Caernarfon vs Aberystwyth Town: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 17 March

Caernarfon

L L L L W

8th place in Welsh Premier League

0 - 1

17/03/2023 15:45

Aberystwyth Town

L L L D L

10th place in Welsh Premier League

Welsh Premier League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Caernarfon vs Aberystwyth Town on 17 March 2023 (kick-off: 15:45) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Caernarfon vs Aberystwyth Town preview before placing your bet.

Caernarfon are currently 8th with 25 points after 22 matches.
Aberystwyth Town sit 10th with 22 points from 22 matches.
Head-to-head history favors Caernarfon, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Aberystwyth Town have one win, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

STANDINGS UP TO 17/03/2023

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 The New Saints	60	22	19	3	0	83	8	75
02 Connahs Quay Nomads FC	44	22	13	5	4	33	14	19
03 Pen-y-Bont FC	41	22	12	5	5	37	19	18
04 UWIC Inter Cardiff	41	22	13	2	7	29	29	0
05 Bala Town F.C.	40	22	12	4	6	42	21	21
06 Newtown AFC	33	22	10	3	9	41	39	2
07 Haverfordwest County	27	22	8	3	11	29	35	-6
08 Caernarfon	25	22	8	1	13	33	41	-8
09 Flint Town	24	22	6	6	10	24	37	-13
10 Aberystwyth Town	22	22	7	1	14	23	58	-35
11 Pontypridd	20	22	6	2	14	22	42	-20
12 Airbus UK Broughton	1	22	0	1	21	13	66	-53

Head To Head

21/01/2023 13:15

Aberystwyth Town

2 - 1

Caernarfon

Welsh PR

21/10/2022 14:45

Caernarfon

2 - 1

Aberystwyth Town

Welsh PR

17/12/2021 15:45

Caernarfon

3 - 3

Aberystwyth Town

Welsh PR

09/10/2021 09:30

Aberystwyth Town

0 - 1

Caernarfon

Welsh PR

06/03/2021 10:30

Caernarfon

2 - 2

Aberystwyth Town

Welsh PR

15/12/2020 15:45

Aberystwyth Town

1 - 2

Caernarfon

Welsh PR

Caernarfon

50%

Draw

33%

Aberystwyth Town

17%

Caernarfon Last 6 matches

24/02/2023 15:45

Caernarfon 2 - 2 Flint Town Welsh PR

18/02/2023 10:30

Airbus UK Broughton 0 - 2 Caernarfon Welsh PR

11/02/2023 10:30

Caernarfon 2 - 0 Haverfordwest County Welsh PR

21/01/2023 13:15

Aberystwyth Town 2 - 1 Caernarfon Welsh PR

10/01/2023 15:45

Airbus UK Broughton 0 - 3 Caernarfon Welsh PR

07/01/2023 08:45

Pen-y-Bont FC 5 - 1 Caernarfon Welsh PR

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Aberystwyth Town

24/02/2023 15:45

Airbus UK Broughton 1 - 7 Aberystwyth Town Welsh PR

18/02/2023 08:40

Aberystwyth Town 3 - 3 Pontypridd Welsh PR

11/02/2023 10:30

Flint Town 5 - 0 Aberystwyth Town Welsh PR

21/01/2023 13:15

Aberystwyth Town 2 - 1 Caernarfon Welsh PR

10/01/2023 16:00

Aberystwyth Town 0 - 3 Pen-y-Bont FC Welsh PR

06/01/2023 15:45

Flint Town 1 - 1 Aberystwyth Town Welsh PR

Win

33%

Draw

33%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Welsh Premier League

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

233

Avg. per game

0.97

Conceded

247

Avg. per game

1.03

Scored

153

Avg. per game

0.69

Conceded

233

Avg. per game

1.04

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 240 matches

YesNo

145 (60%)95 (40%)

In last 240 matches

NoYes

104 (47%)119 (53%)

Caernarfon

Recent matches

Aberystwyth Town

Under /Over

(93%)42 3(7%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(67%)30 15(33%)

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(27%)12 33(73%)

Under /Over

(71%)32 13(29%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

/Yes

(56%)25 20(44%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(42%)19 26(58%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Caernarfon

Aberystwyth Town

Shots

Caernarfon

Total shots

10.19 avg / game

Blocked

3 total

Avg. 1.50

Aberystwyth Town

Total shots

8.26 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Caernarfon Pass Aberystwyth Town

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

49%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

46%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Caernarfon

240

Played games

Aberystwyth Town

223

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.24

Clean sheets

0.18

4.33

1040

Corners

852

3.82

0.13

Throw-ins

0.00

0.12

Offsides

0.20

1.58

379

GK saves

341

1.53

Caernarfon

DISCIPLINARY

Aberystwyth Town

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.78

427

434

1.95

0.12

0.12

0.46

110

Fouls

236

1.06

0.00

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

08/02

Connahs Quay Nomads FC

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Caernarfon vs Aberystwyth Town Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Caernarfon vs Aberystwyth Town on 17 March 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Welsh Premier League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Caernarfon vs Aberystwyth Town Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Caernarfon's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Aberystwyth Town's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Welsh Premier League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Welsh Premier League standings and the Welsh Premier League form table to understand exactly where Caernarfon and Aberystwyth Town sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Welsh Premier League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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