Caernarfon vs The New Saints: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 26 December

Caernarfon

D W L L W

4th place in League

2-5

26/12/2024 10:30

The New Saints

L W W W W

1st place in League

Welsh Premier League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Caernarfon vs The New Saints on 26 December 2024 (kick-off: 10:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Caernarfon vs The New Saints preview before placing your bet.

Caernarfon are currently 4th with 34 points after 22 matches.
The New Saints sit 1st with 51 points from 22 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: The New Saints to win with probability 70%.
Head-to-head history favors The New Saints, who have won 5 of the last 6 meetings. Caernarfon have one win, while 0 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

10:30

2024-12-26

Caernarfon vs The New Saints - Prediction & Odds

Caernarfon

The New Saints

2024-12-26 10:30

STANDINGS UP TO 26/12/2024

League	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 The New Saints	51	22	17	0	5	61	26	35
02 Pen-y-Bont FC	50	22	15	5	2	42	16	26
03 Haverfordwest County	40	22	11	7	4	29	11	18
04 Caernarfon	34	22	10	4	8	35	35	0
05 Bala Town F.C.	32	22	7	11	4	28	21	7
06 UWIC Inter Cardiff	32	22	9	5	8	32	29	3
07 Barry Town United	30	22	8	6	8	32	38	-6
08 Connahs Quay Nomads FC	26	22	7	5	10	32	26	6
09 Briton Ferry Athletic	21	22	6	3	13	33	45	-12
10 Flint Town	20	22	6	2	14	27	47	-20
11 Newtown AFC	19	22	5	4	13	24	46	-22
12 Aberystwyth Town	14	22	4	2	16	18	53	-35

Championship Playoffs	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 The New Saints	78	10	9	0	1	28	5	23
02 Pen-y-Bont FC	64	10	4	2	4	14	16	-2
03 Haverfordwest County	51	10	2	5	3	10	15	-5
04 Caernarfon	48	10	4	2	4	18	16	2
05 UWIC Inter Cardiff	44	10	3	3	4	11	17	-6
06 Bala Town F.C.	37	10	1	2	7	10	22	-12

Relegation	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Barry Town United	52	10	7	1	2	23	13	10
02 Flint Town	42	10	7	1	2	21	15	6
03 Connahs Quay Nomads FC	42	10	5	1	4	15	9	6
04 Briton Ferry Athletic	32	10	3	2	5	13	20	-7
05 Newtown AFC	26	10	1	4	5	12	19	-7
06 Aberystwyth Town	21	10	2	1	7	10	18	-8

Head To Head

09/10/2024 14:45

The New Saints

1 - 2

Caernarfon

Welsh PR

18/06/2024 14:30

The New Saints

7 - 0

Caernarfon

INT CF

05/04/2024 14:45

The New Saints

7 - 1

Caernarfon

Welsh PR

23/02/2024 15:45

Caernarfon

1 - 8

The New Saints

Welsh PR

26/12/2023 10:30

The New Saints

2 - 1

Caernarfon

Welsh PR

26/09/2023 14:45

Caernarfon

1 - 3

The New Saints

Welsh PR

Caernarfon

17%

Draw

The New Saints

83%

Caernarfon Last 6 matches

21/12/2024 10:30

Aberystwyth Town 3 - 1 Caernarfon Welsh PR

14/12/2024 10:30

Caernarfon 3 - 2 Barry Town United Welsh PR

03/12/2024 15:45

Connahs Quay Nomads FC 1 - 1 Caernarfon Welsh PR

09/11/2024 10:30

Briton Ferry Athletic 0 - 1 Caernarfon Welsh PR

02/11/2024 10:30

Caernarfon 1 - 5 Pen-y-Bont FC Welsh PR

26/10/2024 12:15

Haverfordwest County 0 - 0 Caernarfon Welsh PR

Win

33%

Draw

33%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches The New Saints

22/12/2024 10:30

The New Saints 5 - 2 Briton Ferry Athletic Welsh PR

19/12/2024 16:00

NK Publikum Celje 3 - 2 The New Saints UEFA ECL

15/12/2024 13:30

The New Saints 4 - 1 Colwyn Bay WALC

12/12/2024 16:00

The New Saints 0 - 2 Panathinaikos UEFA ECL

04/12/2024 15:45

Bala Town F.C. 1 - 0 The New Saints Welsh PR

01/12/2024 14:30

Barry Town United 1 - 2 The New Saints WAL CLC

Win

50%

Draw

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Welsh Premier League

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Caernarfon

The New Saints

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.17

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.83

Scored

Avg. per game

1.63

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.31

Scored a goal

In last 6 home matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 home matches

NoYes

6 (100%)0 (0%)

In last 18 home matches

YesNo

12 (67%)6 (33%)

In last 18 home matches

NoYes

14 (88%)2 (13%)

Caernarfon

Recent matches

The New Saints

Under /Over

(83%)15 3(17%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(100%)16 0(0%)

Under /Over

(50%)9 9(50%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(63%)10 6(37%)

Under /Over

(72%)13 5(28%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(69%)11 5(31%)

/Yes

(72%)13 5(28%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(63%)10 6(37%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Caernarfon

The New Saints

Shots

Caernarfon

Total shots

9.78 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

The New Saints

Total shots

18.44 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Caernarfon Pass The New Saints

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

52%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

65%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Caernarfon

Played games

The New Saints

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.22

Clean sheets

0.38

4.06

Corners

125

7.81

0.00

Throw-ins

0.00

Offsides

0.00

2.78

GK saves

1.44

Caernarfon

DISCIPLINARY

The New Saints

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.00

0.88

0.00

0.00

Fouls

0.00

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

Briton Ferry Athletic

How We Build the Caernarfon vs The New Saints Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Caernarfon vs The New Saints on 26 December 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Welsh Premier League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Caernarfon vs The New Saints Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Caernarfon's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against The New Saints's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Welsh Premier League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Welsh Premier League standings and the Welsh Premier League form table to understand exactly where Caernarfon and The New Saints sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Welsh Premier League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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