Caerau Ely vs Baglan Dragons: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 17 September

Caerau Ely

W W D W W

4th place in South

2-1

17/09/2025 14:30

Baglan Dragons

L L D L L

14th place in South

Wales FAW Championship

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Caerau Ely vs Baglan Dragons on 17 September 2025 (kick-off: 14:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Caerau Ely vs Baglan Dragons preview before placing your bet.

Caerau Ely are currently 4th with 57 points after 30 matches.
Baglan Dragons sit 14th with 25 points from 30 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Caerau Ely to win with probability 54%.
Head-to-head history is evenly balanced: Caerau Ely and Baglan Dragons have each won 2 of the last 4 meetings, while 0 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

14:30

2025-09-17

Caerau Ely vs Baglan Dragons - Prediction & Odds

Caerau Ely

Baglan Dragons

2025-09-17 14:30

STANDINGS UP TO 17/09/2025

South	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Trefelin	78	30	25	3	2	83	17	66
02 Cambrian Clydach	76	30	24	4	2	75	20	55
03 Ammanford	58	30	16	10	4	48	26	22
04 Caerau Ely	57	30	17	6	7	66	34	32
05 Carmarthen	45	30	11	12	7	45	38	7
06 Aberystwyth Town	44	30	13	5	12	35	38	-3
07 Cardiff Draconians FC	40	30	12	4	14	50	48	2
08 Llantwit Major	38	31	9	11	11	44	47	-3
09 Treowen Stars	37	30	10	7	13	51	63	-12
10 Newport City	37	30	9	10	11	36	48	-12
11 Pontypridd	34	30	9	7	14	46	51	-5
12 Afan Lido	30	30	9	3	18	32	57	-25
13 Trey Thomas Drossel	29	30	6	11	13	45	62	-17
14 Baglan Dragons	25	30	5	10	15	26	52	-26
15 Ynyshir Albions	23	30	5	8	17	27	56	-29
16 Cwmbran Celtic	12	31	1	9	21	25	77	-52

North	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Llandudno	80	30	26	2	2	77	22	55
02 Airbus UK Broughton	75	30	24	3	3	93	22	71
03 Holywell	60	30	18	6	6	78	40	38
04 Newtown AFC	48	30	15	3	12	51	49	2
05 Rhyl FC	46	30	14	4	12	46	55	-9
06 Guilsfield	43	30	13	4	13	50	48	2
07 Mold Alexandra	41	30	12	5	13	38	45	-7
08 Denbigh Town	40	30	12	4	14	52	59	-7
09 Caersws	37	30	11	4	15	46	51	-5
10 Brickfield Rangers	37	60	22	8	30	78	98	-20
11 Holyhead	36	30	10	6	14	44	49	-5
12 Penrhyncoch	35	30	10	5	15	45	53	-8
13 Buckley Town	30	30	9	3	18	50	77	-27
14 Flint Mountain	29	30	9	2	19	39	61	-22
15 Gresford	28	30	8	4	18	47	87	-40
16 Ruthin Town FC	23	30	6	5	19	36	64	-28

Head To Head

11/01/2025 10:00

Baglan Dragons

2 - 1

Caerau Ely

WAL FAWC

01/11/2024 15:30

Caerau Ely

2 - 1

Baglan Dragons

WAL FAWC

20/01/2024 10:00

Baglan Dragons

2 - 0

Caerau Ely

WAL FAWC

06/10/2023 14:30

Caerau Ely

3 - 0

Baglan Dragons

WAL FAWC

Caerau Ely

50%

Draw

Baglan Dragons

50%

Caerau Ely Last 6 matches

12/09/2025 14:30

Caerau Ely 0 - 0 Llantwit Major WAL FAWC

05/09/2025 14:30

Ammanford 3 - 2 Caerau Ely WAL FAWC

25/08/2025 09:30

Caerau Ely 2 - 0 Pontypridd WAL FAWC

16/08/2025 09:30

Cardiff Draconians FC 0 - 1 Caerau Ely WAL FAWC

08/08/2025 14:30

Caerau Ely 1 - 1 Trey Thomas Drossel WAL FAWC

26/07/2025 09:30

Ynyshir Albions 1 - 4 Caerau Ely WAL FAWC

Win

50%

Draw

33%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Baglan Dragons

13/09/2025 09:30

Baglan Dragons 0 - 0 Cardiff Draconians FC WAL FAWC

06/09/2025 09:30

Baglan Dragons 1 - 1 Trefelin WAL FAWC

25/08/2025 09:30

Carmarthen 0 - 0 Baglan Dragons WAL FAWC

17/08/2025 09:30

Baglan Dragons 3 - 3 Newport City WAL FAWC

09/08/2025 09:30

Aberystwyth Town 2 - 1 Baglan Dragons WAL FAWC

27/07/2025 09:30

Baglan Dragons 3 - 0 Pontypridd WAL FAWC

Win

17%

Draw

67%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Wales FAW Championship

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.83

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.72

Scored

Avg. per game

0.66

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.55

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

1 (17%)5 (83%)

In last 120 matches

YesNo

63 (53%)57 (48%)

In last 120 matches

NoYes

46 (45%)57 (55%)

Caerau Ely

Recent matches

Baglan Dragons

Under /Over

(87%)39 6(13%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(71%)32 13(29%)

Under /Over

(40%)18 27(60%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(33%)15 30(67%)

Under /Over

(60%)27 18(40%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

/Yes

(53%)24 21(47%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(47%)21 24(53%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Caerau Ely

Baglan Dragons

Shots

Caerau Ely

Total shots

12.24 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Baglan Dragons

Total shots

9.12 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Caerau Ely Pass Baglan Dragons

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

53%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

48%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Caerau Ely

120

Played games

Baglan Dragons

103

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.27

Clean sheets

0.24

4.76

571

Corners

324

3.15

0.00

Throw-ins

0.00

0.45

Offsides

0.43

0.00

GK saves

0.00

Caerau Ely

DISCIPLINARY

Baglan Dragons

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.18

141

111

1.08

0.08

0.13

1.62

194

Fouls

170

1.65

0.00

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Caerau Ely vs Baglan Dragons Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Caerau Ely vs Baglan Dragons on 17 September 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Wales FAW Championship fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Caerau Ely vs Baglan Dragons Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Caerau Ely's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Baglan Dragons's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Wales FAW Championship Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Wales FAW Championship standings and the Wales FAW Championship form table to understand exactly where Caerau Ely and Baglan Dragons sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Wales FAW Championship predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

Explore More Wales FAW Championship Predictions

Find every upcoming Wales FAW Championship fixtures and predictions for this matchday, or browse all football predictions for today across every major league on Betiball.com.

View More View Less