Chelsea vs Burnley: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 30 March

Chelsea

D W W W W

6th place in English Premier League

2-2

30/03/2024 11:00

Burnley

D W D L L

19th place in English Premier League

English Premier League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Chelsea vs Burnley on 30 March 2024 (kick-off: 11:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Chelsea vs Burnley preview before placing your bet.

Chelsea are currently 6th with 63 points after 38 matches.
Burnley sit 19th with 24 points from 38 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Chelsea to win with probability 72%.
Head-to-head history favors Chelsea, who have won 5 of the last 6 meetings. Burnley have no wins, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

11:00

2024-03-30

Chelsea vs Burnley - Prediction & Odds

Chelsea

Burnley

2024-03-30 11:00

STANDINGS UP TO 30/03/2024

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Manchester City	91	38	28	7	3	96	34	62
02 Arsenal	89	38	28	5	5	91	29	62
03 Liverpool	82	38	24	10	4	86	41	45
04 Aston Villa	68	38	20	8	10	76	61	15
05 Tottenham Hotspur	66	38	20	6	12	74	61	13
06 Chelsea	63	38	18	9	11	77	63	14
07 Newcastle United	60	38	18	6	14	85	62	23
08 Manchester United	60	38	18	6	14	57	58	-1
09 West Ham United	52	38	14	10	14	60	74	-14
10 Crystal Palace	49	38	13	10	15	57	58	-1
11 Brighton Hove Albion	48	38	12	12	14	55	62	-7
12 AFC Bournemouth	48	38	13	9	16	54	67	-13
13 Fulham	47	38	13	8	17	55	61	-6
14 Wolves	46	38	13	7	18	50	65	-15
15 Everton	40	38	13	9	16	40	51	-11
16 Brentford	39	38	10	9	19	56	65	-9
17 Nottingham Forest	32	38	9	9	20	49	67	-18
18 Luton Town	26	38	6	8	24	52	85	-33
19 Burnley	24	38	5	9	24	41	78	-37
20 Sheffield United	16	38	3	7	28	35	104	-69

Head To Head

07/10/2023 10:00

Burnley

1 - 4

Chelsea

ENG PR

05/03/2022 11:00

Burnley

0 - 4

Chelsea

ENG PR

06/11/2021 11:00

Chelsea

1 - 1

Burnley

ENG PR

31/01/2021 08:00

Chelsea

2 - 0

Burnley

ENG PR

31/10/2020 11:00

Burnley

0 - 3

Chelsea

ENG PR

11/01/2020 11:00

Chelsea

3 - 0

Burnley

ENG PR

Chelsea

83%

Draw

17%

Burnley

Chelsea Last 6 matches

17/03/2024 08:45

Chelsea 4 - 2 Leicester City ENG FAC

11/03/2024 16:00

Chelsea 3 - 2 Newcastle United ENG PR

02/03/2024 11:00

Brentford 2 - 2 Chelsea ENG PR

28/02/2024 15:30

Chelsea 3 - 2 Leeds United ENG FAC

25/02/2024 11:00

Chelsea 0 - 0 Liverpool ENG LC

17/02/2024 13:30

Manchester City 1 - 1 Chelsea ENG PR

Win

50%

Draw

50%

Lost

Last 6 matches Burnley

16/03/2024 11:00

Burnley 2 - 1 Brentford ENG PR

10/03/2024 10:00

West Ham United 2 - 2 Burnley ENG PR

03/03/2024 09:00

Burnley 0 - 2 AFC Bournemouth ENG PR

24/02/2024 11:00

Crystal Palace 3 - 0 Burnley ENG PR

17/02/2024 11:00

Burnley 0 - 5 Arsenal ENG PR

10/02/2024 11:00

Liverpool 3 - 1 Burnley ENG PR

Win

17%

Draw

17%

Lost

67%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues English Premier League

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Chelsea

Burnley

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.11

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.84

Scored

Avg. per game

0.63

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.05

Scored a goal

In last 6 home matches

YesNo

6 (100%)0 (0%)

In last 6 home matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 19 home matches

YesNo

14 (74%)5 (26%)

In last 19 home matches

NoYes

9 (47%)10 (53%)

Chelsea

Recent matches

Burnley

Under /Over

(84%)16 3(16%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(95%)18 1(5%)

Under /Over

(47%)9 10(53%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(58%)11 8(42%)

Under /Over

(68%)13 6(32%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(53%)10 9(47%)

/Yes

(53%)10 9(47%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(58%)11 8(42%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Chelsea

Burnley

Shots

Chelsea

Total shots

16.47 avg / game

Blocked

87 total

Avg. 4.58

Burnley

Total shots

13.37 avg / game

Blocked

70 total

Avg. 3.68

Chelsea Pass Burnley

Total passes

10770

Avg. 567 / game

Accurate

86%

Ball possession

58%

Total passes

8972

Avg. 472 / game

Accurate

81%

Ball possession

51%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Chelsea

Played games

Burnley

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.32

Clean sheets

0.05

6.05

115

Corners

106

5.58

17.21

327

Throw-ins

346

18.21

2.26

Offsides

1.95

3.00

GK saves

3.58

Chelsea

DISCIPLINARY

Burnley

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.53

1.42

0.11

0.05

10.58

201

Fouls

198

10.42

17.00

323

Tackles

311

16.37

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Chelsea vs Burnley Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Chelsea vs Burnley on 30 March 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this English Premier League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Chelsea vs Burnley Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Chelsea's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Burnley's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

English Premier League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live English Premier League standings and the English Premier League form table to understand exactly where Chelsea and Burnley sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our English Premier League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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