avg. per game

0.87

Conceded

159

Avg. per game

0.53

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

159 (53%)141 (47%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

169 (56%)131 (44%)

Cherno More Varna

Recent matches

CSKA Sofia

Under /Over

(58%)26 19(42%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(73%)33 12(27%)

Under /Over

(13%)6 39(87%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(24%)11 34(76%)

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(44%)20 25(56%)

/Yes

(31%)14 31(69%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(44%)20 25(56%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Cherno More Varna

CSKA Sofia

Shots

Cherno More Varna

Total shots

10.57 avg / game

Blocked

88 total

Avg. 2.93

CSKA Sofia

Total shots

12.06 avg / game

Blocked

164 total

Avg. 4.21

Cherno More Varna Pass CSKA Sofia

Total passes

251

Avg. 251 / game

Accurate

75%

Ball possession

52%

Total passes

2596

Avg. 371 / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

55%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Cherno More Varna

300

Played games

CSKA Sofia

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.46

137

Clean sheets

131

0.44

4.30

1289

Corners

1600

5.33

2.76

828

Throw-ins

814

2.71

0.85

255

Offsides

270

0.90

1.09

328

GK saves

409

1.36

Cherno More Varna

DISCIPLINARY

CSKA Sofia

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.81

544

647

2.16

0.05

0.10

6.90

2069

Fouls

2119

7.06

0.02

Tackles

104

0.35

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Cherno More Varna vs CSKA Sofia Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Cherno More Varna vs CSKA Sofia on 28 September 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Bulgaria Premier League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Cherno More Varna vs CSKA Sofia Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Cherno More Varna's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against CSKA Sofia's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Bulgaria Premier League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Bulgaria Premier League standings and the Bulgaria Premier League form table to understand exactly where Cherno More Varna and CSKA Sofia sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Bulgaria Premier League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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