Charleroi vs Mechelen: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 28 September

Charleroi

L L L D L

11th place in League

0-2

28/09/2025 12:30

Mechelen

L W W L W

5th place in League

Belgian Pro League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Charleroi vs Mechelen on 28 September 2025 (kick-off: 12:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Charleroi vs Mechelen preview before placing your bet.

Charleroi are currently 11th with 34 points after 30 matches.
Mechelen sit 5th with 45 points from 30 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Charleroi to win with probability 44%.
Head-to-head history favors Mechelen, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Charleroi have 2 wins, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

12:30

2025-09-28

Charleroi vs Mechelen - Prediction & Odds

Charleroi

Mechelen

2025-09-28 12:30

STANDINGS UP TO 28/09/2025

League	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Saint Gilloise	66	30	19	9	2	50	17	33
02 Club Brugge	63	30	20	3	7	59	36	23
03 Sint-Truidense	57	30	18	3	9	47	35	12
04 KAA Gent	45	30	13	6	11	49	43	6
05 Mechelen	45	30	12	9	9	39	37	2
06 Anderlecht	44	30	12	8	10	43	39	4
07 Racing Genk	42	30	11	9	10	46	47	-1
08 Standard Liege	40	30	11	7	12	27	35	-8
09 Westerlo	39	30	10	9	11	36	40	-4
10 Royal Antwerp	35	30	9	8	13	31	32	-1
11 Charleroi	34	30	9	7	14	38	42	-4
12 Oud-Heverlee Leuven	34	30	9	7	14	32	43	-11
13 Zulte-Waregem	32	30	8	8	14	38	47	-9
14 Cercle Brugge	31	30	7	10	13	39	47	-8
15 LaLouviere	31	30	6	13	11	30	37	-7
16 FCV Dender EH	19	30	3	10	17	24	51	-27

Champion Additional	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Club Brugge	57	10	8	1	1	32	9	23
02 Saint Gilloise	53	10	6	2	2	16	10	6
03 Sint-Truidense	43	10	4	2	4	14	11	3
04 Anderlecht	33	10	3	2	5	16	23	-7
05 Mechelen	29	10	1	3	6	9	24	-15
06 KAA Gent	29	10	0	6	4	4	14	-10

Playoffs	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Racing Genk	38	10	4	5	1	11	6	5
02 Standard Liege	37	10	5	2	3	17	11	6
03 Charleroi	34	10	5	2	3	12	8	4
04 Westerlo	33	10	4	1	5	14	17	-3
05 Royal Antwerp	31	10	4	1	5	12	16	-4
06 Oud-Heverlee Leuven	23	10	1	3	6	9	17	-8

Playoffs	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Zulte-Waregem	48	6	5	1	0	15	6	9
02 Cercle Brugge	41	6	3	1	2	14	11	3
03 LaLouviere	34	6	1	0	5	5	13	-8
04 FCV Dender EH	25	6	2	0	4	7	11	-4

Head To Head

18/05/2025 10:00

Mechelen

1 - 1

Charleroi

BEL D1

19/04/2025 12:15

Charleroi

3 - 0

Mechelen

BEL D1

08/03/2025 13:15

Charleroi

0 - 1

Mechelen

BEL D1

31/08/2024 10:00

Mechelen

5 - 2

Charleroi

BEL D1

27/12/2023 15:45

Charleroi

3 - 1

Mechelen

BEL D1

11/11/2023 15:45

Mechelen

1 - 0

Charleroi

BEL D1

Charleroi

33%

Draw

17%

Mechelen

50%

Charleroi Last 6 matches

20/09/2025 12:15

Charleroi 1 - 2 Zulte-Waregem BEL D1

17/09/2025 14:30

Racing Genk 0 - 1 Charleroi BEL D1

14/09/2025 10:00

Cercle Brugge 2 - 3 Charleroi BEL D1

30/08/2025 14:45

Charleroi 3 - 1 FCV Dender EH BEL D1

17/08/2025 12:30

Charleroi 1 - 1 Royal Antwerp BEL D1

10/08/2025 07:30

LaLouviere 1 - 0 Charleroi BEL D1

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Mechelen

12/09/2025 14:45

Standard Liege 1 - 1 Mechelen BEL D1

30/08/2025 10:00

Mechelen 3 - 2 LaLouviere BEL D1

24/08/2025 07:30

Royal Antwerp 2 - 1 Mechelen BEL D1

16/08/2025 12:15

Mechelen 1 - 1 KAA Gent BEL D1

09/08/2025 12:15

Westerlo 0 - 1 Mechelen BEL D1

02/08/2025 05:00

Jeunesse Molenbeek 4 - 0 Mechelen INT CF

Win

33%

Draw

33%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Belgian Pro League

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

230

Avg. per game

0.83

Conceded

217

Avg. per game

0.78

Scored

254

Avg. per game

0.86

Conceded

260

Avg. per game

0.88

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 278 matches

YesNo

155 (56%)123 (44%)

In last 278 matches

NoYes

170 (58%)124 (42%)

Charleroi

Recent matches

Mechelen

Under /Over

(80%)36 9(20%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(73%)33 12(27%)

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(24%)11 34(76%)

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(51%)23 22(49%)

/Yes

(51%)23 22(49%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(56%)25 20(44%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Charleroi

Mechelen

Shots

Charleroi

Total shots

12.11 avg / game

Blocked

641 total

Avg. 3.19

Mechelen

Total shots

12.30 avg / game

Blocked

562 total

Avg. 2.78

Charleroi Pass Mechelen

Total passes

94845

Avg. 439 / game

Accurate

79%

Ball possession

51%

Total passes

101782

Avg. 456 / game

Accurate

79%

Ball possession

52%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Charleroi

278

Played games

Mechelen

294

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.27

Clean sheets

0.26

4.48

1245

Corners

1403

4.77

15.09

4196

Throw-ins

4469

15.20

1.48

412

Offsides

423

1.44

2.54

706

GK saves

787

2.68

Charleroi

DISCIPLINARY

Mechelen

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.62

450

459

1.56

0.07

0.08

9.13

2537

Fouls

2494

8.48

13.03

3623

Tackles

3472

11.81

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Charleroi vs Mechelen Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Charleroi vs Mechelen on 28 September 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Belgian Pro League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Charleroi vs Mechelen Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Charleroi's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Mechelen's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Belgian Pro League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Belgian Pro League standings and the Belgian Pro League form table to understand exactly where Charleroi and Mechelen sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Belgian Pro League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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