CA Penarol vs Nacional Montevideo: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 01 April

CA Penarol

D L D W D

2nd place in Autumn

2 - 0

01/04/2023 15:00

Nacional Montevideo

L D W W W

4th place in Autumn

Uruguay Primera Division

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for CA Penarol vs Nacional Montevideo on 01 April 2023 (kick-off: 15:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full CA Penarol vs Nacional Montevideo preview before placing your bet.

CA Penarol are currently 2nd with 25 points after 15 matches.
Nacional Montevideo sit 4th with 24 points from 15 matches.
Head-to-head history favors CA Penarol, who have won 2 of the last 6 meetings. Nacional Montevideo have one win, while 3 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

STANDINGS UP TO 01/04/2023

Autumn	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Liverpool URU	35	15	11	2	2	23	8	15
02 CA Penarol	25	15	6	7	2	19	13	6
03 Racing Club Montevideo	25	15	7	4	4	16	13	3
04 Nacional Montevideo	24	15	6	6	3	20	17	3
05 Danubio FC	22	15	6	4	5	15	14	1
06 Defensor Sporting Montevideo	21	15	6	3	6	19	13	6
07 Torque	21	15	6	3	6	21	20	1
08 Boston River	20	15	6	2	7	17	16	1
09 Plaza Colonia	19	15	4	7	4	13	15	-2
10 CA River Plate	19	15	5	4	6	9	14	-5
11 Deportivo Maldonado	18	15	5	3	7	14	19	-5
12 Cerro Largo	17	15	4	5	6	14	17	-3
13 Centro Atletico Fenix	16	15	3	7	5	11	15	-4
14 Cerro Montevideo	15	15	3	6	6	12	15	-3
15 Wanderers FC	15	15	4	3	8	13	21	-8
16 La Luz	13	15	3	4	8	13	19	-6

Torneo Intermedio Group A	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Defensor Sporting Montevideo	14	7	4	2	1	11	5	6
02 Wanderers FC	12	7	3	3	1	10	6	4
03 Danubio FC	11	7	3	2	2	6	4	2
04 CA Penarol	10	7	3	1	3	9	9	0
05 Boston River	9	7	3	0	4	8	7	1
06 CA River Plate	9	7	2	3	2	5	7	-2
07 Torque	8	7	2	2	3	8	8	0
08 La Luz	4	7	1	1	5	6	17	-11

Torneo Intermedio Group B	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Liverpool URU	16	7	5	1	1	15	8	7
02 Cerro Montevideo	12	7	3	3	1	6	4	2
03 Nacional Montevideo	11	7	3	2	2	12	8	4
04 Racing Club Montevideo	10	7	3	1	3	12	12	0
05 Centro Atletico Fenix	9	7	2	3	2	7	5	2
06 Cerro Largo	8	7	2	2	3	8	9	-1
07 Deportivo Maldonado	5	7	1	2	4	7	13	-6
08 Plaza Colonia	4	7	0	4	3	9	17	-8

League	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 CA Penarol	34	15	10	4	1	25	11	14
02 Nacional Montevideo	29	15	8	5	2	28	11	17
03 Defensor Sporting Montevideo	25	15	6	7	2	27	14	13
04 Cerro Largo	25	15	6	7	2	13	10	3
05 Liverpool URU	23	15	6	5	4	24	19	5
06 Wanderers FC	23	15	6	5	4	16	12	4
07 CA River Plate	20	15	5	5	5	17	19	-2
08 Deportivo Maldonado	20	15	5	5	5	18	23	-5
09 La Luz	19	15	5	4	6	23	27	-4
10 Cerro Montevideo	16	15	3	7	5	13	16	-3
11 Plaza Colonia	16	15	4	4	7	15	25	-10
12 Danubio FC	15	15	3	6	6	20	19	1
13 Racing Club Montevideo	15	15	3	6	6	13	17	-4
14 Torque	14	15	3	5	7	15	24	-9
15 Boston River	12	15	2	6	7	15	23	-8
16 Centro Atletico Fenix	12	15	3	3	9	11	23	-12

Head To Head

23/01/2023 19:30

Nacional Montevideo

2 - 2

CA Penarol

INT CF

04/09/2022 14:30

Nacional Montevideo

3 - 1

CA Penarol

URU D1

27/02/2022 16:00

CA Penarol

1 - 0

Nacional Montevideo

URU D1

26/01/2022 18:00

CA Penarol

1 - 0

Nacional Montevideo

INT CF

22/01/2022 18:00

Nacional Montevideo

0 - 0

CA Penarol

INT CF

31/10/2021 15:00

CA Penarol

0 - 0

Nacional Montevideo

URU D1

CA Penarol

33%

Draw

50%

Nacional Montevideo

17%

CA Penarol Last 6 matches

18/03/2023 18:30

CA Penarol 1 - 0 CA River Plate URU D1

12/03/2023 19:00

CA Penarol 2 - 2 Torque URU D1

07/03/2023 20:00

CA River Plate 0 - 4 CA Penarol CON CSA

05/03/2023 16:00

CA Penarol 2 - 1 Deportivo Maldonado URU D1

25/02/2023 19:00

Defensor Sporting Montevideo 2 - 2 CA Penarol URU D1

19/02/2023 20:00

CA Penarol 1 - 0 Boston River URU D1

Win

67%

Draw

33%

Lost

Last 6 matches Nacional Montevideo

18/03/2023 16:00

Deportivo Maldonado 0 - 0 Nacional Montevideo URU D1

11/03/2023 18:30

Nacional Montevideo 3 - 1 Boston River URU D1

04/03/2023 16:00

Cerro Montevideo 2 - 2 Nacional Montevideo URU D1

26/02/2023 19:00

Nacional Montevideo 3 - 1 Racing Club Montevideo URU D1

18/02/2023 18:45

Plaza Colonia 2 - 1 Nacional Montevideo URU D1

10/02/2023 19:00

Nacional Montevideo 0 - 0 Cerro Largo URU D1

Win

33%

Draw

50%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Uruguay Primera Divisi...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

265

Avg. per game

0.88

Conceded

124

Avg. per game

0.41

Scored

274

Avg. per game

0.91

Conceded

161

Avg. per game

0.54

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

180 (60%)120 (40%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

183 (61%)117 (39%)

CA Penarol

Recent matches

Nacional Montevideo

Under /Over

(73%)33 12(27%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(67%)30 15(33%)

Under /Over

(24%)11 34(76%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

Under /Over

(31%)14 31(69%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

/Yes

(44%)20 25(56%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(53%)24 21(47%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

CA Penarol

Nacional Montevideo

Shots

CA Penarol

Total shots

8.86 avg / game

Blocked

81 total

Avg. 2.89

Nacional Montevideo

Total shots

8.96 avg / game

Blocked

76 total

Avg. 2.92

CA Penarol Pass Nacional Montevideo

Total passes

14455

Avg. 329 / game

Accurate

66%

Ball possession

54%

Total passes

15669

Avg. 348 / game

Accurate

73%

Ball possession

53%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

CA Penarol

300

Played games

Nacional Montevideo

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.45

135

Clean sheets

119

0.40

4.57

1370

Corners

1351

4.50

1.57

472

Throw-ins

312

1.04

0.29

Offsides

0.26

1.41

424

GK saves

447

1.49

CA Penarol

DISCIPLINARY

Nacional Montevideo

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.03

609

704

2.35

0.10

0.14

2.13

638

Fouls

636

2.12

2.42

725

Tackles

727

2.42

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

NEXT MATCHES

08/02

Nacional Montevideo

Club Atletico Progreso

URU

How We Build the CA Penarol vs Nacional Montevideo Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for CA Penarol vs Nacional Montevideo on 01 April 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Uruguay Primera Division fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

CA Penarol vs Nacional Montevideo Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess CA Penarol's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Nacional Montevideo's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Uruguay Primera Division Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Uruguay Primera Division standings and the Uruguay Primera Division form table to understand exactly where CA Penarol and Nacional Montevideo sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Uruguay Primera Division predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

Explore More Uruguay Primera Division Predictions

Find every upcoming Uruguay Primera Division fixtures and predictions for this matchday, or browse all football predictions for today across every major league on Betiball.com.

View More View Less