Castelfidardo vs Fermana: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 04 May

Castelfidardo

W L D D W

No standing data

1 - 0

04/05/2025 09:00

Fermana

L L D W D

No standing data

Italy Serie D

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Castelfidardo vs Fermana on 04 May 2025 (kick-off: 09:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Castelfidardo vs Fermana preview before placing your bet.

Head-to-head history favors Fermana, who have won 1 of the last 2 meetings. Castelfidardo have no wins, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

STANDINGS UP TO 04/05/2025

The standings compare the rankings (Rank-XH) of Castelfidardo and Fermana in the Italy Serie D football standings for the 2025 season, updated before kickoff and immediately after the match ends.

Head To Head

22/12/2024 09:30

Fermana

1 - 1

Castelfidardo

ITA S4

15/01/2017 08:30

Castelfidardo

0 - 2

Fermana

ITA S4

Castelfidardo

Draw

50%

Fermana

50%

Castelfidardo Last 6 matches

27/04/2025 09:00

Ancona 0 - 4 Castelfidardo ITA S4

17/04/2025 09:00

Avezzano 4 - 0 Castelfidardo ITA S4

13/04/2025 09:00

Castelfidardo 0 - 0 Roma City ITA S4

06/04/2025 09:00

FC Fossombrone 1949 0 - 0 Castelfidardo ITA S4

30/03/2025 09:00

Castelfidardo 3 - 1 L'Aquila ITA S4

23/03/2025 09:30

San Nicolo 1 - 0 Castelfidardo ITA S4

Win

33%

Draw

33%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Fermana

27/04/2025 09:00

Fermana 0 - 2 Sambenedettese ITA S4

17/04/2025 09:00

Fermana 0 - 2 Civitanovese ITA S4

13/04/2025 09:00

ASD Termoli Calcio 1 - 1 Fermana ITA S4

06/04/2025 09:00

Fermana 2 - 0 Avezzano ITA S4

30/03/2025 09:00

Sora 2 - 2 Fermana ITA S4

23/03/2025 09:30

Fermana 0 - 1 FC Fossombrone 1949 ITA S4

Win

17%

Draw

33%

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Italy Serie D

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.55

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.71

Scored

Avg. per game

0.40

Conceded

117

Avg. per game

0.60

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

1 (17%)5 (83%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 107 matches

YesNo

44 (41%)63 (59%)

In last 107 matches

NoYes

60 (31%)136 (69%)

Castelfidardo

Recent matches

Fermana

Under /Over

(67%)30 15(33%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(71%)32 13(29%)

Under /Over

(44%)20 25(56%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

Under /Over

(27%)12 33(73%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(24%)11 34(76%)

/Yes

(47%)21 24(53%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(47%)21 24(53%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Castelfidardo

Fermana

Shots

Castelfidardo

Total shots

9.00 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Fermana

Total shots

7.85 avg / game

Blocked

5 total

Avg. 2.50

Castelfidardo Pass Fermana

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

46%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

48%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Castelfidardo

107

Played games

Fermana

196

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.21

Clean sheets

0.22

2.21

236

Corners

707

3.61

0.00

Throw-ins

0.00

0.27

Offsides

0.02

0.00

GK saves

0.06

Castelfidardo

DISCIPLINARY

Fermana

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.37

147

443

2.26

0.11

0.15

1.50

161

Fouls

0.25

0.00

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

How We Build the Castelfidardo vs Fermana Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Castelfidardo vs Fermana on 04 May 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Italy Serie D fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Castelfidardo vs Fermana Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Castelfidardo's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Fermana's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Italy Serie D Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Italy Serie D standings and the Italy Serie D form table to understand exactly where Castelfidardo and Fermana sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Italy Serie D predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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