Cerro Largo vs Nacional Montevideo Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – April 06

Cerro Largo

L L W D W

8th place in Apertura

0-4

06/04/2025 16:30

Nacional Montevideo

W W W W W

2nd place in Apertura

Uruguay Primera Division

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Cerro Largo vs Nacional Montevideo on April 06, 2025 (kick-off: 16:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Cerro Largo vs Nacional Montevideo preview before placing for you.

Cerro Largo are currently 8th with 21 points after 15 matches.
Nacional Montevideo sit 2nd with 31 points from 15 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Nacional Montevideo to win with probability 48%.
Head-to-head history favors Nacional Montevideo, who have won 4 of the last 6 meetings. Cerro Largo have no wins, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

16:30

2025-04-06

Cerro Largo vs Nacional Montevideo - Prediction & Odds

Cerro Largo

Nacional Montevideo

2025-04-06 16:30

STANDINGS UP TO 06/04/2025

Apertura	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Liverpool URU	32	15	9	5	1	22	9	13
02 Nacional Montevideo	31	15	9	4	2	35	16	19
03 CA Juventud	30	15	9	3	3	23	15	8
04 CA Penarol	27	15	8	3	4	21	17	4
05 Defensor Sporting Montevideo	24	15	7	3	5	17	12	5
06 Racing Club Montevideo	23	15	6	5	4	14	10	4
07 Boston River	22	15	6	4	5	16	17	-1
08 Cerro Largo	21	15	5	6	4	15	16	-1
09 Plaza Colonia	19	15	5	4	6	13	13	0
10 Montevideo City Torque	17	15	4	5	6	16	22	-6
11 Club Atletico Progreso	15	15	3	6	6	17	27	-10
12 Cerro Montevideo	14	15	3	6	6	13	20	-7
13 Danubio FC	12	15	1	9	5	12	17	-5
14 Wanderers FC	12	15	2	6	7	12	17	-5
15 Miramar Misiones FC	12	15	3	3	9	16	24	-8
16 CA River Plate	10	15	2	4	9	10	20	-10

Clausura	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 CA Penarol	35	15	11	2	2	30	12	18
02 Nacional Montevideo	27	15	8	6	1	25	11	14
03 Montevideo City Torque	27	15	8	3	4	28	17	11
04 Boston River	26	15	6	8	1	26	10	16
05 Cerro Largo	25	15	7	4	4	19	14	5
06 Liverpool URU	25	15	7	4	4	19	16	3
07 Cerro Montevideo	24	15	7	3	5	13	13	0
08 Defensor Sporting Montevideo	23	15	7	2	6	13	16	-3
09 Danubio FC	21	15	6	3	6	18	13	5
10 Club Atletico Progreso	18	15	5	3	7	17	23	-6
11 Racing Club Montevideo	17	15	4	5	6	14	22	-8
12 CA Juventud	16	15	4	4	7	8	13	-5
13 CA River Plate	14	15	3	5	7	12	18	-6
14 Miramar Misiones FC	13	15	3	4	8	17	26	-9
15 Plaza Colonia	8	15	2	2	11	9	26	-17
16 Wanderers FC	7	15	1	4	10	7	25	-18

Torneo Intermedio Group A	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 CA Penarol	16	7	5	1	1	15	5	10
02 Defensor Sporting Montevideo	14	7	4	2	1	12	10	2
03 Wanderers FC	12	7	3	3	1	6	5	1
04 Plaza Colonia	8	7	1	5	1	6	7	-1
05 Liverpool URU	8	7	2	2	3	10	12	-2
06 Cerro Montevideo	8	7	2	2	3	7	9	-2
07 CA River Plate	5	7	1	2	4	6	10	-4
08 Cerro Largo	3	7	0	3	4	7	11	-4

Torneo Intermedio Group B	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Nacional Montevideo	21	7	7	0	0	16	6	10
02 CA Juventud	15	7	5	0	2	14	11	3
03 Racing Club Montevideo	13	7	4	1	2	11	6	5
04 Danubio FC	10	7	3	1	3	11	11	0
05 Boston River	7	7	2	1	4	8	12	-4
06 Club Atletico Progreso	6	7	2	0	5	4	10	-6
07 Montevideo City Torque	5	7	1	2	4	10	12	-2
08 Miramar Misiones FC	4	7	1	1	5	2	8	-6

Head To Head

13/10/2024 15:00

Cerro Largo

0 - 1

Nacional Montevideo

URU D1

23/06/2024 14:00

Cerro Largo

0 - 4

Nacional Montevideo

URU D1

06/04/2024 17:00

Nacional Montevideo

1 - 0

Cerro Largo

URU D1

26/08/2023 17:00

Cerro Largo

2 - 2

Nacional Montevideo

URU D1

22/07/2023 18:30

Nacional Montevideo

1 - 0

Cerro Largo

URU D1

10/02/2023 19:00

Nacional Montevideo

0 - 0

Cerro Largo

URU D1

Cerro Largo

Draw

33%

Nacional Montevideo

67%

Cerro Largo Last 6 matches

17/03/2025 18:00

Cerro Largo 0 - 0 Cerro Montevideo URU D1

10/03/2025 19:00

Wanderers FC 3 - 0 Cerro Largo URU D1

06/03/2025 18:00

Cerro Largo 2 - 2 Danubio FC CON CSA

22/02/2025 18:30

Cerro Largo 3 - 2 Miramar Misiones FC URU D1

15/02/2025 16:00

Danubio FC 0 - 0 Cerro Largo URU D1

07/02/2025 18:00

Cerro Largo 4 - 1 Club Atletico Progreso URU D1

Win

33%

Draw

50%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Nacional Montevideo

16/03/2025 18:30

Racing Club Montevideo 0 - 1 Nacional Montevideo URU D1

08/03/2025 19:00

Nacional Montevideo 3 - 3 CA River Plate URU D1

22/02/2025 16:00

Boston River 2 - 3 Nacional Montevideo URU D1

16/02/2025 16:00

Club Atletico Progreso 1 - 5 Nacional Montevideo URU D1

09/02/2025 18:30

Nacional Montevideo 1 - 1 CA Penarol URU D1

02/02/2025 18:30

Montevideo City Torque 1 - 0 Nacional Montevideo URU D1

Win

50%

Draw

33%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Uruguay Primera Divisi...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

148

Avg. per game

0.58

Conceded

166

Avg. per game

0.65

Scored

274

Avg. per game

0.91

Conceded

161

Avg. per game

0.54

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 255 matches

YesNo

117 (46%)138 (54%)

In last 255 matches

NoYes

183 (61%)117 (39%)

Cerro Largo

Recent matches

Nacional Montevideo

Under /Over

(64%)29 16(36%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(67%)30 15(33%)

Under /Over

(18%)8 37(82%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(33%)15 30(67%)

Under /Over

(40%)18 27(60%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

/Yes

(42%)19 26(58%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(53%)24 21(47%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Cerro Largo

Nacional Montevideo

Shots

Cerro Largo

Total shots

7.95 avg / game

Blocked

17 total

Avg. 2.83

Nacional Montevideo

Total shots

8.96 avg / game

Blocked

76 total

Avg. 2.92

Cerro Largo Pass Nacional Montevideo

Total passes

3288

Avg. 274 / game

Accurate

65%

Ball possession

48%

Total passes

15669

Avg. 348 / game

Accurate

73%

Ball possession

54%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Cerro Largo

255

Played games

Nacional Montevideo

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.35

Clean sheets

119

0.40

4.00

1021

Corners

1358

4.53

0.72

184

Throw-ins

312

1.04

0.09

Offsides

0.26

1.80

459

GK saves

447

1.49

Cerro Largo

DISCIPLINARY

Nacional Montevideo

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.53

645

704

2.35

0.13

0.14

0.85

217

Fouls

636

2.12

0.76

194

Tackles

727

2.42

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

How We Build the Cerro Largo vs Nacional Montevideo Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Cerro Largo vs Nacional Montevideo on 06 April 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Uruguay Primera Division fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Cerro Largo vs Nacional Montevideo Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Cerro Largo's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Nacional Montevideo's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Uruguay Primera Division Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Uruguay Primera Division standings and the Uruguay Primera Division form table to understand exactly where Cerro Largo and Nacional Montevideo sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Uruguay Primera Division predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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