Chelsea vs Aston Villa: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 24 September

Chelsea

D W W W W

6th place in English Premier League

0-1

24/09/2023 09:00

Aston Villa

W W D L D

4th place in English Premier League

English Premier League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Chelsea vs Aston Villa on 24 September 2023 (kick-off: 09:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Chelsea vs Aston Villa preview before placing your bet.

Chelsea are currently 6th with 63 points after 38 matches.
Aston Villa sit 4th with 68 points from 38 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Chelsea to win with probability 49%.
Head-to-head history favors Chelsea, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Aston Villa have 2 wins, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

09:00

2023-09-24

Chelsea vs Aston Villa - Prediction & Odds

Chelsea

Aston Villa

2023-09-24 09:00

STANDINGS UP TO 24/09/2023

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Manchester City	91	38	28	7	3	96	34	62
02 Arsenal	89	38	28	5	5	91	29	62
03 Liverpool	82	38	24	10	4	86	41	45
04 Aston Villa	68	38	20	8	10	76	61	15
05 Tottenham Hotspur	66	38	20	6	12	74	61	13
06 Chelsea	63	38	18	9	11	77	63	14
07 Newcastle United	60	38	18	6	14	85	62	23
08 Manchester United	60	38	18	6	14	57	58	-1
09 West Ham United	52	38	14	10	14	60	74	-14
10 Crystal Palace	49	38	13	10	15	57	58	-1
11 Brighton Hove Albion	48	38	12	12	14	55	62	-7
12 AFC Bournemouth	48	38	13	9	16	54	67	-13
13 Fulham	47	38	13	8	17	55	61	-6
14 Wolves	46	38	13	7	18	50	65	-15
15 Everton	40	38	13	9	16	40	51	-11
16 Brentford	39	38	10	9	19	56	65	-9
17 Nottingham Forest	32	38	9	9	20	49	67	-18
18 Luton Town	26	38	6	8	24	52	85	-33
19 Burnley	24	38	5	9	24	41	78	-37
20 Sheffield United	16	38	3	7	28	35	104	-69

Head To Head

01/04/2023 12:30

Chelsea

0 - 2

Aston Villa

ENG PR

11/12/2022 10:10

Aston Villa

1 - 0

Chelsea

INT CF

16/10/2022 09:00

Aston Villa

0 - 2

Chelsea

ENG PR

26/12/2021 13:30

Aston Villa

1 - 3

Chelsea

ENG PR

22/09/2021 14:45

Chelsea

1 - 1

Aston Villa

ENG LC

11/09/2021 12:30

Chelsea

3 - 0

Aston Villa

ENG PR

Chelsea

50%

Draw

17%

Aston Villa

33%

Chelsea Last 6 matches

17/09/2023 09:00

AFC Bournemouth 0 - 0 Chelsea ENG PR

02/09/2023 10:00

Chelsea 0 - 1 Nottingham Forest ENG PR

30/08/2023 14:45

Chelsea 2 - 1 AFC Wimbledon ENG LC

25/08/2023 15:00

Chelsea 3 - 0 Luton Town ENG PR

20/08/2023 11:30

West Ham United 3 - 1 Chelsea ENG PR

13/08/2023 11:30

Chelsea 1 - 1 Liverpool ENG PR

Win

33%

Draw

33%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Aston Villa

21/09/2023 12:45

Legia Warszawa 3 - 2 Aston Villa UEFA ECL

16/09/2023 10:00

Aston Villa 3 - 1 Crystal Palace ENG PR

03/09/2023 09:00

Liverpool 3 - 0 Aston Villa ENG PR

31/08/2023 15:00

Aston Villa 3 - 0 Hibernian UEFA ECL

27/08/2023 09:00

Burnley 1 - 3 Aston Villa ENG PR

23/08/2023 12:45

Hibernian 0 - 5 Aston Villa UEFA ECL

Win

67%

Draw

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues English Premier League

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

293

Avg. per game

0.98

Conceded

204

Avg. per game

0.68

Scored

272

Avg. per game

0.91

Conceded

220

Avg. per game

0.73

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

179 (60%)121 (40%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

184 (61%)116 (39%)

Chelsea

Recent matches

Aston Villa

Under /Over

(87%)39 6(13%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(80%)36 9(20%)

Under /Over

(40%)18 27(60%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(40%)18 27(60%)

Under /Over

(60%)27 18(40%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

/Yes

(62%)28 17(38%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(62%)28 17(38%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Chelsea

Aston Villa

Shots

Chelsea

Total shots

14.76 avg / game

Blocked

1065 total

Avg. 4.16

Aston Villa

Total shots

12.13 avg / game

Blocked

828 total

Avg. 3.35

Chelsea Pass Aston Villa

Total passes

157149

Avg. 565 / game

Accurate

87%

Ball possession

59%

Total passes

113828

Avg. 436 / game

Accurate

83%

Ball possession

51%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Chelsea

300

Played games

Aston Villa

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.31

Clean sheets

0.29

5.74

1722

Corners

1565

5.22

15.20

4561

Throw-ins

3954

13.18

1.77

531

Offsides

365

1.22

2.69

806

GK saves

787

2.62

Chelsea

DISCIPLINARY

Aston Villa

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.09

626

543

1.81

0.07

0.06

11.02

3305

Fouls

2881

9.60

13.60

4080

Tackles

3595

11.98

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

Paris Saint Germain (PSG)

How We Build the Chelsea vs Aston Villa Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Chelsea vs Aston Villa on 24 September 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this English Premier League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Chelsea vs Aston Villa Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Chelsea's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Aston Villa's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

English Premier League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live English Premier League standings and the English Premier League form table to understand exactly where Chelsea and Aston Villa sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our English Premier League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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