Cerro Montevideo vs Club Atletico Progreso: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 14 March

Cerro Montevideo

W D D L L

16th place in Apertura

0-1

14/03/2026 09:00

Club Atletico Progreso

L L W L L

15th place in Apertura

Uruguay Primera Division

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Cerro Montevideo vs Club Atletico Progreso on 14 March 2026 (kick-off: 09:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Cerro Montevideo vs Club Atletico Progreso preview before placing your bet.

Cerro Montevideo are currently 16th with 10 points after 15 matches.
Club Atletico Progreso sit 15th with 10 points from 15 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Cerro Montevideo to win with probability 38%.
Head-to-head history favors Club Atletico Progreso, who have won 2 of the last 6 meetings. Cerro Montevideo have one win, while 3 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

09:00

2026-03-14

Cerro Montevideo vs Club Atletico Progreso - Prediction & Odds

Cerro Montevideo

Club Atletico Progreso

2026-03-14 09:00

STANDINGS UP TO 14/03/2026

Apertura	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Racing Club Montevideo	31	15	9	4	2	23	14	9
02 Deportivo Maldonado	29	15	9	2	4	24	16	8
03 Albion FC	28	15	8	4	3	26	16	10
04 CA Penarol	27	15	8	3	4	23	16	7
05 Central Espanol	24	15	7	3	5	23	22	1
06 Montevideo City Torque	23	15	6	5	4	22	16	6
07 Nacional Montevideo	22	15	7	1	7	26	21	5
08 Defensor Sporting Montevideo	21	15	5	6	4	13	11	2
09 Liverpool URU	20	15	5	5	5	20	18	2
10 Wanderers FC	20	15	6	2	7	16	21	-5
11 Danubio FC	18	15	4	6	5	17	21	-4
12 Cerro Largo	17	15	5	2	8	16	19	-3
13 Boston River	17	15	5	2	8	14	20	-6
14 CA Juventud	15	15	4	3	8	17	22	-5
15 Club Atletico Progreso	10	15	2	4	9	12	23	-11
16 Cerro Montevideo	10	15	2	4	9	8	24	-16

Torneo Intermedio Group A	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 CA Penarol	16	7	5	1	1	12	3	9
02 Cerro Largo	11	7	3	2	2	7	5	2
03 Cerro Montevideo	9	6	3	0	3	5	8	-3
04 Liverpool URU	8	6	2	2	2	5	5	0
05 Central Espanol	8	6	2	2	2	4	4	0
06 Racing Club Montevideo	7	6	1	4	1	3	3	0
07 Boston River	5	6	1	2	3	5	9	-4
08 Defensor Sporting Montevideo	3	6	0	3	3	4	8	-4

Torneo Intermedio Group B	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Wanderers FC	15	7	4	3	0	12	4	8
02 Deportivo Maldonado	12	7	3	3	1	12	6	6
03 Montevideo City Torque	12	7	4	0	3	11	11	0
04 Nacional Montevideo	10	6	3	1	2	6	7	-1
05 CA Juventud	8	7	2	2	3	8	11	-3
06 Albion FC	6	7	1	3	3	6	8	-2
07 Club Atletico Progreso	6	6	2	0	4	5	9	-4
08 Danubio FC	4	7	0	4	3	5	9	-4
09 Unknown	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10 Unknown	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Head To Head

05/10/2025 09:30

Club Atletico Progreso

2 - 0

Cerro Montevideo

URU D1

06/04/2025 09:00

Cerro Montevideo

0 - 0

Club Atletico Progreso

URU D1

14/09/2024 15:00

Club Atletico Progreso

0 - 1

Cerro Montevideo

URU D1

01/03/2024 16:00

Cerro Montevideo

2 - 3

Club Atletico Progreso

URU D1

10/09/2022 11:30

Cerro Montevideo

1 - 1

Club Atletico Progreso

URU D2

18/06/2022 11:30

Club Atletico Progreso

0 - 0

Cerro Montevideo

URU D2

Cerro Montevideo

17%

Draw

50%

Club Atletico Progreso

33%

Cerro Montevideo Last 6 matches

08/03/2026 08:45

Racing Club Montevideo 1 - 0 Cerro Montevideo URU D1

27/02/2026 19:00

Cerro Montevideo 1 - 1 Boston River URU D1

20/02/2026 17:45

Cerro Montevideo 1 - 1 Liverpool URU URU D1

16/02/2026 18:00

Albion FC 3 - 0 Cerro Montevideo URU D1

09/02/2026 19:00

Cerro Montevideo 0 - 1 Danubio FC URU D1

14/01/2026 20:30

Racing Club Montevideo 2 - 1 Cerro Montevideo UCL

Win

Draw

33%

Lost

67%

Last 6 matches Club Atletico Progreso

07/03/2026 16:00

Club Atletico Progreso 2 - 2 Albion FC URU D1

28/02/2026 16:00

Danubio FC 2 - 2 Club Atletico Progreso URU D1

21/02/2026 19:30

Club Atletico Progreso 0 - 1 Nacional Montevideo URU D1

14/02/2026 16:00

Deportivo Maldonado 2 - 0 Club Atletico Progreso URU D1

07/02/2026 16:00

Club Atletico Progreso 0 - 3 Central Espanol URU D1

29/01/2026 19:00

Club Atletico Progreso 2 - 1 Boston River UCL

Win

17%

Draw

33%

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Uruguay Primera Divisi...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Cerro Montevideo

220

Club Atletico Progreso

221

Goals

Scored

100

Avg. per game

0.45

Conceded

152

Avg. per game

0.69

Scored

140

Avg. per game

0.63

Conceded

149

Avg. per game

0.67

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

1 (17%)5 (83%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 220 matches

YesNo

85 (39%)135 (61%)

In last 220 matches

NoYes

106 (48%)115 (52%)

Cerro Montevideo

Recent matches

Club Atletico Progreso

Under /Over

(56%)25 20(44%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(71%)32 13(29%)

Under /Over

(31%)14 31(69%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

Under /Over

(29%)13 32(71%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(31%)14 31(69%)

/Yes

(38%)17 28(62%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(47%)21 24(53%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Cerro Montevideo

Club Atletico Progreso

Shots

Cerro Montevideo

Total shots

6.36 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Club Atletico Progreso

Total shots

8.27 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Cerro Montevideo Pass Club Atletico Progreso

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

47%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

49%

TOTAL ATTACKS

Cerro Montevideo

19507

Avg. 88.67 / game

Club Atletico Progreso

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

Club Atletico Progreso

13694

Avg. 61.96 / game

OTHERS

Cerro Montevideo

220

Played games

Club Atletico Progreso

221

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.33

Clean sheets

0.26

3.88

853

Corners

1065

4.82

0.00

Throw-ins

0.00

0.01

Offsides

0.00

1.09

240

GK saves

249

1.13

Cerro Montevideo

DISCIPLINARY

Club Atletico Progreso

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.60

572

615

2.78

0.16

0.15

0.19

Fouls

0.00

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

08/03

Defensor Sporting Montevideo

NEXT MATCHES

Club Atletico Progreso

URU

How We Build the Cerro Montevideo vs Club Atletico Progreso Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Cerro Montevideo vs Club Atletico Progreso on 14 March 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Uruguay Primera Division fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Cerro Montevideo vs Club Atletico Progreso Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Cerro Montevideo's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Club Atletico Progreso's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Uruguay Primera Division Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Uruguay Primera Division standings and the Uruguay Primera Division form table to understand exactly where Cerro Montevideo and Club Atletico Progreso sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Uruguay Primera Division predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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