Chelsea vs Middlesbrough: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 23 January

Chelsea

W L W W W

No standing data

6-1

23/01/2024 16:00

Middlesbrough

D W W L L

No standing data

England League Cup

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Chelsea vs Middlesbrough on 23 January 2024 (kick-off: 16:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Chelsea vs Middlesbrough preview before placing your bet.

Our algorithm prediction: Chelsea to win with probability 75%.
Head-to-head history favors Chelsea, who have won 5 of the last 6 meetings. Middlesbrough have one win, while 0 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

16:00

2024-01-23

Chelsea vs Middlesbrough - Prediction & Odds

Chelsea

Middlesbrough

2024-01-23 16:00

STANDINGS UP TO 23/01/2024

The standings compare the rankings (Rank-XH) of Chelsea and Middlesbrough in the England League Cup football standings for the 2023-2024 season, updated before kickoff and immediately after the match ends.

Head To Head

09/01/2024 16:00

Middlesbrough

1 - 0

Chelsea

ENG LC

19/03/2022 13:15

Middlesbrough

0 - 2

Chelsea

ENG FAC

08/05/2017 15:00

Chelsea

3 - 0

Middlesbrough

ENG PR

20/11/2016 11:59

Middlesbrough

0 - 1

Chelsea

ENG PR

27/02/2013 15:45

Middlesbrough

0 - 2

Chelsea

ENG FAC

28/01/2009 15:45

Chelsea

2 - 0

Middlesbrough

ENG PR

Chelsea

83%

Draw

Middlesbrough

17%

Chelsea Last 6 matches

13/01/2024 08:30

Chelsea 1 - 0 Fulham ENG PR

09/01/2024 16:00

Middlesbrough 1 - 0 Chelsea ENG LC

06/01/2024 13:30

Chelsea 4 - 0 Preston North End ENG FAC

30/12/2023 08:30

Luton Town 2 - 3 Chelsea ENG PR

27/12/2023 15:30

Chelsea 2 - 1 Crystal Palace ENG PR

24/12/2023 09:00

Wolves 2 - 1 Chelsea ENG PR

Win

67%

Draw

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Middlesbrough

20/01/2024 11:00

Middlesbrough 1 - 1 Rotherham United ENG LCH

13/01/2024 11:10

Millwall 1 - 3 Middlesbrough ENG LCH

09/01/2024 16:00

Middlesbrough 1 - 0 Chelsea ENG LC

06/01/2024 13:30

Middlesbrough 0 - 1 Aston Villa ENG FAC

01/01/2024 11:00

Middlesbrough 1 - 3 Coventry City ENG LCH

29/12/2023 15:45

Huddersfield Town 1 - 2 Middlesbrough ENG LCH

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues England League Cup

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

187

Avg. per game

1.01

Conceded

111

Avg. per game

0.60

Scored

118

Avg. per game

0.74

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.54

Scored a goal

In last 6 home matches

YesNo

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 6 home matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 186 home matches

YesNo

120 (65%)66 (35%)

In last 186 home matches

NoYes

84 (53%)76 (48%)

Chelsea

Recent matches

Middlesbrough

Under /Over

(73%)33 12(27%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(58%)26 19(42%)

Under /Over

(33%)15 30(67%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

/Yes

(47%)21 24(53%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(49%)22 23(51%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Chelsea

Middlesbrough

Shots

Chelsea

Total shots

15.96 avg / game

Blocked

711 total

Avg. 4.53

Middlesbrough

Total shots

13.36 avg / game

Blocked

604 total

Avg. 4.47

Chelsea Pass Middlesbrough

Total passes

97763

Avg. 572 / game

Accurate

87%

Ball possession

59%

Total passes

67962

Avg. 472 / game

Accurate

80%

Ball possession

54%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Chelsea

186

Played games

Middlesbrough

160

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.42

Clean sheets

0.36

6.17

1148

Corners

990

6.19

15.90

2957

Throw-ins

3260

20.38

1.81

336

Offsides

299

1.87

2.55

474

GK saves

326

2.04

Chelsea

DISCIPLINARY

Middlesbrough

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.75

325

211

1.32

0.05

0.03

10.67

1984

Fouls

1476

9.23

14.13

2629

Tackles

2025

12.66

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Chelsea vs Middlesbrough Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Chelsea vs Middlesbrough on 23 January 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this England League Cup fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Chelsea vs Middlesbrough Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Chelsea's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Middlesbrough's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

England League Cup Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live England League Cup standings and the England League Cup form table to understand exactly where Chelsea and Middlesbrough sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our England League Cup predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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