Castelfidardo vs Recanatese: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 15 March

Castelfidardo
LWLLL
No standing data
1
2-1
FT
15/03/2026 09:30
Recanatese
LDLLD
No standing data
Italy Serie D
MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Castelfidardo vs Recanatese on 15 March 2026 (kick-off: 09:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Castelfidardo vs Recanatese preview before placing your bet.

  • Our algorithm prediction: Castelfidardo to win with probability 38%.
  • Head-to-head history is evenly balanced: Castelfidardo and Recanatese have each won 2 of the last 6 meetings, while 2 matches ended in draws.
Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards
Home team Away team
Probability %
1
X
2
Pred
Correct
Avg.g
Coef.
Score.
Live coef.
Weather
favorite match
09:30

2026-03-15

Castelfidardo vs Recanatese - Prediction & Odds

Castelfidardo
Castelfidardo
Recanatese
Recanatese
2026-03-15 09:30
38
26
36
1
1 - 1
1 - 1
2.50
2.35
FT
2-1 2-1
-
weather
14°C
STANDINGS UP TO 15/03/2026
The standings compare the rankings (Rank-XH) of Castelfidardo and Recanatese in the Italy Serie D football standings for the 2026 season, updated before kickoff and immediately after the match ends.
Head To Head
02/11/2025 09:30
Recanatese Recanatese
3 - 1
Castelfidardo Castelfidardo
ITA S4
09/03/2025 09:30
Castelfidardo Castelfidardo
1 - 1
Recanatese Recanatese
ITA S4
03/11/2024 09:30
Recanatese Recanatese
0 - 3
Castelfidardo Castelfidardo
ITA S4
11/05/2022 10:00
Recanatese Recanatese
2 - 3
Castelfidardo Castelfidardo
ITA S4
19/12/2021 09:30
Castelfidardo Castelfidardo
0 - 2
Recanatese Recanatese
ITA S4
17/01/2021 09:30
Recanatese Recanatese
1 - 1
Castelfidardo Castelfidardo
ITA S4
Castelfidardo
2
33%
Draw
2
33%
Recanatese
2
33%
Castelfidardo Castelfidardo Last 6 matches
01/03/2026 09:30
AS Ostia Mare 2 - 1 Castelfidardo ITA S4
22/02/2026 09:30
Castelfidardo 3 - 2 ASD Victor San Marino ITA S4
15/02/2026 09:30
ASD Atletico Ascoli 3 - 1 Castelfidardo ITA S4
08/02/2026 09:30
Castelfidardo 1 - 2 ASD Termoli Calcio ITA S4
01/02/2026 09:30
Ancona 2 - 0 Castelfidardo ITA S4
25/01/2026 09:30
Castelfidardo 2 - 0 San Nicolo ITA S4
Win
33%
Draw
0%
Lost
67%
Last 6 matches Recanatese Recanatese
01/03/2026 09:30
Recanatese 0 - 2 Unipomezia ITA S4
22/02/2026 09:30
Recanatese 1 - 1 ASD Atletico Ascoli ITA S4
15/02/2026 09:30
AS Ostia Mare 4 - 1 Recanatese ITA S4
08/02/2026 09:30
Recanatese 2 - 4 Ancona ITA S4
01/02/2026 09:30
ASD Victor San Marino 1 - 1 Recanatese ITA S4
25/01/2026 09:30
Recanatese 0 - 2 L'Aquila ITA S4
Win
0%
Draw
33%
Lost
67%
Overall Home/Away
Full time First half Second half
All leagues Italy Serie D

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games
Castelfidardo
Castelfidardo
107
 Recanatese
Recanatese
203
Goals
Scored
59
Avg. per game
0.55
Conceded
76
Avg. per game
0.71
Scored
116
Avg. per game
0.57
Conceded
140
Avg. per game
0.69
Scored a goal
In last 6 matches
YesNo
1 (17%)5 (83%)
In last 6 matches
NoYes
4 (67%)2 (33%)
In last 107 matches
YesNo
44 (41%)63 (59%)
In last 107 matches
NoYes
86 (42%)117 (58%)
Castelfidardo

Castelfidardo

Recent matches

Recanatese

Recanatese

Under /Over

(67%)30 15(33%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(87%)39 6(13%)

Under /Over

(44%)20 25(56%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(47%)21 24(53%)

Under /Over

(27%)12 33(73%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

/Yes

(47%)21 24(53%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(64%)29 16(36%)
GOALS BY TIME PERIOD
Castelfidardo Castelfidardo
Recanatese Recanatese
Shots
Castelfidardo
Castelfidardo
Total shots
9.00 avg / game
Blocked
0 total
Avg. —
Recanatese
Recanatese
Total shots
10.42 avg / game
Blocked
7 total
Avg. 1.75
Castelfidardo Castelfidardo Pass Recanatese Recanatese
Total passes
—
Avg. — / game
Accurate
—
Ball possession
46%
Total passes
—
Avg. — / game
Accurate
—
Ball possession
49%
TOTAL ATTACKS
Castelfidardo
Castelfidardo
5408
Avg. 50.54 / game
 Recanatese
Recanatese
14692
Avg. 72.37 / game
DANGEROUS ATTACKS
Castelfidardo
Castelfidardo
2966
Avg. 27.72 / game
 Recanatese
Recanatese
8578
Avg. 42.26 / game
OTHERS
Castelfidardo
Castelfidardo
107
Played games
Recanatese
Recanatese
203
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
0.21
22
Clean sheets
60
0.30
2.21
236
Corners
681
3.35
0.00
0
Throw-ins
0
0.00
0.27
29
Offsides
34
0.17
0.00
0
GK saves
14
0.07
Castelfidardo
Castelfidardo
DISCIPLINARY
Recanatese
Recanatese
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
1.37
147
Yellow card
332
1.64
0.11
12
Red card
15
0.07
1.50
161
Fouls
119
0.59
0.00
0
Tackles
0
0.00
NEXT MATCHES
No upcoming matches.
NEXT MATCHES
No upcoming matches.

How We Build the Castelfidardo vs Recanatese Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Castelfidardo vs Recanatese on 15 March 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Italy Serie D fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Castelfidardo vs Recanatese Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Castelfidardo's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Recanatese's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Italy Serie D Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Italy Serie D standings and the Italy Serie D form table to understand exactly where Castelfidardo and Recanatese sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Italy Serie D predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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