CD El Nacional vs Independiente del Valle Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – April 14

CD El Nacional

W W W L L

11th place in League

1-3

14/04/2025 21:30

Independiente del Valle

W W W W D

1st place in League

Primera Division de Ecuador

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for CD El Nacional vs Independiente del Valle on April 14, 2025 (kick-off: 21:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full CD El Nacional vs Independiente del Valle preview before placing for you.

CD El Nacional are currently 11th with 34 points after 30 matches.
Independiente del Valle sit 1st with 64 points from 30 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Independiente del Valle to win with probability 47%.
Head-to-head history is evenly balanced: CD El Nacional and Independiente del Valle have each won 3 of the last 6 meetings, while 0 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

21:30

2025-04-14

CD El Nacional vs Independiente del Valle - Prediction & Odds

CD El Nacional

Independiente del Valle

2025-04-14 21:30

STANDINGS UP TO 14/04/2025

League	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Independiente del Valle	64	30	18	10	2	55	23	32
02 Barcelona SC(ECU)	54	30	16	6	8	46	33	13
03 Liga Dep. Universitaria Quito	51	30	14	9	7	48	31	17
04 Universidad Catolica	49	30	13	10	7	58	39	19
05 Orense SC	47	30	13	8	9	34	32	2
06 Libertad FC	46	30	12	10	8	42	36	6
07 Deportivo Cuenca	46	30	13	7	10	35	29	6
08 Club Sport Emelec	42	30	11	9	10	30	34	-4
09 Sociedad Deportiva Aucas	41	30	11	8	11	38	41	-3
10 Macara	38	30	9	11	10	32	30	2
11 CD El Nacional	34	30	9	7	14	32	46	-14
12 Delfin SC	31	30	6	13	11	26	42	-16
13 Tecnico Universitario	28	30	7	7	16	26	46	-20
14 Vinotinto de Ecuador	27	30	7	6	17	34	43	-9
15 Mushuc Runa	27	30	7	6	17	38	50	-12
16 Manta FC	26	30	5	11	14	34	53	-19

Championship Round	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Independiente del Valle	82	10	5	3	2	12	7	5
02 Liga Dep. Universitaria Quito	69	10	5	3	2	20	10	10
03 Barcelona SC(ECU)	67	10	3	4	3	10	14	-4
04 Universidad Catolica	58	10	1	6	3	9	11	-2
05 Orense SC	58	10	3	2	5	10	16	-6
06 Libertad FC	56	10	2	4	4	12	15	-3

Relegation	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Manta FC	39	6	4	1	1	12	6	6
02 Mushuc Runa	36	6	2	3	1	4	5	-1
03 Tecnico Universitario	33	6	1	2	3	5	8	-3
04 Vinotinto de Ecuador	32	6	1	2	3	6	8	-2

Qualifying Round	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Macara	62	10	8	0	2	21	5	16
02 Deportivo Cuenca	59	10	4	1	5	16	12	4
03 Sociedad Deportiva Aucas	58	10	5	2	3	21	13	8
04 Club Sport Emelec	55	10	4	1	5	12	15	-3
05 CD El Nacional	45	9	3	2	4	12	21	-9
06 Delfin SC	36	9	1	2	6	4	20	-16

Head To Head

27/11/2024 20:00

Independiente del Valle

0 - 1

CD El Nacional

ECU CUP

03/11/2024 18:00

Independiente del Valle

2 - 0

CD El Nacional

ECU D1

12/05/2024 18:00

CD El Nacional

1 - 2

Independiente del Valle

ECU D1

02/12/2023 17:30

CD El Nacional

2 - 1

Independiente del Valle

ECU D1

17/06/2023 00:00

Independiente del Valle

3 - 4

CD El Nacional

ECU D1

07/10/2022 20:00

CD El Nacional

0 - 2

Independiente del Valle

ECU CUP

CD El Nacional

50%

Draw

Independiente del Valle

50%

CD El Nacional Last 6 matches

05/04/2025 00:00

Libertad FC 1 - 3 CD El Nacional ECU D1

30/03/2025 23:00

CD El Nacional 0 - 1 Orense SC ECU D1

16/03/2025 20:30

CD El Nacional 0 - 1 Sociedad Deportiva Aucas ECU D1

08/03/2025 21:30

Manta FC 4 - 3 CD El Nacional ECU D1

02/03/2025 23:00

CD El Nacional 0 - 0 Tecnico Universitario ECU D1

27/02/2025 00:30

Barcelona SC(ECU) 1 - 1 CD El Nacional CON CLA

Win

17%

Draw

33%

Lost

50%

Last 6 matches Independiente del Valle

09/04/2025 02:00

Independiente del Valle 1 - 0 Universitario De Deportes CON CLA

06/04/2025 00:00

Independiente del Valle 4 - 0 Deportivo Cuenca ECU D1

02/04/2025 02:00

Barcelona SC(ECU) 1 - 0 Independiente del Valle CON CLA

28/03/2025 21:30

Sociedad Deportiva Aucas 1 - 2 Independiente del Valle ECU D1

16/03/2025 18:00

Independiente del Valle 1 - 1 Macara ECU D1

09/03/2025 00:00

Barcelona SC(ECU) 0 - 4 Independiente del Valle ECU D1

Win

67%

Draw

17%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Primera Division de Ec...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

CD El Nacional

243

Independiente del Valle

300

Goals

Scored

177

Avg. per game

0.73

Conceded

167

Avg. per game

0.69

Scored

254

Avg. per game

0.85

Conceded

156

Avg. per game

0.52

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

6 (100%)0 (0%)

In last 243 matches

YesNo

122 (50%)121 (50%)

In last 243 matches

NoYes

171 (57%)129 (43%)

CD El Nacional

Recent matches

Independiente del Valle

Under /Over

(73%)33 12(27%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(78%)35 10(22%)

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(47%)21 24(53%)

Under /Over

(40%)18 27(60%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

/Yes

(47%)21 24(53%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(49%)22 23(51%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

CD El Nacional

Independiente del Valle

Shots

CD El Nacional

Total shots

11.86 avg / game

Blocked

135 total

Avg. 2.65

Independiente del Valle

Total shots

12.71 avg / game

Blocked

363 total

Avg. 3.49

CD El Nacional Pass Independiente del Valle

Total passes

25475

Avg. 280 / game

Accurate

77%

Ball possession

48%

Total passes

69821

Avg. 426 / game

Accurate

85%

Ball possession

60%

TOTAL ATTACKS

CD El Nacional

19416

Avg. 79.90 / game

Independiente del Valle

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

Independiente del Valle

14272

Avg. 47.57 / game

OTHERS

CD El Nacional

243

Played games

Independiente del Valle

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.26

Clean sheets

121

0.40

4.66

1132

Corners

1563

5.21

2.36

574

Throw-ins

983

3.28

1.03

251

Offsides

339

1.13

1.21

293

GK saves

513

1.71

CD El Nacional

DISCIPLINARY

Independiente del Valle

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.44

594

648

2.16

0.20

0.14

6.75

1640

Fouls

2782

9.27

4.16

1012

Tackles

1682

5.61

NEXT MATCHES

CD Independiente Juniors

CD El Nacional

ECU

NEXT MATCHES

08/08

Liga Dep. Universitaria Quito

Independiente del Valle

ECU

08/12

Deportes Tolima

Independiente del Valle

CON

08/16

Independiente del Valle

Delfin SC

ECU

08/19

Independiente del Valle

Independiente del Valle

ECU

How We Build the CD El Nacional vs Independiente del Valle Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for CD El Nacional vs Independiente del Valle on 14 April 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Primera Division de Ecuador fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

CD El Nacional vs Independiente del Valle Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess CD El Nacional's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Independiente del Valle's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Primera Division de Ecuador Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Primera Division de Ecuador standings and the Primera Division de Ecuador form table to understand exactly where CD El Nacional and Independiente del Valle sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Primera Division de Ecuador predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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