CD El Nacional vs Independiente del Valle: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 12 May

CD El Nacional

W W L W W

7th place in Apertura

1-2

12/05/2024 14:00

Independiente del Valle

W W W D W

1st place in Apertura

Primera Division de Ecuador

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for CD El Nacional vs Independiente del Valle on 12 May 2024 (kick-off: 14:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full CD El Nacional vs Independiente del Valle preview before placing your bet.

CD El Nacional are currently 7th with 24 points after 15 matches.
Independiente del Valle sit 1st with 35 points from 15 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Independiente del Valle to win with probability 44%.
Head-to-head history favors Independiente del Valle, who have won 4 of the last 6 meetings. CD El Nacional have 2 wins, while 0 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

14:00

2024-05-12

CD El Nacional vs Independiente del Valle - Prediction & Odds

CD El Nacional

Independiente del Valle

2024-05-12 14:00

STANDINGS UP TO 12/05/2024

Apertura	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Independiente Jose Teran	35	15	10	5	0	23	8	15
02 Barcelona SC(ECU)	31	15	9	4	2	24	8	16
03 Liga Dep. Universitaria Quito	30	15	9	3	3	27	17	10
04 Sociedad Deportiva Aucas	29	15	8	5	2	31	18	13
05 Club Sport Emelec	25	15	6	7	2	17	12	5
06 Universidad Catolica	25	15	7	4	4	31	20	11
07 CD El Nacional	24	15	8	0	7	17	16	1
08 Mushuc Runa	18	15	5	3	7	18	19	-1
09 Macara	18	15	4	6	5	11	13	-2
10 Tecnico Universitario	16	15	4	4	7	14	21	-7
11 Deportivo Cuenca	16	15	3	7	5	25	24	1
12 Orense SC	15	15	3	6	6	10	17	-7
13 Cumbaya FC	14	15	4	2	9	8	19	-11
14 SC Imbabura	13	15	3	4	8	17	29	-12
15 Delfin SC	9	15	2	3	10	8	23	-15
16 Libertad FC	8	15	1	5	9	8	25	-17

Autumn	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Liga Dep. Universitaria Quito	35	15	11	2	2	33	14	19
02 Independiente Jose Teran	30	15	9	3	3	33	14	19
03 Universidad Catolica	26	15	8	2	5	28	24	4
04 Orense SC	25	15	7	4	4	18	16	2
05 Barcelona SC(ECU)	25	15	7	4	4	30	21	9
06 Mushuc Runa	23	15	5	8	2	27	24	3
07 Libertad FC	23	15	6	5	4	20	18	2
08 Delfin SC	22	15	6	4	5	21	22	-1
09 Tecnico Universitario	22	15	6	4	5	25	15	10
10 CD El Nacional	19	15	5	4	6	16	20	-4
11 Deportivo Cuenca	16	15	4	4	7	15	21	-6
12 Sociedad Deportiva Aucas	16	15	4	4	7	16	22	-6
13 Macara	15	15	4	3	8	15	27	-12
14 Club Sport Emelec	12	15	3	3	9	12	20	-8
15 SC Imbabura	11	15	3	2	10	17	31	-14
16 Cumbaya FC	10	15	2	4	9	17	34	-17

Head To Head

02/12/2023 13:30

CD El Nacional

2 - 1

Independiente Jose Teran

ECU D1

16/06/2023 20:00

Independiente Jose Teran

3 - 4

CD El Nacional

ECU D1

07/10/2022 16:00

CD El Nacional

0 - 2

Independiente Jose Teran

ECU CUP

19/08/2022 19:00

Independiente Jose Teran

3 - 1

CD El Nacional

ECU CUP

06/12/2020 14:45

Independiente Jose Teran

2 - 0

CD El Nacional

ECU D1

15/08/2020 17:00

CD El Nacional

2 - 4

Independiente Jose Teran

ECU D1

CD El Nacional

33%

Draw

Independiente del Valle

67%

CD El Nacional Last 6 matches

03/05/2024 20:00

Orense SC 0 - 1 CD El Nacional ECU D1

29/04/2024 20:00

CD El Nacional 1 - 0 Delfin SC ECU D1

18/04/2024 20:00

Barcelona SC(ECU) 1 - 0 CD El Nacional ECU D1

14/04/2024 16:30

CD El Nacional 2 - 0 SC Imbabura ECU D1

06/04/2024 16:30

CD El Nacional 1 - 2 Liga Dep. Universitaria Quito ECU D1

30/03/2024 19:00

Cumbaya FC 1 - 0 CD El Nacional ECU D1

Win

50%

Draw

Lost

50%

Last 6 matches Independiente del Valle

28/04/2024 13:30

SC Imbabura 0 - 1 Independiente Jose Teran ECU D1

24/04/2024 20:30

Independiente Jose Teran 2 - 3 Palmeiras CON CLA

18/04/2024 17:30

Independiente Jose Teran 2 - 1 Mushuc Runa ECU D1

14/04/2024 14:00

Universidad Catolica 2 - 2 Independiente Jose Teran ECU D1

10/04/2024 18:00

Independiente Jose Teran 2 - 0 San Lorenzo CON CLA

07/04/2024 14:00

Independiente Jose Teran 3 - 0 Libertad FC ECU D1

Win

Draw

100%

Lost

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Primera Division de Ec...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

CD El Nacional

242

Independiente del Valle

300

Goals

Scored

176

Avg. per game

0.73

Conceded

167

Avg. per game

0.69

Scored

254

Avg. per game

0.85

Conceded

156

Avg. per game

0.52

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

6 (100%)0 (0%)

In last 242 matches

YesNo

121 (50%)121 (50%)

In last 242 matches

NoYes

171 (57%)129 (43%)

CD El Nacional

Recent matches

Independiente del Valle

Under /Over

(73%)33 12(27%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(78%)35 10(22%)

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(47%)21 24(53%)

Under /Over

(40%)18 27(60%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

/Yes

(47%)21 24(53%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(49%)22 23(51%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

CD El Nacional

Independiente del Valle

Shots

CD El Nacional

Total shots

11.87 avg / game

Blocked

135 total

Avg. 2.65

Independiente del Valle

Total shots

12.71 avg / game

Blocked

363 total

Avg. 3.49

CD El Nacional Pass Independiente del Valle

Total passes

25475

Avg. 280 / game

Accurate

77%

Ball possession

48%

Total passes

69821

Avg. 426 / game

Accurate

85%

Ball possession

60%

TOTAL ATTACKS

CD El Nacional

19328

Avg. 79.87 / game

Independiente del Valle

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

Independiente del Valle

14272

Avg. 47.57 / game

OTHERS

CD El Nacional

242

Played games

Independiente del Valle

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.26

Clean sheets

121

0.40

4.67

1130

Corners

1563

5.21

2.29

554

Throw-ins

983

3.28

1.03

249

Offsides

339

1.13

1.21

293

GK saves

513

1.71

CD El Nacional

DISCIPLINARY

Independiente del Valle

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.44

591

648

2.16

0.20

0.14

6.69

1619

Fouls

2782

9.27

4.18

1012

Tackles

1682

5.61

NEXT MATCHES

CD Independiente Juniors

CD El Nacional

ECU

NEXT MATCHES

08/09

Liga Dep. Universitaria Quito

Independiente del Valle

ECU

08/11

Deportes Tolima

Independiente del Valle

CON

08/16

Independiente del Valle

Delfin SC

ECU

08/18

Independiente del Valle

Independiente del Valle

ECU

How We Build the CD El Nacional vs Independiente del Valle Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for CD El Nacional vs Independiente del Valle on 12 May 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Primera Division de Ecuador fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

CD El Nacional vs Independiente del Valle Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess CD El Nacional's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Independiente del Valle's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Primera Division de Ecuador Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Primera Division de Ecuador standings and the Primera Division de Ecuador form table to understand exactly where CD El Nacional and Independiente del Valle sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Primera Division de Ecuador predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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