CA River Plate vs CA Penarol: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 24 February

CA River Plate
DWLWL
16th place in Apertura
2
1-1
FT
24/02/2025 00:30
CA Penarol
WWWWW
4th place in Apertura
Uruguay Primera Division
MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for CA River Plate vs CA Penarol on 24 February 2025 (kick-off: 00:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full CA River Plate vs CA Penarol preview before placing your bet.

  • CA River Plate are currently 16th with 10 points after 15 matches.
  • CA Penarol sit 4th with 27 points from 15 matches.
  • Our algorithm prediction: CA Penarol to win with probability 61%.
  • Head-to-head history favors CA Penarol, who have won 5 of the last 6 meetings. CA River Plate have one win, while 0 matches ended in draws.
Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards
Home team Away team
Probability %
1
X
2
Pred
Correct
Avg.g
Coef.
Score.
Live coef.
Weather
favorite match
00:30

2025-02-24

CA River Plate vs CA Penarol - Prediction & Odds

CA River Plate
CA River Plate
CA Penarol
CA Penarol
2025-02-24 00:30
16
23
61
2
2 - 1
2 - 1
2.50
1.43
FT
1-1 0-1
-
weather
29℃～30℃
STANDINGS UP TO 24/02/2025
Apertura PTS
GP W D L GF GA +/-
01 Liverpool URU Liverpool URU
32 15 9 5 1 22 9 13
02 Nacional Montevideo Nacional Montevideo
31 15 9 4 2 35 16 19
03 CA Juventud CA Juventud
30 15 9 3 3 23 15 8
04 CA Penarol CA Penarol
27 15 8 3 4 21 17 4
05 Defensor Sporting Montevideo Defensor Sporting Montevideo
24 15 7 3 5 17 12 5
06 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo
23 15 6 5 4 14 10 4
07 Boston River Boston River
22 15 6 4 5 16 17 -1
08 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo
21 15 5 6 4 15 16 -1
09 Plaza Colonia Plaza Colonia
19 15 5 4 6 13 13 0
10 Montevideo City Torque Montevideo City Torque
17 15 4 5 6 16 22 -6
11 Club Atletico Progreso Club Atletico Progreso
15 15 3 6 6 17 27 -10
12 Cerro Montevideo Cerro Montevideo
14 15 3 6 6 13 20 -7
13 Danubio FC Danubio FC
12 15 1 9 5 12 17 -5
14 Wanderers FC Wanderers FC
12 15 2 6 7 12 17 -5
15 Miramar Misiones FC Miramar Misiones FC
12 15 3 3 9 16 24 -8
16 CA River Plate CA River Plate
10 15 2 4 9 10 20 -10
Clausura PTS
GP W D L GF GA +/-
01 CA Penarol CA Penarol
35 15 11 2 2 30 12 18
02 Nacional Montevideo Nacional Montevideo
27 15 8 6 1 25 11 14
03 Montevideo City Torque Montevideo City Torque
27 15 8 3 4 28 17 11
04 Boston River Boston River
26 15 6 8 1 26 10 16
05 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo
25 15 7 4 4 19 14 5
06 Liverpool URU Liverpool URU
25 15 7 4 4 19 16 3
07 Cerro Montevideo Cerro Montevideo
24 15 7 3 5 13 13 0
08 Defensor Sporting Montevideo Defensor Sporting Montevideo
23 15 7 2 6 13 16 -3
09 Danubio FC Danubio FC
21 15 6 3 6 18 13 5
10 Club Atletico Progreso Club Atletico Progreso
18 15 5 3 7 17 23 -6
11 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo
17 15 4 5 6 14 22 -8
12 CA Juventud CA Juventud
16 15 4 4 7 8 13 -5
13 CA River Plate CA River Plate
14 15 3 5 7 12 18 -6
14 Miramar Misiones FC Miramar Misiones FC
13 15 3 4 8 17 26 -9
15 Plaza Colonia Plaza Colonia
8 15 2 2 11 9 26 -17
16 Wanderers FC Wanderers FC
7 15 1 4 10 7 25 -18
Torneo Intermedio Group A PTS
GP W D L GF GA +/-
01 CA Penarol CA Penarol
16 7 5 1 1 15 5 10
02 Defensor Sporting Montevideo Defensor Sporting Montevideo
14 7 4 2 1 12 10 2
03 Wanderers FC Wanderers FC
12 7 3 3 1 6 5 1
04 Plaza Colonia Plaza Colonia
8 7 1 5 1 6 7 -1
05 Liverpool URU Liverpool URU
8 7 2 2 3 10 12 -2
06 Cerro Montevideo Cerro Montevideo
8 7 2 2 3 7 9 -2
07 CA River Plate CA River Plate
5 7 1 2 4 6 10 -4
08 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo
3 7 0 3 4 7 11 -4
Torneo Intermedio Group B PTS
GP W D L GF GA +/-
01 Nacional Montevideo Nacional Montevideo
21 7 7 0 0 16 6 10
02 CA Juventud CA Juventud
15 7 5 0 2 14 11 3
03 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo
13 7 4 1 2 11 6 5
04 Danubio FC Danubio FC
10 7 3 1 3 11 11 0
05 Boston River Boston River
7 7 2 1 4 8 12 -4
06 Club Atletico Progreso Club Atletico Progreso
6 7 2 0 5 4 10 -6
07 Montevideo City Torque Montevideo City Torque
5 7 1 2 4 10 12 -2
08 Miramar Misiones FC Miramar Misiones FC
4 7 1 1 5 2 8 -6
Head To Head
03/11/2024 22:30
CA River Plate CA River Plate
0 - 1
CA Penarol CA Penarol
URU D1
14/07/2024 18:00
CA River Plate CA River Plate
1 - 3
CA Penarol CA Penarol
URU D1
29/04/2024 23:00
CA Penarol CA Penarol
3 - 0
CA River Plate CA River Plate
URU D1
22/10/2023 19:00
CA River Plate CA River Plate
0 - 3
CA Penarol CA Penarol
URU D1
18/06/2023 18:30
CA Penarol CA Penarol
1 - 3
CA River Plate CA River Plate
URU D1
18/03/2023 22:30
CA Penarol CA Penarol
1 - 0
CA River Plate CA River Plate
URU D1
CA River Plate
1
17%
Draw
0
0%
CA Penarol
5
83%
CA River Plate CA River Plate Last 6 matches
17/02/2025 00:45
Montevideo City Torque 2 - 1 CA River Plate URU D1
08/02/2025 22:30
CA River Plate 0 - 1 Defensor Sporting Montevideo URU D1
03/02/2025 22:30
Cerro Montevideo 1 - 1 CA River Plate URU D1
01/12/2024 12:45
Racing Club Montevideo 2 - 0 CA River Plate URU D1
26/11/2024 12:45
CA River Plate 1 - 0 Cerro Montevideo URU D1
19/11/2024 19:30
Rampla Juniors FC 0 - 3 CA River Plate URU D1
Win
33%
Draw
17%
Lost
50%
Last 6 matches CA Penarol CA Penarol
15/02/2025 22:30
CA Penarol 1 - 1 Boston River URU D1
09/02/2025 22:30
Nacional Montevideo 1 - 1 CA Penarol URU D1
01/02/2025 23:00
Club Atletico Progreso 1 - 3 CA Penarol URU D1
26/01/2025 23:30
Nacional Montevideo 2 - 1 CA Penarol Uruguay SC
21/01/2025 00:00
Nacional Montevideo 3 - 1 CA Penarol INT CF
17/01/2025 01:00
CA Penarol 0 - 1 San Lorenzo INT CF
Win
17%
Draw
33%
Lost
50%
Overall Home/Away
Full time First half Second half
All leagues Uruguay Primera Divisi...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games
CA River Plate
CA River Plate
245
 CA Penarol
CA Penarol
300
Goals
Scored
124
Avg. per game
0.51
Conceded
143
Avg. per game
0.58
Scored
176
Avg. per game
0.59
Conceded
128
Avg. per game
0.43
Scored a goal
In last 6 matches
YesNo
5 (83%)1 (17%)
In last 6 matches
NoYes
1 (17%)5 (83%)
In last 245 matches
YesNo
91 (37%)154 (63%)
In last 245 matches
NoYes
129 (43%)171 (57%)
CA River Plate

CA River Plate

Recent matches

CA Penarol

CA Penarol

Under /Over

(64%)29 16(36%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(73%)33 12(27%)

Under /Over

(29%)13 32(71%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(27%)12 33(73%)

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(31%)14 31(69%)

/Yes

(47%)21 24(53%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(47%)21 24(53%)
GOALS BY TIME PERIOD
CA River Plate CA River Plate
CA Penarol CA Penarol
Shots
CA River Plate
CA River Plate
Total shots
7.50 avg / game
Blocked
0 total
Avg. —
CA Penarol
CA Penarol
Total shots
8.87 avg / game
Blocked
81 total
Avg. 2.89
CA River Plate CA River Plate Pass CA Penarol CA Penarol
Total passes
2603
Avg. 289 / game
Accurate
—
Ball possession
49%
Total passes
14455
Avg. 329 / game
Accurate
66%
Ball possession
54%
TOTAL ATTACKS
CA River Plate
CA River Plate
21993
Avg. 89.77 / game
 CA Penarol
CA Penarol
27284
Avg. 90.95 / game
DANGEROUS ATTACKS
CA River Plate
CA River Plate
14310
Avg. 58.41 / game
 CA Penarol
CA Penarol
17169
Avg. 57.23 / game
OTHERS
CA River Plate
CA River Plate
245
Played games
CA Penarol
CA Penarol
300
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
0.27
65
Clean sheets
134
0.45
4.49
1099
Corners
1369
4.56
0.73
178
Throw-ins
472
1.57
0.12
30
Offsides
88
0.29
2.10
514
GK saves
424
1.41
CA River Plate
CA River Plate
DISCIPLINARY
CA Penarol
CA Penarol
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
2.58
632
Yellow card
608
2.03
0.15
37
Red card
29
0.10
1.03
252
Fouls
638
2.13
0.44
109
Tackles
725
2.42
NEXT MATCHES
08/01
Tacuarembo Tacuarembo
VS
CA River Plate CA River Plate
URU
NEXT MATCHES
08/01
CA Penarol CA Penarol
VS
Cerro Largo Cerro Largo
URU

How We Build the CA River Plate vs CA Penarol Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for CA River Plate vs CA Penarol on 24 February 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Uruguay Primera Division fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

CA River Plate vs CA Penarol Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess CA River Plate's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against CA Penarol's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Uruguay Primera Division Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Uruguay Primera Division standings and the Uruguay Primera Division form table to understand exactly where CA River Plate and CA Penarol sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Uruguay Primera Division predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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