Cerro Largo vs La Luz: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 18 October

Cerro Largo
DWLDW
12th place in Autumn
1
1-3
FT
18/10/2023 16:00
La Luz
WLLLL
16th place in Autumn
Uruguay Primera Division
MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Cerro Largo vs La Luz on 18 October 2023 (kick-off: 16:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Cerro Largo vs La Luz preview before placing your bet.

  • Cerro Largo are currently 12th with 17 points after 15 matches.
  • La Luz sit 16th with 13 points from 15 matches.
  • Our algorithm prediction: Cerro Largo to win with probability 39%.
  • Head-to-head history favors Cerro Largo, who have won 1 of the last 1 meetings. La Luz have no wins, while 0 matches ended in draws.
Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards
Home team Away team
Probability %
1
X
2
Pred
Correct
Avg.g
Coef.
Score.
Live coef.
Weather
favorite match
16:00

2023-10-18

Cerro Largo vs La Luz - Prediction & Odds

Cerro Largo
Cerro Largo
La Luz
La Luz
2023-10-18 16:00
39
28
33
1
1 - 1
1 - 1
2.25
2.21
FT
1-3 0-1
-
weather
13℃～14℃
STANDINGS UP TO 18/10/2023
Autumn PTS
GP W D L GF GA +/-
01 Liverpool URU Liverpool URU
35 15 11 2 2 23 8 15
02 CA Penarol CA Penarol
25 15 6 7 2 19 13 6
03 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo
25 15 7 4 4 16 13 3
04 Nacional Montevideo Nacional Montevideo
24 15 6 6 3 20 17 3
05 Danubio FC Danubio FC
22 15 6 4 5 15 14 1
06 Defensor Sporting Montevideo Defensor Sporting Montevideo
21 15 6 3 6 19 13 6
07 Torque Torque
21 15 6 3 6 21 20 1
08 Boston River Boston River
20 15 6 2 7 17 16 1
09 Plaza Colonia Plaza Colonia
19 15 4 7 4 13 15 -2
10 CA River Plate CA River Plate
19 15 5 4 6 9 14 -5
11 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado
18 15 5 3 7 14 19 -5
12 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo
17 15 4 5 6 14 17 -3
13 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix
16 15 3 7 5 11 15 -4
14 Cerro Montevideo Cerro Montevideo
15 15 3 6 6 12 15 -3
15 Wanderers FC Wanderers FC
15 15 4 3 8 13 21 -8
16 La Luz La Luz
13 15 3 4 8 13 19 -6
Torneo Intermedio Group A PTS
GP W D L GF GA +/-
01 Defensor Sporting Montevideo Defensor Sporting Montevideo
14 7 4 2 1 11 5 6
02 Wanderers FC Wanderers FC
12 7 3 3 1 10 6 4
03 Danubio FC Danubio FC
11 7 3 2 2 6 4 2
04 CA Penarol CA Penarol
10 7 3 1 3 9 9 0
05 Boston River Boston River
9 7 3 0 4 8 7 1
06 CA River Plate CA River Plate
9 7 2 3 2 5 7 -2
07 Torque Torque
8 7 2 2 3 8 8 0
08 La Luz La Luz
4 7 1 1 5 6 17 -11
Torneo Intermedio Group B PTS
GP W D L GF GA +/-
01 Liverpool URU Liverpool URU
16 7 5 1 1 15 8 7
02 Cerro Montevideo Cerro Montevideo
12 7 3 3 1 6 4 2
03 Nacional Montevideo Nacional Montevideo
11 7 3 2 2 12 8 4
04 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo
10 7 3 1 3 12 12 0
05 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix
9 7 2 3 2 7 5 2
06 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo
8 7 2 2 3 8 9 -1
07 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado
5 7 1 2 4 7 13 -6
08 Plaza Colonia Plaza Colonia
4 7 0 4 3 9 17 -8
League PTS
GP W D L GF GA +/-
01 CA Penarol CA Penarol
34 15 10 4 1 25 11 14
02 Nacional Montevideo Nacional Montevideo
29 15 8 5 2 28 11 17
03 Defensor Sporting Montevideo Defensor Sporting Montevideo
25 15 6 7 2 27 14 13
04 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo
25 15 6 7 2 13 10 3
05 Liverpool URU Liverpool URU
23 15 6 5 4 24 19 5
06 Wanderers FC Wanderers FC
23 15 6 5 4 16 12 4
07 CA River Plate CA River Plate
20 15 5 5 5 17 19 -2
08 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado
20 15 5 5 5 18 23 -5
09 La Luz La Luz
19 15 5 4 6 23 27 -4
10 Cerro Montevideo Cerro Montevideo
16 15 3 7 5 13 16 -3
11 Plaza Colonia Plaza Colonia
16 15 4 4 7 15 25 -10
12 Danubio FC Danubio FC
15 15 3 6 6 20 19 1
13 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo
15 15 3 6 6 13 17 -4
14 Torque Torque
14 15 3 5 7 15 24 -9
15 Boston River Boston River
12 15 2 6 7 15 23 -8
16 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix
12 15 3 3 9 11 23 -12
Head To Head
10/03/2023 18:30
La Luz La Luz
0 - 3
Cerro Largo Cerro Largo
URU D1
Cerro Largo
1
100%
Draw
0
0%
La Luz
0
0%
Cerro Largo Cerro Largo Last 6 matches
14/10/2023 18:00
Wanderers FC 1 - 1 Cerro Largo URU D1
07/10/2023 11:30
Cerro Largo 1 - 0 Centro Atletico Fenix URU D1
02/09/2023 11:30
Danubio FC 2 - 0 Cerro Largo URU D1
26/08/2023 17:00
Cerro Largo 2 - 2 Nacional Montevideo URU D1
19/08/2023 09:00
CA River Plate 0 - 0 Cerro Largo URU D1
22/07/2023 18:30
Nacional Montevideo 1 - 0 Cerro Largo URU D1
Win
17%
Draw
50%
Lost
33%
Last 6 matches La Luz La Luz
14/10/2023 15:30
La Luz 0 - 2 Liverpool URU URU D1
06/10/2023 19:00
Torque 1 - 0 La Luz URU D1
02/09/2023 19:00
La Luz 1 - 1 Defensor Sporting Montevideo URU D1
27/08/2023 14:30
CA Penarol 2 - 2 La Luz URU D1
19/08/2023 17:00
Wanderers FC 0 - 1 La Luz URU D1
21/07/2023 19:00
La Luz 1 - 3 Torque URU D1
Win
17%
Draw
33%
Lost
50%
Overall Home/Away
Full time First half Second half
All leagues Uruguay Primera Divisi...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games
Cerro Largo
Cerro Largo
255
 La Luz
La Luz
168
Goals
Scored
148
Avg. per game
0.58
Conceded
166
Avg. per game
0.65
Scored
91
Avg. per game
0.54
Conceded
124
Avg. per game
0.74
Scored a goal
In last 6 matches
YesNo
2 (33%)4 (67%)
In last 6 matches
NoYes
2 (33%)4 (67%)
In last 255 matches
YesNo
117 (46%)138 (54%)
In last 255 matches
NoYes
66 (39%)102 (61%)
Cerro Largo

Cerro Largo

Recent matches

La Luz

La Luz

Under /Over

(64%)29 16(36%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(69%)31 14(31%)

Under /Over

(18%)8 37(82%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(31%)14 31(69%)

Under /Over

(40%)18 27(60%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

/Yes

(42%)19 26(58%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(47%)21 24(53%)
GOALS BY TIME PERIOD
Cerro Largo Cerro Largo
La Luz La Luz
Shots
Cerro Largo
Cerro Largo
Total shots
7.95 avg / game
Blocked
17 total
Avg. 2.83
La Luz
La Luz
Total shots
6.98 avg / game
Blocked
1 total
Avg. 1.00
Cerro Largo Cerro Largo Pass La Luz La Luz
Total passes
3288
Avg. 274 / game
Accurate
65%
Ball possession
48%
Total passes
—
Avg. — / game
Accurate
—
Ball possession
48%
TOTAL ATTACKS
Cerro Largo
Cerro Largo
21878
Avg. 85.80 / game
 La Luz
La Luz
14416
Avg. 85.81 / game
DANGEROUS ATTACKS
Cerro Largo
Cerro Largo
13849
Avg. 54.31 / game
 La Luz
La Luz
9051
Avg. 53.88 / game
OTHERS
Cerro Largo
Cerro Largo
255
Played games
La Luz
La Luz
168
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
0.35
88
Clean sheets
48
0.29
4.00
1021
Corners
678
4.04
0.72
184
Throw-ins
244
1.45
0.09
24
Offsides
18
0.11
1.80
459
GK saves
48
0.29
Cerro Largo
Cerro Largo
DISCIPLINARY
La Luz
La Luz
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
2.53
645
Yellow card
485
2.89
0.13
34
Red card
39
0.23
0.85
217
Fouls
137
0.82
0.76
194
Tackles
0
0.00
NEXT MATCHES
No upcoming matches.
NEXT MATCHES
No upcoming matches.

How We Build the Cerro Largo vs La Luz Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Cerro Largo vs La Luz on 18 October 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Uruguay Primera Division fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Cerro Largo vs La Luz Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Cerro Largo's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against La Luz's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Uruguay Primera Division Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Uruguay Primera Division standings and the Uruguay Primera Division form table to understand exactly where Cerro Largo and La Luz sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Uruguay Primera Division predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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