Cerro Largo vs CA Penarol: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 11 May

Cerro Largo

D D L L W

12th place in Apertura

2-3

11/05/2026 19:25

CA Penarol

W L D L D

4th place in Apertura

Uruguay Primera Division

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Cerro Largo vs CA Penarol on 11 May 2026 (kick-off: 19:25) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Cerro Largo vs CA Penarol preview before placing your bet.

Cerro Largo are currently 12th with 17 points after 15 matches.
CA Penarol sit 4th with 27 points from 15 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: CA Penarol to win with probability 55%.
Head-to-head history favors CA Penarol, who have won 2 of the last 6 meetings. Cerro Largo have one win, while 3 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

19:25

2026-05-11

Cerro Largo vs CA Penarol - Prediction & Odds

Cerro Largo

CA Penarol

2026-05-11 19:25

STANDINGS UP TO 11/05/2026

Apertura	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Racing Club Montevideo	31	15	9	4	2	23	14	9
02 Deportivo Maldonado	29	15	9	2	4	24	16	8
03 Albion FC	28	15	8	4	3	26	16	10
04 CA Penarol	27	15	8	3	4	23	16	7
05 Central Espanol	24	15	7	3	5	23	22	1
06 Montevideo City Torque	23	15	6	5	4	22	16	6
07 Nacional Montevideo	22	15	7	1	7	26	21	5
08 Defensor Sporting Montevideo	21	15	5	6	4	13	11	2
09 Liverpool URU	20	15	5	5	5	20	18	2
10 Wanderers FC	20	15	6	2	7	16	21	-5
11 Danubio FC	18	15	4	6	5	17	21	-4
12 Cerro Largo	17	15	5	2	8	16	19	-3
13 Boston River	17	15	5	2	8	14	20	-6
14 CA Juventud	15	15	4	3	8	17	22	-5
15 Club Atletico Progreso	10	15	2	4	9	12	23	-11
16 Cerro Montevideo	10	15	2	4	9	8	24	-16

Torneo Intermedio Group A	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 CA Penarol	13	6	4	1	1	9	3	6
02 Cerro Largo	11	6	3	2	1	7	2	5
03 Cerro Montevideo	9	6	3	0	3	5	8	-3
04 Liverpool URU	8	6	2	2	2	5	5	0
05 Central Espanol	8	6	2	2	2	4	4	0
06 Racing Club Montevideo	7	6	1	4	1	3	3	0
07 Boston River	5	6	1	2	3	5	9	-4
08 Defensor Sporting Montevideo	3	6	0	3	3	4	8	-4

Torneo Intermedio Group B	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Wanderers FC	12	6	3	3	0	10	4	6
02 Montevideo City Torque	12	6	4	0	2	11	9	2
03 Deportivo Maldonado	11	6	3	2	1	12	6	6
04 Nacional Montevideo	10	6	3	1	2	6	7	-1
05 CA Juventud	7	6	2	1	3	8	11	-3
06 Club Atletico Progreso	6	6	2	0	4	5	9	-4
07 Albion FC	5	6	1	2	3	4	6	-2
08 Danubio FC	3	6	0	3	3	3	7	-4
09 Unknown	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10 Unknown	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Head To Head

27/09/2025 17:00

Cerro Largo

1 - 3

CA Penarol

URU D1

01/06/2025 16:30

Cerro Largo

1 - 1

CA Penarol

URU D1

30/03/2025 19:30

CA Penarol

0 - 2

Cerro Largo

URU D1

17/08/2024 16:00

CA Penarol

0 - 0

Cerro Largo

URU D1

18/02/2024 19:00

Cerro Largo

1 - 2

CA Penarol

URU D1

14/11/2023 20:30

CA Penarol

1 - 1

Cerro Largo

URU D1

Cerro Largo

17%

Draw

50%

CA Penarol

33%

Cerro Largo Last 6 matches

03/05/2026 08:30

Club Atletico Progreso 0 - 1 Cerro Largo URU D1

26/04/2026 14:30

Cerro Largo 0 - 1 Racing Club Montevideo URU D1

20/04/2026 16:00

Boston River 1 - 0 Cerro Largo URU D1

10/04/2026 19:00

Cerro Largo 1 - 1 Cerro Montevideo URU D1

05/04/2026 08:55

Albion FC 2 - 2 Cerro Largo URU D1

30/03/2026 19:30

Cerro Largo 2 - 0 Danubio FC URU D1

Win

33%

Draw

33%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches CA Penarol

07/05/2026 18:00

CA Platense 1 - 1 CA Penarol CON CLA

04/05/2026 18:30

CA Penarol 1 - 1 Defensor Sporting Montevideo URU D1

30/04/2026 20:00

Corinthians Paulista (SP) 2 - 0 CA Penarol CON CLA

26/04/2026 18:00

Wanderers FC 1 - 0 CA Penarol URU D1

20/04/2026 19:30

CA Penarol 2 - 2 CA Juventud URU D1

16/04/2026 20:30

CA Penarol 1 - 2 CA Platense CON CLA

Win

Draw

50%

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Uruguay Primera Divisi...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

148

Avg. per game

0.58

Conceded

164

Avg. per game

0.65

Scored

264

Avg. per game

0.88

Conceded

125

Avg. per game

0.42

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 254 matches

YesNo

117 (46%)137 (54%)

In last 254 matches

NoYes

180 (60%)120 (40%)

Cerro Largo

Recent matches

CA Penarol

Under /Over

(64%)29 16(36%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(73%)33 12(27%)

Under /Over

(18%)8 37(82%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(27%)12 33(73%)

Under /Over

(40%)18 27(60%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(31%)14 31(69%)

/Yes

(44%)20 25(56%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(47%)21 24(53%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Cerro Largo

CA Penarol

Shots

Cerro Largo

Total shots

7.94 avg / game

Blocked

17 total

Avg. 2.83

CA Penarol

Total shots

8.87 avg / game

Blocked

81 total

Avg. 2.89

Cerro Largo Pass CA Penarol

Total passes

3288

Avg. 274 / game

Accurate

65%

Ball possession

48%

Total passes

14455

Avg. 329 / game

Accurate

66%

Ball possession

54%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Cerro Largo

254

Played games

CA Penarol

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.35

Clean sheets

134

0.45

3.99

1014

Corners

1369

4.56

0.72

184

Throw-ins

472

1.57

0.09

Offsides

0.29

1.81

459

GK saves

424

1.41

Cerro Largo

DISCIPLINARY

CA Penarol

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.54

644

608

2.03

0.13

0.10

0.85

217

Fouls

638

2.13

0.76

194

Tackles

725

2.42

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Cerro Largo vs CA Penarol Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Cerro Largo vs CA Penarol on 11 May 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Uruguay Primera Division fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Cerro Largo vs CA Penarol Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Cerro Largo's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against CA Penarol's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Uruguay Primera Division Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Uruguay Primera Division standings and the Uruguay Primera Division form table to understand exactly where Cerro Largo and CA Penarol sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Uruguay Primera Division predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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