CA Penarol vs Nacional Montevideo: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 01 February

Prediction Match Centre

CA Penarol

No standing data

0-0

Nacional Montevideo
Win Probability 39%

01/02/2026 19:00

Nacional Montevideo

No standing data

Uruguay Super Cup

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for CA Penarol vs Nacional Montevideo on 01 February 2026 (kick-off: 19:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full CA Penarol vs Nacional Montevideo preview before placing your bet.

CA Penarol will face Nacional Montevideo in Uruguay Super Cup on February 1, 2026 at 19:00.
Current model prediction leans green with a projected score of 1 - 1 and average coefficient 2.18.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

19:00

2026-02-01

CA Penarol vs Nacional Montevideo - Prediction & Odds

CA Penarol

Nacional Montevideo

2026-02-01 19:00

STANDINGS UP TO 01/02/2026

The standings compare the rankings (Rank-XH) of CA Penarol and Nacional Montevideo in the Uruguay Super Cup football standings for the 2026 season, updated before kickoff and immediately after the match ends.

Head To Head

30/11/2025 15:30

Nacional Montevideo

0 - 0

CA Penarol

URU D1

23/11/2025 15:45

CA Penarol

2 - 2

Nacional Montevideo

URU D1

09/08/2025 14:00

CA Penarol

3 - 0

Nacional Montevideo

URU D1

06/07/2025 14:00

Nacional Montevideo

0 - 0

CA Penarol

URU D1

09/02/2025 18:30

Nacional Montevideo

1 - 1

CA Penarol

URU D1

26/01/2025 19:30

Nacional Montevideo

2 - 1

CA Penarol

Uruguay SC

Nacional Montevideo

33%

Draw

67%

CA Penarol

CA Penarol Last 6 matches

23/01/2026 19:30

CA Penarol 2 - 2 Boston River

UCL

21/01/2026 20:00

CA Penarol 1 - 1 Colo Colo

INT CF

19/01/2026 20:30

CA Penarol 1 - 0 Racing Club Montevideo

UCL

17/01/2026 21:15

CA Penarol 0 - 0 River Plate

INT CF

12/01/2026 20:30

CA Penarol 0 - 0 Central Espanol

UCL

30/11/2025 15:30

Nacional Montevideo 0 - 0 CA Penarol

URU D1

Win

17%

Draw

83%

Lost

Last 6 matches Nacional Montevideo

24/01/2026 20:00

Nacional Montevideo 1 - 0 D. Concepcion

INT CF

22/01/2026 19:30

Nacional Montevideo 1 - 1 Club Atletico Progreso

UCL

17/01/2026 19:00

Nacional Montevideo 1 - 1 Cerro Largo

UCL

13/01/2026 20:30

Nacional Montevideo 0 - 0 Deportivo Maldonado

UCL

30/11/2025 15:30

Nacional Montevideo 0 - 0 CA Penarol

URU D1

23/11/2025 15:45

CA Penarol 2 - 2 Nacional Montevideo

URU D1

Win

17%

Draw

83%

Lost

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Uruguay Super Cup

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

CA Penarol

Nacional Montevideo

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.61

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.35

Scored

Avg. per game

0.70

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.70

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 31 matches

YesNo

14 (45%)17 (55%)

In last 31 matches

NoYes

13 (43%)17 (57%)

CA Penarol

Recent matches

Nacional Montevideo

Under /Over

(68%)21 10(32%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(70%)21 9(30%)

Under /Over

(26%)8 23(74%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(33%)10 20(67%)

Under /Over

(23%)7 24(77%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(43%)13 17(57%)

/Yes

(52%)16 15(48%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(53%)16 14(47%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

CA Penarol

Nacional Montevideo

Shots

CA Penarol

Total shots

6.93 avg / game

Blocked

22 total

Avg. 3.67

Nacional Montevideo

Total shots

7.48 avg / game

Blocked

14 total

Avg. 2.33

CA Penarol Pass Nacional Montevideo

Total passes

1985

Avg. 284 / game

Accurate

63%

Ball possession

52%

Total passes

1683

Avg. 281 / game

Accurate

71%

Ball possession

51%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

CA Penarol

Played games

Nacional Montevideo

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.32

Clean sheets

0.33

2.87

Corners

126

4.20

5.19

161

Throw-ins

126

4.20

0.48

Offsides

0.07

0.48

GK saves

0.83

CA Penarol

DISCIPLINARY

Nacional Montevideo

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.58

1.63

0.13

0.23

2.42

Fouls

2.03

2.55

Tackles

1.80

NEXT MATCHES

07/12

Racing Club Montevideo

NEXT MATCHES

Club Atletico Progreso

How We Build the CA Penarol vs Nacional Montevideo Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for CA Penarol vs Nacional Montevideo on 01 February 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Uruguay Super Cup fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

CA Penarol vs Nacional Montevideo Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess CA Penarol's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Nacional Montevideo's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Uruguay Super Cup Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Uruguay Super Cup standings and the Uruguay Super Cup form table to understand exactly where CA Penarol and Nacional Montevideo sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Uruguay Super Cup predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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