Caernarfon vs Newtown AFC: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 18 August

Caernarfon

D W L L W

6th place in League

2 - 1

18/08/2023 14:45

Newtown AFC

W W L L L

5th place in League

Welsh Premier League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Caernarfon vs Newtown AFC on 18 August 2023 (kick-off: 14:45) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Caernarfon vs Newtown AFC preview before placing your bet.

Caernarfon are currently 6th with 31 points after 22 matches.
Newtown AFC sit 5th with 33 points from 22 matches.
Head-to-head history favors Newtown AFC, who have won 6 of the last 6 meetings. Caernarfon have no wins, while 0 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

STANDINGS UP TO 18/08/2023

League	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 The New Saints	62	22	20	2	0	77	14	63
02 Connahs Quay Nomads FC	47	22	15	2	5	59	29	30
03 Bala Town F.C.	37	22	10	7	5	25	20	5
04 UWIC Inter Cardiff	34	22	9	7	6	28	39	-11
05 Newtown AFC	33	22	10	3	9	35	31	4
06 Caernarfon	31	22	9	4	9	40	41	-1
07 Haverfordwest County	28	22	7	7	8	29	33	-4
08 Pen-y-Bont FC	25	22	8	4	10	28	32	-4
09 Barry Town United	23	22	6	5	11	27	41	-14
10 Aberystwyth Town	15	22	4	3	15	18	46	-28
11 Colwyn Bay	14	22	4	2	16	27	49	-22
12 Pontypridd	13	22	5	4	13	13	31	-18

Championship Playoffs	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 The New Saints	92	10	10	0	0	40	4	36
02 Connahs Quay Nomads FC	59	10	3	3	4	11	14	-3
03 Bala Town F.C.	51	10	3	5	2	13	11	2
04 Newtown AFC	44	10	3	2	5	14	15	-1
05 Caernarfon	41	10	2	4	4	12	29	-17
06 UWIC Inter Cardiff	39	10	1	2	7	7	24	-17

Relegation Quarter	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Pen-y-Bont FC	46	10	6	3	1	18	5	13
02 Haverfordwest County	43	10	4	3	3	10	7	3
03 Barry Town United	32	10	1	6	3	9	13	-4
04 Aberystwyth Town	27	10	3	3	4	9	11	-2
05 Pontypridd	25	10	3	3	4	10	10	0
06 Colwyn Bay	25	10	3	2	5	7	17	-10

Head To Head

02/12/2022 15:45

Caernarfon

2 - 3

Newtown AFC

Welsh PR

30/08/2022 14:45

Newtown AFC

2 - 1

Caernarfon

Welsh PR

09/04/2022 09:30

Newtown AFC

1 - 0

Caernarfon

Welsh PR

11/03/2022 15:45

Caernarfon

0 - 4

Newtown AFC

Welsh PR

23/10/2021 12:15

Newtown AFC

1 - 0

Caernarfon

Welsh PR

21/09/2021 14:45

Newtown AFC

5 - 0

Caernarfon

WAL CLC

Caernarfon

Draw

Newtown AFC

100%

Caernarfon Last 6 matches

13/08/2023 12:15

Colwyn Bay 0 - 4 Caernarfon Welsh PR

04/08/2023 14:45

Caernarfon 2 - 2 Porthmadog WAL CLC

22/04/2023 07:45

Aberystwyth Town 3 - 2 Caernarfon Welsh PR

19/04/2023 14:30

Flint Town 2 - 3 Caernarfon Welsh PR

15/04/2023 09:30

Caernarfon 1 - 2 Pontypridd Welsh PR

31/03/2023 14:45

Caernarfon 4 - 0 Airbus UK Broughton Welsh PR

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Newtown AFC

12/08/2023 09:30

Newtown AFC 1 - 3 Pen-y-Bont FC Welsh PR

05/08/2023 11:59

Newtown AFC 1 - 1 Guilsfield WAL CLC

29/07/2023 09:30

Newtown AFC 4 - 1 Nantwich Town INT CF

07/07/2023 14:45

Caersws 1 - 1 Newtown AFC INT CF

30/06/2023 14:45

Newtown AFC 3 - 0 Gresford INT CF

13/05/2023 12:15

Newtown AFC 1 - 1 Haverfordwest County Welsh PR

Win

33%

Draw

50%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Welsh Premier League

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

235

Avg. per game

0.98

Conceded

247

Avg. per game

1.02

Scored

205

Avg. per game

0.90

Conceded

199

Avg. per game

0.87

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 241 matches

YesNo

146 (61%)95 (39%)

In last 241 matches

NoYes

120 (52%)109 (48%)

Caernarfon

Recent matches

Newtown AFC

Under /Over

(93%)42 3(7%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(87%)39 6(13%)

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(47%)21 24(53%)

Under /Over

(71%)32 13(29%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(60%)27 18(40%)

/Yes

(58%)26 19(42%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(58%)26 19(42%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Caernarfon

Newtown AFC

Shots

Caernarfon

Total shots

10.19 avg / game

Blocked

3 total

Avg. 1.50

Newtown AFC

Total shots

9.40 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Caernarfon Pass Newtown AFC

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

49%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

50%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Caernarfon

241

Played games

Newtown AFC

229

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.24

Clean sheets

0.22

4.33

1044

Corners

1011

4.41

0.12

Throw-ins

0.00

0.12

Offsides

0.17

1.57

379

GK saves

327

1.43

Caernarfon

DISCIPLINARY

Newtown AFC

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.78

430

432

1.89

0.12

0.10

0.46

110

Fouls

219

0.96

0.00

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Caernarfon vs Newtown AFC Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Caernarfon vs Newtown AFC on 18 August 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Welsh Premier League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Caernarfon vs Newtown AFC Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Caernarfon's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Newtown AFC's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Welsh Premier League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Welsh Premier League standings and the Welsh Premier League form table to understand exactly where Caernarfon and Newtown AFC sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Welsh Premier League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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