Caernarfon vs The New Saints Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – September 26

Caernarfon

D W L L W

6th place in League

1 - 3

26/09/2023 14:45

The New Saints

W W W W W

1st place in League

Welsh Premier League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Caernarfon vs The New Saints on September 26, 2023 (kick-off: 14:45) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Caernarfon vs The New Saints preview before placing for you.

Caernarfon are currently 6th with 31 points after 22 matches.
The New Saints sit 1st with 62 points from 22 matches.
Head-to-head history favors The New Saints, who have won 6 of the last 6 meetings. Caernarfon have no wins, while 0 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

STANDINGS UP TO 26/09/2023

League	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 The New Saints	62	22	20	2	0	77	14	63
02 Connahs Quay Nomads FC	47	22	15	2	5	59	29	30
03 Bala Town F.C.	37	22	10	7	5	25	20	5
04 UWIC Inter Cardiff	34	22	9	7	6	28	39	-11
05 Newtown AFC	33	22	10	3	9	35	31	4
06 Caernarfon	31	22	9	4	9	40	41	-1
07 Haverfordwest County	28	22	7	7	8	29	33	-4
08 Pen-y-Bont FC	25	22	8	4	10	28	32	-4
09 Barry Town United	23	22	6	5	11	27	41	-14
10 Aberystwyth Town	15	22	4	3	15	18	46	-28
11 Colwyn Bay	14	22	4	2	16	27	49	-22
12 Pontypridd	13	22	5	4	13	13	31	-18

Championship Playoffs	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 The New Saints	92	10	10	0	0	40	4	36
02 Connahs Quay Nomads FC	59	10	3	3	4	11	14	-3
03 Bala Town F.C.	51	10	3	5	2	13	11	2
04 Newtown AFC	44	10	3	2	5	14	15	-1
05 Caernarfon	41	10	2	4	4	12	29	-17
06 UWIC Inter Cardiff	39	10	1	2	7	7	24	-17

Relegation Quarter	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Pen-y-Bont FC	46	10	6	3	1	18	5	13
02 Haverfordwest County	43	10	4	3	3	10	7	3
03 Barry Town United	32	10	1	6	3	9	13	-4
04 Aberystwyth Town	27	10	3	3	4	9	11	-2
05 Pontypridd	25	10	3	3	4	10	10	0
06 Colwyn Bay	25	10	3	2	5	7	17	-10

Head To Head

03/01/2023 15:45

Caernarfon

0 - 1

The New Saints

Welsh PR

11/11/2022 15:45

The New Saints

2 - 1

Caernarfon

WALC

25/10/2022 14:45

The New Saints

3 - 0

Caernarfon

Welsh PR

23/04/2022 07:45

The New Saints

3 - 1

Caernarfon

Welsh PR

01/04/2022 14:45

Caernarfon

0 - 3

The New Saints

Welsh PR

28/01/2022 15:45

Caernarfon

0 - 4

The New Saints

Welsh PR

Caernarfon

Draw

The New Saints

100%

Caernarfon Last 6 matches

23/09/2023 12:15

Caernarfon 1 - 0 Pontypridd Welsh PR

16/09/2023 09:30

Pen-y-Bont FC 3 - 2 Caernarfon Welsh PR

09/09/2023 09:30

Aberystwyth Town 2 - 4 Caernarfon Welsh PR

01/09/2023 14:45

Caernarfon 0 - 4 Connahs Quay Nomads FC Welsh PR

29/08/2023 14:45

Caernarfon 1 - 1 Bala Town F.C. Welsh PR

26/08/2023 09:30

Haverfordwest County 1 - 1 Caernarfon Welsh PR

Win

33%

Draw

33%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches The New Saints

22/09/2023 14:45

UWIC Inter Cardiff 1 - 5 The New Saints Welsh PR

19/09/2023 14:45

The New Saints 4 - 1 Porthmadog WAL CLC

16/09/2023 09:30

The New Saints 5 - 1 Haverfordwest County Welsh PR

13/09/2023 14:45

Bala Town F.C. 0 - 0 The New Saints Welsh PR

08/09/2023 13:00

Hibernian FC U21 0 - 3 The New Saints SCO BC

01/09/2023 14:45

The New Saints 6 - 0 Aberystwyth Town Welsh PR

Win

83%

Draw

17%

Lost

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Welsh Premier League

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

235

Avg. per game

0.98

Conceded

247

Avg. per game

1.02

Scored

455

Avg. per game

1.52

Conceded

133

Avg. per game

0.44

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 241 matches

YesNo

146 (61%)95 (39%)

In last 241 matches

NoYes

210 (70%)90 (30%)

Caernarfon

Recent matches

The New Saints

Under /Over

(93%)42 3(7%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(84%)38 7(16%)

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(47%)21 24(53%)

Under /Over

(71%)32 13(29%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(53%)24 21(47%)

/Yes

(58%)26 19(42%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(47%)21 24(53%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Caernarfon

The New Saints

Shots

Caernarfon

Total shots

10.19 avg / game

Blocked

3 total

Avg. 1.50

The New Saints

Total shots

15.07 avg / game

Blocked

26 total

Avg. 2.36

Caernarfon Pass The New Saints

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

49%

Total passes

2803

Avg. 350 / game

Accurate

76%

Ball possession

59%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Caernarfon

241

Played games

The New Saints

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.24

Clean sheets

129

0.43

4.33

1044

Corners

1861

6.20

0.12

Throw-ins

139

0.46

0.12

Offsides

0.14

1.57

379

GK saves

269

0.90

Caernarfon

DISCIPLINARY

The New Saints

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.78

430

393

1.31

0.12

0.05

0.46

110

Fouls

397

1.32

0.00

Tackles

130

0.43

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

Briton Ferry Athletic

How We Build the Caernarfon vs The New Saints Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Caernarfon vs The New Saints on 26 September 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Welsh Premier League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Caernarfon vs The New Saints Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Caernarfon's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against The New Saints's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Welsh Premier League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Welsh Premier League standings and the Welsh Premier League form table to understand exactly where Caernarfon and The New Saints sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Welsh Premier League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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