CA Penarol vs Nacional Montevideo: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 09 August

CA Penarol

W W W W W

4th place in Apertura

3-0

09/08/2025 14:00

Nacional Montevideo

W W W W W

2nd place in Apertura

Uruguay Primera Division

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for CA Penarol vs Nacional Montevideo on 09 August 2025 (kick-off: 14:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full CA Penarol vs Nacional Montevideo preview before placing your bet.

CA Penarol are currently 4th with 27 points after 15 matches.
Nacional Montevideo sit 2nd with 31 points from 15 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: CA Penarol to win with probability 38%.
Head-to-head history favors Nacional Montevideo, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. CA Penarol have no wins, while 3 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

14:00

2025-08-09

CA Penarol vs Nacional Montevideo - Prediction & Odds

CA Penarol

Nacional Montevideo

2025-08-09 14:00

STANDINGS UP TO 09/08/2025

Apertura	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Liverpool URU	32	15	9	5	1	22	9	13
02 Nacional Montevideo	31	15	9	4	2	35	16	19
03 CA Juventud	30	15	9	3	3	23	15	8
04 CA Penarol	27	15	8	3	4	21	17	4
05 Defensor Sporting Montevideo	24	15	7	3	5	17	12	5
06 Racing Club Montevideo	23	15	6	5	4	14	10	4
07 Boston River	22	15	6	4	5	16	17	-1
08 Cerro Largo	21	15	5	6	4	15	16	-1
09 Plaza Colonia	19	15	5	4	6	13	13	0
10 Montevideo City Torque	17	15	4	5	6	16	22	-6
11 Club Atletico Progreso	15	15	3	6	6	17	27	-10
12 Cerro Montevideo	14	15	3	6	6	13	20	-7
13 Danubio FC	12	15	1	9	5	12	17	-5
14 Wanderers FC	12	15	2	6	7	12	17	-5
15 Miramar Misiones FC	12	15	3	3	9	16	24	-8
16 CA River Plate	10	15	2	4	9	10	20	-10

Clausura	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 CA Penarol	35	15	11	2	2	30	12	18
02 Nacional Montevideo	27	15	8	6	1	25	11	14
03 Montevideo City Torque	27	15	8	3	4	28	17	11
04 Boston River	26	15	6	8	1	26	10	16
05 Cerro Largo	25	15	7	4	4	19	14	5
06 Liverpool URU	25	15	7	4	4	19	16	3
07 Cerro Montevideo	24	15	7	3	5	13	13	0
08 Defensor Sporting Montevideo	23	15	7	2	6	13	16	-3
09 Danubio FC	21	15	6	3	6	18	13	5
10 Club Atletico Progreso	18	15	5	3	7	17	23	-6
11 Racing Club Montevideo	17	15	4	5	6	14	22	-8
12 CA Juventud	16	15	4	4	7	8	13	-5
13 CA River Plate	14	15	3	5	7	12	18	-6
14 Miramar Misiones FC	13	15	3	4	8	17	26	-9
15 Plaza Colonia	8	15	2	2	11	9	26	-17
16 Wanderers FC	7	15	1	4	10	7	25	-18

Torneo Intermedio Group A	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 CA Penarol	16	7	5	1	1	15	5	10
02 Defensor Sporting Montevideo	14	7	4	2	1	12	10	2
03 Wanderers FC	12	7	3	3	1	6	5	1
04 Plaza Colonia	8	7	1	5	1	6	7	-1
05 Liverpool URU	8	7	2	2	3	10	12	-2
06 Cerro Montevideo	8	7	2	2	3	7	9	-2
07 CA River Plate	5	7	1	2	4	6	10	-4
08 Cerro Largo	3	7	0	3	4	7	11	-4

Torneo Intermedio Group B	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Nacional Montevideo	21	7	7	0	0	16	6	10
02 CA Juventud	15	7	5	0	2	14	11	3
03 Racing Club Montevideo	13	7	4	1	2	11	6	5
04 Danubio FC	10	7	3	1	3	11	11	0
05 Boston River	7	7	2	1	4	8	12	-4
06 Club Atletico Progreso	6	7	2	0	5	4	10	-6
07 Montevideo City Torque	5	7	1	2	4	10	12	-2
08 Miramar Misiones FC	4	7	1	1	5	2	8	-6

Head To Head

06/07/2025 14:00

Nacional Montevideo

0 - 0

CA Penarol

URU D1

09/02/2025 18:30

Nacional Montevideo

1 - 1

CA Penarol

URU D1

26/01/2025 19:30

Nacional Montevideo

2 - 1

CA Penarol

Uruguay SC

20/01/2025 20:00

Nacional Montevideo

3 - 1

CA Penarol

INT CF

06/10/2024 15:00

Nacional Montevideo

2 - 1

CA Penarol

URU D1

04/08/2024 14:00

Nacional Montevideo

1 - 1

CA Penarol

URU D1

CA Penarol

Draw

50%

Nacional Montevideo

50%

CA Penarol Last 6 matches

01/08/2025 19:00

CA Penarol 2 - 1 Club Atletico Progreso URU D1

06/07/2025 14:00

Nacional Montevideo 0 - 0 CA Penarol URU D1

28/06/2025 14:00

CA Penarol 2 - 0 Cerro Montevideo URU D1

22/06/2025 16:30

CA Penarol 2 - 0 Wanderers FC URU D1

19/06/2025 14:00

Liverpool URU 3 - 2 CA Penarol URU D1

15/06/2025 14:00

CA River Plate 1 - 3 CA Penarol URU D1

Win

67%

Draw

17%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Nacional Montevideo

06/07/2025 14:00

Nacional Montevideo 0 - 0 CA Penarol URU D1

29/06/2025 17:00

Nacional Montevideo 3 - 2 Danubio FC URU D1

21/06/2025 15:30

Miramar Misiones FC 0 - 2 Nacional Montevideo URU D1

18/06/2025 19:30

Nacional Montevideo 4 - 1 CA Juventud URU D1

14/06/2025 16:30

Racing Club Montevideo 1 - 2 Nacional Montevideo URU D1

08/06/2025 17:00

Nacional Montevideo 2 - 1 Boston River URU D1

Win

83%

Draw

17%

Lost

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Uruguay Primera Divisi...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

264

Avg. per game

0.88

Conceded

125

Avg. per game

0.42

Scored

274

Avg. per game

0.91

Conceded

161

Avg. per game

0.54

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

180 (60%)120 (40%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

183 (61%)117 (39%)

CA Penarol

Recent matches

Nacional Montevideo

Under /Over

(73%)33 12(27%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(67%)30 15(33%)

Under /Over

(27%)12 33(73%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

Under /Over

(31%)14 31(69%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

/Yes

(47%)21 24(53%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(53%)24 21(47%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

CA Penarol

Nacional Montevideo

Shots

CA Penarol

Total shots

8.87 avg / game

Blocked

81 total

Avg. 2.89

Nacional Montevideo

Total shots

8.96 avg / game

Blocked

76 total

Avg. 2.92

CA Penarol Pass Nacional Montevideo

Total passes

14455

Avg. 329 / game

Accurate

66%

Ball possession

54%

Total passes

15669

Avg. 348 / game

Accurate

73%

Ball possession

53%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

CA Penarol

300

Played games

Nacional Montevideo

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.45

134

Clean sheets

119

0.40

4.56

1369

Corners

1351

4.50

1.57

472

Throw-ins

312

1.04

0.29

Offsides

0.26

1.41

424

GK saves

447

1.49

CA Penarol

DISCIPLINARY

Nacional Montevideo

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.03

608

704

2.35

0.10

0.14

2.13

638

Fouls

636

2.12

2.42

725

Tackles

727

2.42

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

Club Atletico Progreso

URU

How We Build the CA Penarol vs Nacional Montevideo Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for CA Penarol vs Nacional Montevideo on 09 August 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Uruguay Primera Division fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

CA Penarol vs Nacional Montevideo Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess CA Penarol's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Nacional Montevideo's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Uruguay Primera Division Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Uruguay Primera Division standings and the Uruguay Primera Division form table to understand exactly where CA Penarol and Nacional Montevideo sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Uruguay Primera Division predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

Explore More Uruguay Primera Division Predictions

Find every upcoming Uruguay Primera Division fixtures and predictions for this matchday, or browse all football predictions for today across every major league on Betiball.com.

View More View Less