Chelsea vs Paris Saint Germain (PSG): Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 17 March

Chelsea
LLDWL
6th place in Group A
1
0-3
FT
17/03/2026 16:00
Paris Saint Germain (PSG)
WLWDW
11th place in Group A
UEFA Champions League
MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Chelsea vs Paris Saint Germain (PSG) on 17 March 2026 (kick-off: 16:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Chelsea vs Paris Saint Germain (PSG) preview before placing your bet.

  • Chelsea are currently 6th with 16 points after 8 matches.
  • Paris Saint Germain (PSG) sit 11th with 14 points from 8 matches.
  • Our algorithm prediction: Chelsea to win with probability 45%.
  • Head-to-head history favors Paris Saint Germain (PSG), who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Chelsea have one win, while 2 matches ended in draws.
Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards
Home team Away team
Probability %
1
X
2
Pred
Correct
Avg.g
Coef.
Score.
Live coef.
Weather
favorite match
16:00

2026-03-17

Chelsea vs Paris Saint Germain (PSG) - Prediction & Odds

Chelsea
Chelsea
Paris Saint Germain (PSG)
Paris Saint Germain (PSG)
2026-03-17 16:00
45
23
32
1
2 - 2
2 - 2
3.25
2.02
FT
0-3 0-2
-
weather
7℃～8℃
STANDINGS UP TO 17/03/2026
Group A PTS
GP W D L GF GA +/-
01 Arsenal Arsenal
24 8 8 0 0 23 4 19
02 Bayern Munchen Bayern Munchen
21 8 7 0 1 22 8 14
03 Liverpool Liverpool
18 8 6 0 2 20 8 12
04 Tottenham Hotspur Tottenham Hotspur
17 8 5 2 1 17 7 10
05 FC Barcelona FC Barcelona
16 8 5 1 2 22 14 8
06 Chelsea Chelsea
16 8 5 1 2 17 10 7
07 Sporting CP Sporting CP
16 8 5 1 2 17 11 6
08 Manchester City Manchester City
16 8 5 1 2 15 9 6
09 Real Madrid Real Madrid
15 8 5 0 3 21 12 9
10 Inter Milan Inter Milan
15 8 5 0 3 15 7 8
11 Paris Saint Germain (PSG) Paris Saint Germain (PSG)
14 8 4 2 2 21 11 10
12 Newcastle United Newcastle United
14 8 4 2 2 17 7 10
13 Juventus Juventus
13 8 3 4 1 14 10 4
14 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid
13 8 4 1 3 17 15 2
15 Atalanta Atalanta
13 8 4 1 3 10 10 0
16 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen
12 8 3 3 2 13 14 -1
17 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund
11 8 3 2 3 19 17 2
18 Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos Piraeus
11 8 3 2 3 10 14 -4
19 Club Brugge Club Brugge
10 8 3 1 4 15 17 -2
20 Galatasaray Galatasaray
10 8 3 1 4 9 11 -2
21 Monaco Monaco
10 8 2 4 2 8 14 -6
22 Qarabag Qarabag
10 8 3 1 4 13 21 -8
23 Bodo Glimt Bodo Glimt
9 8 2 3 3 14 15 -1
24 Benfica Benfica
9 8 3 0 5 10 12 -2
25 Marseille Marseille
9 8 3 0 5 11 14 -3
26 AEP Paphos AEP Paphos
9 8 2 3 3 8 11 -3
27 Saint Gilloise Saint Gilloise
9 8 3 0 5 8 17 -9
28 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven
8 8 2 2 4 16 16 0
29 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao
8 8 2 2 4 9 14 -5
30 Napoli Napoli
8 8 2 2 4 9 15 -6
31 FC Copenhagen FC Copenhagen
8 8 2 2 4 12 21 -9
32 AFC Ajax AFC Ajax
6 8 2 0 6 8 21 -13
33 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt
4 8 1 1 6 10 21 -11
34 Slavia Praha Slavia Praha
3 8 0 3 5 5 19 -14
35 Villarreal Villarreal
1 8 0 1 7 5 18 -13
36 FC Kairat Almaty FC Kairat Almaty
1 8 0 1 7 7 22 -15
Head To Head
11/03/2026 16:00
Paris Saint Germain (PSG) Paris Saint Germain (PSG)
5 - 2
Chelsea Chelsea
UEFA CL
13/07/2025 15:00
Chelsea Chelsea
3 - 0
Paris Saint Germain (PSG) Paris Saint Germain (PSG)
FCWC
09/03/2016 15:45
Chelsea Chelsea
1 - 2
Paris Saint Germain (PSG) Paris Saint Germain (PSG)
UEFA CL
16/02/2016 15:45
Paris Saint Germain (PSG) Paris Saint Germain (PSG)
2 - 1
Chelsea Chelsea
UEFA CL
25/07/2015 18:10
Paris Saint Germain (PSG) Paris Saint Germain (PSG)
1 - 1
Chelsea Chelsea
ICC
11/03/2015 15:45
Chelsea Chelsea
1 - 1
Paris Saint Germain (PSG) Paris Saint Germain (PSG)
UEFA CL
Chelsea
1
17%
Draw
2
33%
Paris Saint Germain (PSG)
3
50%
Chelsea Chelsea Last 6 matches
14/03/2026 13:30
Chelsea 0 - 1 Newcastle United ENG PR
11/03/2026 16:00
Paris Saint Germain (PSG) 5 - 2 Chelsea UEFA CL
07/03/2026 13:45
Wrexham 2 - 2 Chelsea ENG FAC
04/03/2026 15:30
Aston Villa 1 - 4 Chelsea ENG PR
01/03/2026 12:30
Arsenal 2 - 1 Chelsea ENG PR
21/02/2026 11:00
Chelsea 1 - 1 Burnley ENG PR
Win
17%
Draw
33%
Lost
50%
Last 6 matches Paris Saint Germain (PSG) Paris Saint Germain (PSG)
11/03/2026 16:00
Paris Saint Germain (PSG) 5 - 2 Chelsea UEFA CL
06/03/2026 15:45
Paris Saint Germain (PSG) 1 - 3 Monaco FRA D1
28/02/2026 16:05
Le Havre 0 - 1 Paris Saint Germain (PSG) FRA D1
25/02/2026 16:00
Paris Saint Germain (PSG) 2 - 2 Monaco UEFA CL
21/02/2026 16:05
Paris Saint Germain (PSG) 3 - 0 Metz FRA D1
17/02/2026 16:00
Monaco 2 - 3 Paris Saint Germain (PSG) UEFA CL
Win
67%
Draw
17%
Lost
17%
Overall Home/Away
Full time First half Second half
All leagues UEFA Champions League

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games
Chelsea
Chelsea
300
 Paris Saint Germain (PSG)
Paris Saint Germain (PSG)
300
Goals
Scored
293
Avg. per game
0.98
Conceded
204
Avg. per game
0.68
Scored
373
Avg. per game
1.24
Conceded
171
Avg. per game
0.57
Scored a goal
In last 6 matches
YesNo
4 (67%)2 (33%)
In last 6 matches
NoYes
5 (83%)1 (17%)
In last 300 matches
YesNo
179 (60%)121 (40%)
In last 300 matches
NoYes
216 (72%)84 (28%)
Chelsea

Chelsea

Recent matches

Paris Saint Germain (PSG)

Paris Saint Germain (PSG)

Under /Over

(87%)39 6(13%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(84%)38 7(16%)

Under /Over

(40%)18 27(60%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(47%)21 24(53%)

Under /Over

(60%)27 18(40%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

/Yes

(62%)28 17(38%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(53%)24 21(47%)
GOALS BY TIME PERIOD
Chelsea Chelsea
Paris Saint Germain (PSG) Paris Saint Germain (PSG)
Shots
Chelsea
Chelsea
Total shots
14.76 avg / game
Blocked
1065 total
Avg. 4.16
Paris Saint Germain (PSG)
Paris Saint Germain (PSG)
Total shots
16.15 avg / game
Blocked
1013 total
Avg. 4.08
Chelsea Chelsea Pass Paris Saint Germain (PSG) Paris Saint Germain (PSG)
Total passes
157149
Avg. 565 / game
Accurate
87%
Ball possession
59%
Total passes
183627
Avg. 668 / game
Accurate
90%
Ball possession
63%
TOTAL ATTACKS
Chelsea
Chelsea
32219
Avg. 107.40 / game
 Paris Saint Germain (PSG)
Paris Saint Germain (PSG)
35965
Avg. 119.88 / game
DANGEROUS ATTACKS
Chelsea
Chelsea
16504
Avg. 55.01 / game
 Paris Saint Germain (PSG)
Paris Saint Germain (PSG)
18273
Avg. 60.91 / game
OTHERS
Chelsea
Chelsea
300
Played games
Paris Saint Germain (PSG)
Paris Saint Germain (PSG)
300
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
0.31
93
Clean sheets
106
0.35
5.74
1722
Corners
1722
5.74
15.20
4561
Throw-ins
4353
14.51
1.77
531
Offsides
531
1.77
2.69
806
GK saves
802
2.67
Chelsea
Chelsea
DISCIPLINARY
Paris Saint Germain (PSG)
Paris Saint Germain (PSG)
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
2.09
626
Yellow card
425
1.42
0.07
22
Red card
24
0.08
11.02
3305
Fouls
2782
9.27
13.60
4080
Tackles
4066
13.55
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How We Build the Chelsea vs Paris Saint Germain (PSG) Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Chelsea vs Paris Saint Germain (PSG) on 17 March 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this UEFA Champions League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Chelsea vs Paris Saint Germain (PSG) Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Chelsea's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Paris Saint Germain (PSG)'s away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

UEFA Champions League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live UEFA Champions League standings and the UEFA Champions League form table to understand exactly where Chelsea and Paris Saint Germain (PSG) sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our UEFA Champions League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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