CD El Nacional vs Mushuc Runa: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 27 September

CD El Nacional

W W W L L

11th place in League

0-5

27/09/2025 17:30

Mushuc Runa

W L W L D

15th place in League

Primera Division de Ecuador

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for CD El Nacional vs Mushuc Runa on 27 September 2025 (kick-off: 17:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full CD El Nacional vs Mushuc Runa preview before placing your bet.

CD El Nacional are currently 11th with 34 points after 30 matches.
Mushuc Runa sit 15th with 27 points from 30 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: CD El Nacional to win with probability 40%.
Head-to-head history favors CD El Nacional, who have won 5 of the last 6 meetings. Mushuc Runa have no wins, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

17:30

2025-09-27

CD El Nacional vs Mushuc Runa - Prediction & Odds

CD El Nacional

Mushuc Runa

2025-09-27 17:30

STANDINGS UP TO 27/09/2025

League	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Independiente del Valle	64	30	18	10	2	55	23	32
02 Barcelona SC(ECU)	54	30	16	6	8	46	33	13
03 Liga Dep. Universitaria Quito	51	30	14	9	7	48	31	17
04 Universidad Catolica	49	30	13	10	7	58	39	19
05 Orense SC	47	30	13	8	9	34	32	2
06 Libertad FC	46	30	12	10	8	42	36	6
07 Deportivo Cuenca	46	30	13	7	10	35	29	6
08 Club Sport Emelec	42	30	11	9	10	30	34	-4
09 Sociedad Deportiva Aucas	41	30	11	8	11	38	41	-3
10 Macara	38	30	9	11	10	32	30	2
11 CD El Nacional	34	30	9	7	14	32	46	-14
12 Delfin SC	31	30	6	13	11	26	42	-16
13 Tecnico Universitario	28	30	7	7	16	26	46	-20
14 Vinotinto de Ecuador	27	30	7	6	17	34	43	-9
15 Mushuc Runa	27	30	7	6	17	38	50	-12
16 Manta FC	26	30	5	11	14	34	53	-19

Championship Round	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Independiente del Valle	82	10	5	3	2	12	7	5
02 Liga Dep. Universitaria Quito	69	10	5	3	2	20	10	10
03 Barcelona SC(ECU)	67	10	3	4	3	10	14	-4
04 Universidad Catolica	58	10	1	6	3	9	11	-2
05 Orense SC	58	10	3	2	5	10	16	-6
06 Libertad FC	56	10	2	4	4	12	15	-3

Relegation	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Manta FC	39	6	4	1	1	12	6	6
02 Mushuc Runa	36	6	2	3	1	4	5	-1
03 Tecnico Universitario	33	6	1	2	3	5	8	-3
04 Vinotinto de Ecuador	32	6	1	2	3	6	8	-2

Qualifying Round	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Macara	62	10	8	0	2	21	5	16
02 Deportivo Cuenca	59	10	4	1	5	16	12	4
03 Sociedad Deportiva Aucas	58	10	5	2	3	21	13	8
04 Club Sport Emelec	55	10	4	1	5	12	15	-3
05 CD El Nacional	45	9	3	2	4	12	21	-9
06 Delfin SC	36	9	1	2	6	4	20	-16

Head To Head

01/06/2025 14:00

Mushuc Runa

2 - 3

CD El Nacional

ECU D1

24/11/2024 11:30

Mushuc Runa

2 - 2

CD El Nacional

ECU D1

31/10/2024 16:00

CD El Nacional

2 - 0

Mushuc Runa

ECU CUP

23/10/2024 15:00

Mushuc Runa

1 - 2

CD El Nacional

ECU CUP

26/05/2024 16:30

CD El Nacional

1 - 0

Mushuc Runa

ECU D1

08/10/2023 14:00

CD El Nacional

2 - 0

Mushuc Runa

ECU D1

CD El Nacional

83%

Draw

17%

Mushuc Runa

CD El Nacional Last 6 matches

21/09/2025 17:00

Club Sport Emelec 4 - 0 CD El Nacional ECU D1

18/09/2025 18:00

9 de Octubre 1 - 1 CD El Nacional ECU CUP

14/09/2025 12:45

CD El Nacional 0 - 2 Macara ECU D1

29/08/2025 20:00

Vinotinto de Ecuador 0 - 1 CD El Nacional ECU D1

24/08/2025 14:00

CD El Nacional 1 - 0 Liga Dep. Universitaria Quito ECU D1

15/08/2025 20:00

Delfin SC 0 - 3 CD El Nacional ECU D1

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Mushuc Runa

20/09/2025 15:00

Mushuc Runa 2 - 2 Independiente del Valle ECU D1

13/09/2025 20:00

Orense SC 3 - 1 Mushuc Runa ECU D1

30/08/2025 17:30

Mushuc Runa 2 - 0 Manta FC ECU D1

23/08/2025 15:00

Macara 2 - 1 Mushuc Runa ECU D1

19/08/2025 20:30

Mushuc Runa 2 - 1 Independiente del Valle CON CSA

16/08/2025 15:00

Mushuc Runa 1 - 0 Sociedad Deportiva Aucas ECU D1

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Primera Division de Ec...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

176

Avg. per game

0.73

Conceded

167

Avg. per game

0.69

Scored

139

Avg. per game

0.62

Conceded

172

Avg. per game

0.77

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 242 matches

YesNo

121 (50%)121 (50%)

In last 242 matches

NoYes

103 (46%)121 (54%)

CD El Nacional

Recent matches

Mushuc Runa

Under /Over

(73%)33 12(27%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(69%)31 14(31%)

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(40%)18 27(60%)

Under /Over

(40%)18 27(60%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(33%)15 30(67%)

/Yes

(47%)21 24(53%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(58%)26 19(42%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

CD El Nacional

Mushuc Runa

Shots

CD El Nacional

Total shots

11.87 avg / game

Blocked

135 total

Avg. 2.65

Mushuc Runa

Total shots

10.80 avg / game

Blocked

203 total

Avg. 2.90

CD El Nacional Pass Mushuc Runa

Total passes

25475

Avg. 280 / game

Accurate

77%

Ball possession

48%

Total passes

30667

Avg. 269 / game

Accurate

74%

Ball possession

46%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

CD El Nacional

242

Played games

Mushuc Runa

224

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.26

Clean sheets

0.27

4.67

1130

Corners

1029

4.59

2.29

554

Throw-ins

856

3.82

1.03

249

Offsides

329

1.47

1.21

293

GK saves

566

2.53

CD El Nacional

DISCIPLINARY

Mushuc Runa

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.44

591

580

2.59

0.20

0.21

6.69

1619

Fouls

2697

12.04

4.18

1012

Tackles

1223

5.46

NEXT MATCHES

CD Independiente Juniors

CD El Nacional

ECU

NEXT MATCHES

08/09

Tecnico Universitario

Liga Dep. Universitaria Quito

Mushuc Runa

ECU

How We Build the CD El Nacional vs Mushuc Runa Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for CD El Nacional vs Mushuc Runa on 27 September 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Primera Division de Ecuador fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

CD El Nacional vs Mushuc Runa Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess CD El Nacional's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Mushuc Runa's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Primera Division de Ecuador Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Primera Division de Ecuador standings and the Primera Division de Ecuador form table to understand exactly where CD El Nacional and Mushuc Runa sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Primera Division de Ecuador predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

Explore More Primera Division de Ecuador Predictions

Find every upcoming Primera Division de Ecuador fixtures and predictions for this matchday, or browse all football predictions for today across every major league on Betiball.com.

View More View Less