Chelsea vs Liverpool: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 04 October

Chelsea

L L L D W

10th place in English Premier League

2-1

04/10/2025 12:30

Liverpool

W W L D L

5th place in English Premier League

English Premier League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Chelsea vs Liverpool on 04 October 2025 (kick-off: 12:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Chelsea vs Liverpool preview before placing your bet.

Chelsea are currently 10th with 52 points after 38 matches.
Liverpool sit 5th with 60 points from 38 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Liverpool to win with probability 43%.
Head-to-head history favors Liverpool, who have won 2 of the last 6 meetings. Chelsea have one win, while 3 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

12:30

2025-10-04

Chelsea vs Liverpool - Prediction & Odds

Chelsea

Liverpool

2025-10-04 12:30

STANDINGS UP TO 04/10/2025

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Arsenal	85	38	26	7	5	71	27	44
02 Manchester City	78	38	23	9	6	77	35	42
03 Manchester United	71	38	20	11	7	69	50	19
04 Aston Villa	65	38	19	8	11	56	49	7
05 Liverpool	60	38	17	9	12	63	53	10
06 AFC Bournemouth	57	38	13	18	7	58	54	4
07 Sunderland A.F.C	54	38	14	12	12	42	48	-6
08 Brighton Hove Albion	53	38	14	11	13	52	46	6
09 Brentford	53	38	14	11	13	55	52	3
10 Chelsea	52	38	14	10	14	58	52	6
11 Fulham	52	38	15	7	16	47	51	-4
12 Newcastle United	49	38	14	7	17	53	55	-2
13 Everton	49	38	13	10	15	47	50	-3
14 Leeds United	47	38	11	14	13	49	56	-7
15 Crystal Palace	45	38	11	12	15	41	51	-10
16 Nottingham Forest	44	38	11	11	16	48	51	-3
17 Tottenham Hotspur	41	38	10	11	17	48	57	-9
18 West Ham United	39	38	10	9	19	46	65	-19
19 Burnley	22	38	4	10	24	38	75	-37
20 Wolves	20	38	3	11	24	27	68	-41

Head To Head

04/05/2025 11:30

Chelsea

3 - 1

Liverpool

ENG PR

20/10/2024 11:30

Liverpool

2 - 1

Chelsea

ENG PR

25/02/2024 11:00

Chelsea

0 - 0

Liverpool

ENG LC

31/01/2024 16:15

Liverpool

4 - 1

Chelsea

ENG PR

13/08/2023 11:30

Chelsea

1 - 1

Liverpool

ENG PR

04/04/2023 15:00

Chelsea

0 - 0

Liverpool

ENG PR

Chelsea

17%

Draw

50%

Liverpool

33%

Chelsea Last 6 matches

27/09/2025 10:00

Chelsea 1 - 3 Brighton Hove Albion ENG PR

23/09/2025 14:45

Lincoln City 1 - 2 Chelsea ENG LC

20/09/2025 12:30

Manchester United 2 - 1 Chelsea ENG PR

17/09/2025 15:00

Bayern Munchen 3 - 1 Chelsea UEFA CL

13/09/2025 15:00

Brentford 2 - 2 Chelsea ENG PR

30/08/2025 07:30

Chelsea 2 - 0 Fulham ENG PR

Win

33%

Draw

17%

Lost

50%

Last 6 matches Liverpool

27/09/2025 10:00

Crystal Palace 2 - 1 Liverpool ENG PR

23/09/2025 15:00

Liverpool 2 - 1 Southampton ENG LC

20/09/2025 07:30

Liverpool 2 - 1 Everton ENG PR

17/09/2025 15:00

Liverpool 3 - 2 Atletico Madrid UEFA CL

14/09/2025 09:00

Burnley 0 - 1 Liverpool ENG PR

31/08/2025 11:30

Liverpool 1 - 0 Arsenal ENG PR

Win

83%

Draw

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues English Premier League

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Chelsea

Liverpool

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.68

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.84

Scored

Avg. per game

0.79

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.84

Scored a goal

In last 6 home matches

YesNo

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 6 home matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 19 home matches

YesNo

9 (47%)10 (53%)

In last 19 home matches

NoYes

11 (58%)8 (42%)

Chelsea

Recent matches

Liverpool

Under /Over

(84%)16 3(16%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(89%)17 2(11%)

Under /Over

(26%)5 14(74%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(37%)7 12(63%)

Under /Over

(53%)10 9(47%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(47%)9 10(53%)

/Yes

(58%)11 8(42%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(68%)13 6(32%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Chelsea

Liverpool

Shots

Chelsea

Total shots

15.16 avg / game

Blocked

108 total

Avg. 5.68

Liverpool

Total shots

17.21 avg / game

Blocked

106 total

Avg. 5.58

Chelsea Pass Liverpool

Total passes

10192

Avg. 536 / game

Accurate

87%

Ball possession

59%

Total passes

9742

Avg. 513 / game

Accurate

85%

Ball possession

59%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Chelsea

Played games

Liverpool

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.26

Clean sheets

0.26

6.89

131

Corners

120

6.32

15.32

291

Throw-ins

365

19.21

1.47

Offsides

2.16

2.58

GK saves

2.63

Chelsea

DISCIPLINARY

Liverpool

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.32

1.16

0.16

0.05

10.84

206

Fouls

188

9.89

8.84

168

Tackles

169

8.89

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Chelsea vs Liverpool Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Chelsea vs Liverpool on 04 October 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this English Premier League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Chelsea vs Liverpool Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Chelsea's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Liverpool's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

English Premier League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live English Premier League standings and the English Premier League form table to understand exactly where Chelsea and Liverpool sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our English Premier League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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