CA Penarol vs Defensor Sporting Montevideo Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – November 02

CA Penarol

W W W W W

4th place in Apertura

2-1

02/11/2025 15:00

Defensor Sporting Montevideo

D W L W L

5th place in Apertura

Uruguay Primera Division

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for CA Penarol vs Defensor Sporting Montevideo on November 02, 2025 (kick-off: 15:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full CA Penarol vs Defensor Sporting Montevideo preview before placing for you.

CA Penarol are currently 4th with 27 points after 15 matches.
Defensor Sporting Montevideo sit 5th with 24 points from 15 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: CA Penarol to win with probability 63%.
Head-to-head history favors CA Penarol, who have won 6 of the last 6 meetings. Defensor Sporting Montevideo have no wins, while 0 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

15:00

2025-11-02

CA Penarol vs Defensor Sporting Montevideo - Prediction & Odds

CA Penarol

Defensor Sporting Montevideo

2025-11-02 15:00

STANDINGS UP TO 02/11/2025

Apertura	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Liverpool URU	32	15	9	5	1	22	9	13
02 Nacional Montevideo	31	15	9	4	2	35	16	19
03 CA Juventud	30	15	9	3	3	23	15	8
04 CA Penarol	27	15	8	3	4	21	17	4
05 Defensor Sporting Montevideo	24	15	7	3	5	17	12	5
06 Racing Club Montevideo	23	15	6	5	4	14	10	4
07 Boston River	22	15	6	4	5	16	17	-1
08 Cerro Largo	21	15	5	6	4	15	16	-1
09 Plaza Colonia	19	15	5	4	6	13	13	0
10 Montevideo City Torque	17	15	4	5	6	16	22	-6
11 Club Atletico Progreso	15	15	3	6	6	17	27	-10
12 Cerro Montevideo	14	15	3	6	6	13	20	-7
13 Danubio FC	12	15	1	9	5	12	17	-5
14 Wanderers FC	12	15	2	6	7	12	17	-5
15 Miramar Misiones FC	12	15	3	3	9	16	24	-8
16 CA River Plate	10	15	2	4	9	10	20	-10

Clausura	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 CA Penarol	35	15	11	2	2	30	12	18
02 Nacional Montevideo	27	15	8	6	1	25	11	14
03 Montevideo City Torque	27	15	8	3	4	28	17	11
04 Boston River	26	15	6	8	1	26	10	16
05 Cerro Largo	25	15	7	4	4	19	14	5
06 Liverpool URU	25	15	7	4	4	19	16	3
07 Cerro Montevideo	24	15	7	3	5	13	13	0
08 Defensor Sporting Montevideo	23	15	7	2	6	13	16	-3
09 Danubio FC	21	15	6	3	6	18	13	5
10 Club Atletico Progreso	18	15	5	3	7	17	23	-6
11 Racing Club Montevideo	17	15	4	5	6	14	22	-8
12 CA Juventud	16	15	4	4	7	8	13	-5
13 CA River Plate	14	15	3	5	7	12	18	-6
14 Miramar Misiones FC	13	15	3	4	8	17	26	-9
15 Plaza Colonia	8	15	2	2	11	9	26	-17
16 Wanderers FC	7	15	1	4	10	7	25	-18

Torneo Intermedio Group A	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 CA Penarol	16	7	5	1	1	15	5	10
02 Defensor Sporting Montevideo	14	7	4	2	1	12	10	2
03 Wanderers FC	12	7	3	3	1	6	5	1
04 Plaza Colonia	8	7	1	5	1	6	7	-1
05 Liverpool URU	8	7	2	2	3	10	12	-2
06 Cerro Montevideo	8	7	2	2	3	7	9	-2
07 CA River Plate	5	7	1	2	4	6	10	-4
08 Cerro Largo	3	7	0	3	4	7	11	-4

Torneo Intermedio Group B	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Nacional Montevideo	21	7	7	0	0	16	6	10
02 CA Juventud	15	7	5	0	2	14	11	3
03 Racing Club Montevideo	13	7	4	1	2	11	6	5
04 Danubio FC	10	7	3	1	3	11	11	0
05 Boston River	7	7	2	1	4	8	12	-4
06 Club Atletico Progreso	6	7	2	0	5	4	10	-6
07 Montevideo City Torque	5	7	1	2	4	10	12	-2
08 Miramar Misiones FC	4	7	1	1	5	2	8	-6

Head To Head

15/10/2025 17:00

Defensor Sporting Montevideo

0 - 2

CA Penarol

U Cup

07/06/2025 16:00

CA Penarol

3 - 0

Defensor Sporting Montevideo

URU D1

02/05/2025 17:30

Defensor Sporting Montevideo

0 - 1

CA Penarol

URU D1

17/11/2024 14:30

CA Penarol

2 - 0

Defensor Sporting Montevideo

URU D1

27/07/2024 13:30

CA Penarol

1 - 0

Defensor Sporting Montevideo

URU D1

18/05/2024 14:00

Defensor Sporting Montevideo

0 - 2

CA Penarol

URU D1

CA Penarol

100%

Draw

Defensor Sporting Montevideo

CA Penarol Last 6 matches

29/10/2025 16:30

CA Penarol 2 - 0 Plaza Colonia U Cup

25/10/2025 12:00

Cerro Montevideo 2 - 0 CA Penarol URU D1

19/10/2025 14:30

CA Penarol 3 - 0 Wanderers FC URU D1

15/10/2025 17:00

Defensor Sporting Montevideo 0 - 2 CA Penarol U Cup

11/10/2025 14:00

Miramar Misiones FC 2 - 2 CA Penarol URU D1

05/10/2025 14:00

CA Penarol 2 - 0 Danubio FC URU D1

Win

67%

Draw

17%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Defensor Sporting Montevideo

24/10/2025 15:30

Defensor Sporting Montevideo 0 - 1 Montevideo City Torque URU D1

19/10/2025 11:30

Club Atletico Progreso 2 - 3 Defensor Sporting Montevideo URU D1

15/10/2025 17:00

Defensor Sporting Montevideo 0 - 2 CA Penarol U Cup

11/10/2025 16:30

Cerro Montevideo 1 - 0 Defensor Sporting Montevideo URU D1

06/10/2025 15:00

Defensor Sporting Montevideo 2 - 1 Wanderers FC URU D1

02/10/2025 16:30

Defensor Sporting Montevideo 2 - 0 Central Espanol U Cup

Win

50%

Draw

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Uruguay Primera Divisi...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

CA Penarol

168

Defensor Sporting Montevideo

138

Goals

Scored

151

Avg. per game

0.90

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.36

Scored

113

Avg. per game

0.82

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.64

Scored a goal

In last 6 home matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 home matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 168 home matches

YesNo

103 (61%)65 (39%)

In last 168 home matches

NoYes

82 (59%)56 (41%)

CA Penarol

Recent matches

Defensor Sporting Montevideo

Under /Over

(78%)35 10(22%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(71%)32 13(29%)

Under /Over

(31%)14 31(69%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(29%)13 32(71%)

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(40%)18 27(60%)

/Yes

(47%)21 24(53%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(49%)22 23(51%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

CA Penarol

Defensor Sporting Montevideo

Shots

CA Penarol

Total shots

9.19 avg / game

Blocked

46 total

Avg. 3.29

Defensor Sporting Montevideo

Total shots

9.35 avg / game

Blocked

12 total

Avg. 4.00

CA Penarol Pass Defensor Sporting Montevideo

Total passes

7933

Avg. 361 / game

Accurate

69%

Ball possession

54%

Total passes

1236

Avg. 412 / game

Accurate

73%

Ball possession

53%

TOTAL ATTACKS

CA Penarol

15528

Avg. 92.43 / game

Defensor Sporting Montevideo

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

Defensor Sporting Montevideo

8257

Avg. 59.83 / game

OTHERS

CA Penarol

168

Played games

Defensor Sporting Montevideo

138

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.46

Clean sheets

0.34

4.63

778

Corners

624

4.52

1.65

278

Throw-ins

0.22

0.34

Offsides

0.12

1.09

183

GK saves

144

1.04

CA Penarol

DISCIPLINARY

Defensor Sporting Montevideo

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.85

311

320

2.32

0.09

0.13

1.96

330

Fouls

0.49

2.18

367

Tackles

0.38

NEXT MATCHES

08/08

Montevideo City Torque

CA Penarol

URU

NEXT MATCHES

08/09

Defensor Sporting Montevideo

Wanderers FC

URU

How We Build the CA Penarol vs Defensor Sporting Montevideo Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for CA Penarol vs Defensor Sporting Montevideo on 02 November 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Uruguay Primera Division fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

CA Penarol vs Defensor Sporting Montevideo Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess CA Penarol's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Defensor Sporting Montevideo's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Uruguay Primera Division Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Uruguay Primera Division standings and the Uruguay Primera Division form table to understand exactly where CA Penarol and Defensor Sporting Montevideo sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Uruguay Primera Division predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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