Chelsea vs Arsenal Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – October 21

Chelsea

D W W W W

6th place in English Premier League

2-2

21/10/2023 12:30

Arsenal

W W W W W

2nd place in English Premier League

English Premier League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Chelsea vs Arsenal on October 21, 2023 (kick-off: 12:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Chelsea vs Arsenal preview before placing for you.

Chelsea are currently 6th with 63 points after 38 matches.
Arsenal sit 2nd with 89 points from 38 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Arsenal to win with probability 44%.
Head-to-head history favors Arsenal, who have won 4 of the last 6 meetings. Chelsea have 2 wins, while 0 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

12:30

2023-10-21

Chelsea vs Arsenal - Prediction & Odds

Chelsea

Arsenal

2023-10-21 12:30

STANDINGS UP TO 21/10/2023

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Manchester City	91	38	28	7	3	96	34	62
02 Arsenal	89	38	28	5	5	91	29	62
03 Liverpool	82	38	24	10	4	86	41	45
04 Aston Villa	68	38	20	8	10	76	61	15
05 Tottenham Hotspur	66	38	20	6	12	74	61	13
06 Chelsea	63	38	18	9	11	77	63	14
07 Newcastle United	60	38	18	6	14	85	62	23
08 Manchester United	60	38	18	6	14	57	58	-1
09 West Ham United	52	38	14	10	14	60	74	-14
10 Crystal Palace	49	38	13	10	15	57	58	-1
11 Brighton Hove Albion	48	38	12	12	14	55	62	-7
12 AFC Bournemouth	48	38	13	9	16	54	67	-13
13 Fulham	47	38	13	8	17	55	61	-6
14 Wolves	46	38	13	7	18	50	65	-15
15 Everton	40	38	13	9	16	40	51	-11
16 Brentford	39	38	10	9	19	56	65	-9
17 Nottingham Forest	32	38	9	9	20	49	67	-18
18 Luton Town	26	38	6	8	24	52	85	-33
19 Burnley	24	38	5	9	24	41	78	-37
20 Sheffield United	16	38	3	7	28	35	104	-69

Head To Head

02/05/2023 15:00

Arsenal

3 - 1

Chelsea

ENG PR

06/11/2022 08:00

Chelsea

0 - 1

Arsenal

ENG PR

23/07/2022 20:00

Arsenal

4 - 0

Chelsea

Florida Cup

20/04/2022 14:45

Chelsea

2 - 4

Arsenal

ENG PR

22/08/2021 11:30

Arsenal

0 - 2

Chelsea

ENG PR

01/08/2021 10:00

Arsenal

1 - 2

Chelsea

INT CF

Chelsea

33%

Draw

Arsenal

67%

Chelsea Last 6 matches

07/10/2023 10:00

Burnley 1 - 4 Chelsea ENG PR

02/10/2023 15:00

Fulham 0 - 2 Chelsea ENG PR

27/09/2023 14:45

Chelsea 1 - 0 Brighton Hove Albion ENG LC

24/09/2023 09:00

Chelsea 0 - 1 Aston Villa ENG PR

17/09/2023 09:00

AFC Bournemouth 0 - 0 Chelsea ENG PR

02/09/2023 10:00

Chelsea 0 - 1 Nottingham Forest ENG PR

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Arsenal

08/10/2023 11:30

Arsenal 1 - 0 Manchester City ENG PR

03/10/2023 15:00

Lens 2 - 1 Arsenal UEFA CL

30/09/2023 10:00

AFC Bournemouth 0 - 4 Arsenal ENG PR

27/09/2023 14:45

Brentford 0 - 1 Arsenal ENG LC

24/09/2023 09:00

Arsenal 2 - 2 Tottenham Hotspur ENG PR

20/09/2023 15:00

Arsenal 4 - 0 PSV Eindhoven UEFA CL

Win

67%

Draw

17%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues English Premier League

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Chelsea

Arsenal

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.11

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.84

Scored

Avg. per game

1.53

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.47

Scored a goal

In last 6 home matches

YesNo

6 (100%)0 (0%)

In last 6 home matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 19 home matches

YesNo

14 (74%)5 (26%)

In last 19 home matches

NoYes

14 (74%)5 (26%)

Chelsea

Recent matches

Arsenal

Under /Over

(84%)16 3(16%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(95%)18 1(5%)

Under /Over

(47%)9 10(53%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(53%)10 9(47%)

Under /Over

(68%)13 6(32%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(63%)12 7(37%)

/Yes

(53%)10 9(47%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(53%)10 9(47%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Chelsea

Arsenal

Shots

Chelsea

Total shots

16.47 avg / game

Blocked

87 total

Avg. 4.58

Arsenal

Total shots

18.95 avg / game

Blocked

109 total

Avg. 6.06

Chelsea Pass Arsenal

Total passes

10770

Avg. 567 / game

Accurate

86%

Ball possession

58%

Total passes

10661

Avg. 561 / game

Accurate

87%

Ball possession

59%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Chelsea

Played games

Arsenal

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.32

Clean sheets

0.37

6.05

115

Corners

139

7.32

17.21

327

Throw-ins

291

15.32

2.26

Offsides

2.47

3.00

GK saves

1.58

Chelsea

DISCIPLINARY

Arsenal

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.53

1.79

0.11

0.05

10.58

201

Fouls

195

10.26

17.00

323

Tackles

298

15.68

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Chelsea vs Arsenal Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Chelsea vs Arsenal on 21 October 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this English Premier League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Chelsea vs Arsenal Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Chelsea's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Arsenal's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

English Premier League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live English Premier League standings and the English Premier League form table to understand exactly where Chelsea and Arsenal sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our English Premier League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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