Chelsea vs Liverpool Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – May 04

Chelsea

W W W L W

4th place in English Premier League

3-1

04/05/2025 15:30

Liverpool

W W L D L

1st place in English Premier League

English Premier League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Chelsea vs Liverpool on May 04, 2025 (kick-off: 15:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Chelsea vs Liverpool preview before placing for you.

Chelsea are currently 4th with 69 points after 38 matches.
Liverpool sit 1st with 84 points from 38 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Chelsea to win with probability 41%.
Head-to-head history favors Liverpool, who have won 2 of the last 6 meetings. Chelsea have no wins, while 4 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

15:30

2025-05-04

Chelsea vs Liverpool - Prediction & Odds

Chelsea

Liverpool

2025-05-04 15:30

STANDINGS UP TO 04/05/2025

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Liverpool	84	38	25	9	4	86	41	45
02 Arsenal	74	38	20	14	4	69	34	35
03 Manchester City	71	38	21	8	9	72	44	28
04 Chelsea	69	38	20	9	9	64	43	21
05 Newcastle United	66	38	20	6	12	68	47	21
06 Aston Villa	66	38	19	9	10	58	51	7
07 Nottingham Forest	65	38	19	8	11	58	46	12
08 Brighton Hove Albion	61	38	16	13	9	66	59	7
09 AFC Bournemouth	56	38	15	11	12	58	46	12
10 Brentford	56	38	16	8	14	66	57	9
11 Fulham	54	38	15	9	14	54	54	0
12 Crystal Palace	53	38	13	14	11	51	51	0
13 Everton	48	38	11	15	12	42	44	-2
14 West Ham United	43	38	11	10	17	46	62	-16
15 Manchester United	42	38	11	9	18	44	54	-10
16 Wolves	42	38	12	6	20	54	69	-15
17 Tottenham Hotspur	38	38	11	5	22	64	65	-1
18 Leicester City	25	38	6	7	25	33	80	-47
19 Ipswich Town	22	38	4	10	24	36	82	-46
20 Southampton	12	38	2	6	30	26	86	-60

Head To Head

20/10/2024 15:30

Liverpool

2 - 1

Chelsea

ENG PR

25/02/2024 15:00

Chelsea

0 - 0

Liverpool

ENG LC

31/01/2024 20:15

Liverpool

4 - 1

Chelsea

ENG PR

13/08/2023 15:30

Chelsea

1 - 1

Liverpool

ENG PR

04/04/2023 19:00

Chelsea

0 - 0

Liverpool

ENG PR

21/01/2023 12:30

Liverpool

0 - 0

Chelsea

ENG PR

Chelsea

Draw

67%

Liverpool

33%

Chelsea Last 6 matches

26/04/2025 11:30

Chelsea 1 - 0 Everton ENG PR

20/04/2025 13:00

Fulham 1 - 2 Chelsea ENG PR

17/04/2025 19:00

Chelsea 1 - 2 Legia Warszawa UEFA ECL

13/04/2025 13:00

Chelsea 2 - 2 Ipswich Town ENG PR

10/04/2025 16:45

Legia Warszawa 0 - 3 Chelsea UEFA ECL

06/04/2025 13:00

Brentford 0 - 0 Chelsea ENG PR

Win

50%

Draw

33%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Liverpool

27/04/2025 15:30

Liverpool 5 - 1 Tottenham Hotspur ENG PR

20/04/2025 15:30

Leicester City 0 - 1 Liverpool ENG PR

13/04/2025 13:00

Liverpool 2 - 1 West Ham United ENG PR

06/04/2025 13:00

Fulham 3 - 2 Liverpool ENG PR

02/04/2025 19:00

Liverpool 1 - 0 Everton ENG PR

16/03/2025 16:30

Newcastle United 2 - 1 Liverpool ENG LC

Win

67%

Draw

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues English Premier League

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

293

Avg. per game

0.98

Conceded

204

Avg. per game

0.68

Scored

364

Avg. per game

1.21

Conceded

180

Avg. per game

0.60

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

179 (60%)121 (40%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

209 (70%)91 (30%)

Chelsea

Recent matches

Liverpool

Under /Over

(84%)38 7(16%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(82%)37 8(18%)

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

Under /Over

(60%)27 18(40%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(60%)27 18(40%)

/Yes

(60%)27 18(40%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(53%)24 21(47%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Chelsea

Liverpool

Shots

Chelsea

Total shots

14.77 avg / game

Blocked

1062 total

Avg. 4.15

Liverpool

Total shots

16.72 avg / game

Blocked

1268 total

Avg. 4.88

Chelsea Pass Liverpool

Total passes

157315

Avg. 566 / game

Accurate

87%

Ball possession

59%

Total passes

158341

Avg. 563 / game

Accurate

85%

Ball possession

60%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Chelsea

300

Played games

Liverpool

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.31

Clean sheets

106

0.35

5.74

1723

Corners

1893

6.31

15.23

4568

Throw-ins

5524

18.41

1.76

528

Offsides

580

1.93

2.68

805

GK saves

771

2.57

Chelsea

DISCIPLINARY

Liverpool

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.08

625

428

1.43

0.07

0.05

10.99

3298

Fouls

3144

10.48

13.60

4080

Tackles

3942

13.14

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Chelsea vs Liverpool Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Chelsea vs Liverpool on 04 May 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this English Premier League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Chelsea vs Liverpool Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Chelsea's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Liverpool's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

English Premier League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live English Premier League standings and the English Premier League form table to understand exactly where Chelsea and Liverpool sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our English Premier League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

Explore More English Premier League Predictions

Find every upcoming English Premier League fixtures and predictions for this matchday, or browse all football predictions for today across every major league on Betiball.com.

View More View Less