Cerro Largo vs Cerro Montevideo Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – September 28

Cerro Largo

L W D W W

6th place in Autumn

3-1

28/09/2024 14:00

Cerro Montevideo

L D D D L

14th place in Autumn

Uruguay Primera Division

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Cerro Largo vs Cerro Montevideo on September 28, 2024 (kick-off: 14:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Cerro Largo vs Cerro Montevideo preview before placing for you.

Cerro Largo are currently 6th with 22 points after 15 matches.
Cerro Montevideo sit 14th with 12 points from 15 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Cerro Largo to win with probability 43%.
Head-to-head history favors Cerro Largo, who have won 2 of the last 6 meetings. Cerro Montevideo have one win, while 3 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

14:00

2024-09-28

Cerro Largo vs Cerro Montevideo - Prediction & Odds

Cerro Largo

Cerro Montevideo

2024-09-28 14:00

STANDINGS UP TO 28/09/2024

Autumn	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 CA Penarol	38	15	12	2	1	32	5	27
02 Nacional Montevideo	36	15	11	3	1	37	11	26
03 Racing Club Montevideo	27	15	7	6	2	16	10	6
04 Boston River	26	15	8	2	5	19	15	4
05 Danubio FC	25	15	6	7	2	14	7	7
06 Cerro Largo	22	15	6	4	5	15	11	4
07 Defensor Sporting Montevideo	20	15	5	5	5	17	17	0
08 Miramar Misiones FC	19	15	4	7	4	11	15	-4
09 Liverpool URU	18	15	4	6	5	15	16	-1
10 CA River Plate	18	15	5	3	7	15	20	-5
11 Wanderers FC	17	15	4	5	6	15	20	-5
12 Rampla Juniors FC	16	15	4	4	7	12	19	-7
13 Centro Atletico Fenix	14	15	4	2	9	14	28	-14
14 Cerro Montevideo	12	15	2	6	7	9	20	-11
15 Deportivo Maldonado	9	15	2	3	10	12	24	-12
16 Club Atletico Progreso	8	15	1	5	9	9	24	-15

Torneo Intermedio Group A	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 CA Penarol	14	7	4	2	1	10	5	5
02 Wanderers FC	13	7	4	1	2	11	9	2
03 Defensor Sporting Montevideo	11	7	3	2	2	7	5	2
04 Centro Atletico Fenix	10	7	3	1	3	10	9	1
05 CA River Plate	8	7	2	2	3	8	9	-1
06 Club Atletico Progreso	8	7	2	2	3	8	11	-3
07 Racing Club Montevideo	6	7	1	3	3	8	10	-2
08 Deportivo Maldonado	6	7	1	3	3	5	9	-4

Torneo Intermedio Group B	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Nacional Montevideo	16	7	5	1	1	18	5	13
02 Danubio FC	14	7	4	2	1	11	11	0
03 Cerro Largo	11	7	3	2	2	6	7	-1
04 Cerro Montevideo	10	7	3	1	3	8	5	3
05 Miramar Misiones FC	10	7	3	1	3	7	10	-3
06 Rampla Juniors FC	8	7	2	2	3	8	12	-4
07 Boston River	7	7	2	1	4	6	8	-2
08 Liverpool URU	3	7	1	0	6	4	10	-6

League	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 CA Penarol	41	15	13	2	0	31	7	24
02 Nacional Montevideo	34	15	10	4	1	31	16	15
03 Defensor Sporting Montevideo	28	15	8	4	3	31	17	14
04 Boston River	27	15	8	3	4	21	17	4
05 Club Atletico Progreso	24	15	7	3	5	25	25	0
06 Cerro Largo	21	15	6	3	6	16	16	0
07 Racing Club Montevideo	19	15	5	4	6	22	22	0
08 Liverpool URU	18	15	4	6	5	22	24	-2
09 Wanderers FC	18	15	5	3	7	15	20	-5
10 Cerro Montevideo	17	15	4	5	6	19	25	-6
11 Deportivo Maldonado	15	15	4	3	8	14	19	-5
12 Rampla Juniors FC	15	15	4	3	8	15	27	-12
13 CA River Plate	14	15	3	5	7	20	25	-5
14 Danubio FC	14	15	3	5	7	13	19	-6
15 Centro Atletico Fenix	13	15	3	4	8	11	17	-6
16 Miramar Misiones FC	11	15	2	5	8	18	28	-10

Head To Head

14/07/2024 09:00

Cerro Montevideo

0 - 1

Cerro Largo

URU D1

24/03/2024 09:00

Cerro Montevideo

1 - 1

Cerro Largo

URU D1

30/11/2023 16:30

Cerro Largo

0 - 0

Cerro Montevideo

URU D1

02/07/2023 14:00

Cerro Largo

0 - 1

Cerro Montevideo

URU D1

29/04/2023 15:00

Cerro Montevideo

0 - 0

Cerro Largo

URU D1

24/03/2021 17:15

Cerro Montevideo

0 - 1

Cerro Largo

URU D1

Cerro Largo

33%

Draw

50%

Cerro Montevideo

17%

Cerro Largo Last 6 matches

21/09/2024 12:30

Rampla Juniors FC 2 - 0 Cerro Largo URU D1

18/09/2024 19:00

Melo Wanderers 3 - 0 Cerro Largo U Cup

14/09/2024 12:30

Cerro Largo 1 - 2 Miramar Misiones FC URU D1

08/09/2024 11:30

Centro Atletico Fenix 1 - 0 Cerro Largo URU D1

17/08/2024 16:00

CA Penarol 0 - 0 Cerro Largo URU D1

27/07/2024 09:00

Miramar Misiones FC 0 - 0 Cerro Largo URU D1

Win

Draw

33%

Lost

67%

Last 6 matches Cerro Montevideo

14/09/2024 15:00

Club Atletico Progreso 0 - 1 Cerro Montevideo URU D1

11/09/2024 19:30

18 de Julio 3 - 0 Cerro Montevideo U Cup

07/09/2024 14:00

Cerro Montevideo 1 - 1 Defensor Sporting Montevideo URU D1

16/08/2024 18:00

Wanderers FC 1 - 0 Cerro Montevideo URU D1

28/07/2024 11:30

Cerro Montevideo 4 - 1 Rampla Juniors FC URU D1

21/07/2024 09:00

Liverpool URU 0 - 1 Cerro Montevideo URU D1

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Uruguay Primera Divisi...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

148

Avg. per game

0.58

Conceded

166

Avg. per game

0.65

Scored

100

Avg. per game

0.45

Conceded

153

Avg. per game

0.69

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

1 (17%)5 (83%)

In last 255 matches

YesNo

117 (46%)138 (54%)

In last 255 matches

NoYes

85 (38%)136 (62%)

Cerro Largo

Recent matches

Cerro Montevideo

Under /Over

(64%)29 16(36%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(58%)26 19(42%)

Under /Over

(18%)8 37(82%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(33%)15 30(67%)

Under /Over

(40%)18 27(60%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(29%)13 32(71%)

/Yes

(42%)19 26(58%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(40%)18 27(60%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Cerro Largo

Cerro Montevideo

Shots

Cerro Largo

Total shots

7.95 avg / game

Blocked

17 total

Avg. 2.83

Cerro Montevideo

Total shots

6.35 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Cerro Largo Pass Cerro Montevideo

Total passes

3288

Avg. 274 / game

Accurate

65%

Ball possession

48%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

47%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Cerro Largo

255

Played games

Cerro Montevideo

221

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.35

Clean sheets

0.33

4.00

1021

Corners

855

3.87

0.72

184

Throw-ins

0.00

0.09

Offsides

0.01

1.80

459

GK saves

240

1.09

Cerro Largo

DISCIPLINARY

Cerro Montevideo

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.53

645

575

2.60

0.13

0.16

0.85

217

Fouls

0.19

0.76

194

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

How We Build the Cerro Largo vs Cerro Montevideo Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Cerro Largo vs Cerro Montevideo on 28 September 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Uruguay Primera Division fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Cerro Largo vs Cerro Montevideo Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Cerro Largo's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Cerro Montevideo's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Uruguay Primera Division Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Uruguay Primera Division standings and the Uruguay Primera Division form table to understand exactly where Cerro Largo and Cerro Montevideo sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Uruguay Primera Division predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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