CA Penarol vs Defensor Sporting Montevideo: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 17 November

CA Penarol

W W W W W

1st place in Autumn

2-0

17/11/2024 17:30

Defensor Sporting Montevideo

D W W L L

7th place in Autumn

Uruguay Primera Division

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for CA Penarol vs Defensor Sporting Montevideo on 17 November 2024 (kick-off: 17:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full CA Penarol vs Defensor Sporting Montevideo preview before placing your bet.

CA Penarol are currently 1st with 38 points after 15 matches.
Defensor Sporting Montevideo sit 7th with 20 points from 15 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: CA Penarol to win with probability 61%.
Head-to-head history favors CA Penarol, who have won 5 of the last 6 meetings. Defensor Sporting Montevideo have no wins, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

17:30

2024-11-17

CA Penarol vs Defensor Sporting Montevideo - Prediction & Odds

CA Penarol

Defensor Sporting Montevideo

2024-11-17 17:30

STANDINGS UP TO 17/11/2024

Autumn	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 CA Penarol	38	15	12	2	1	32	5	27
02 Nacional Montevideo	36	15	11	3	1	37	11	26
03 Racing Club Montevideo	27	15	7	6	2	16	10	6
04 Boston River	26	15	8	2	5	19	15	4
05 Danubio FC	25	15	6	7	2	14	7	7
06 Cerro Largo	22	15	6	4	5	15	11	4
07 Defensor Sporting Montevideo	20	15	5	5	5	17	17	0
08 Miramar Misiones FC	19	15	4	7	4	11	15	-4
09 Liverpool URU	18	15	4	6	5	15	16	-1
10 CA River Plate	18	15	5	3	7	15	20	-5
11 Wanderers FC	17	15	4	5	6	15	20	-5
12 Rampla Juniors FC	16	15	4	4	7	12	19	-7
13 Centro Atletico Fenix	14	15	4	2	9	14	28	-14
14 Cerro Montevideo	12	15	2	6	7	9	20	-11
15 Deportivo Maldonado	9	15	2	3	10	12	24	-12
16 Club Atletico Progreso	8	15	1	5	9	9	24	-15

Torneo Intermedio Group A	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 CA Penarol	14	7	4	2	1	10	5	5
02 Wanderers FC	13	7	4	1	2	11	9	2
03 Defensor Sporting Montevideo	11	7	3	2	2	7	5	2
04 Centro Atletico Fenix	10	7	3	1	3	10	9	1
05 CA River Plate	8	7	2	2	3	8	9	-1
06 Club Atletico Progreso	8	7	2	2	3	8	11	-3
07 Racing Club Montevideo	6	7	1	3	3	8	10	-2
08 Deportivo Maldonado	6	7	1	3	3	5	9	-4

Torneo Intermedio Group B	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Nacional Montevideo	16	7	5	1	1	18	5	13
02 Danubio FC	14	7	4	2	1	11	11	0
03 Cerro Largo	11	7	3	2	2	6	7	-1
04 Cerro Montevideo	10	7	3	1	3	8	5	3
05 Miramar Misiones FC	10	7	3	1	3	7	10	-3
06 Rampla Juniors FC	8	7	2	2	3	8	12	-4
07 Boston River	7	7	2	1	4	6	8	-2
08 Liverpool URU	3	7	1	0	6	4	10	-6

League	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 CA Penarol	41	15	13	2	0	31	7	24
02 Nacional Montevideo	34	15	10	4	1	31	16	15
03 Defensor Sporting Montevideo	28	15	8	4	3	31	17	14
04 Boston River	27	15	8	3	4	21	17	4
05 Club Atletico Progreso	24	15	7	3	5	25	25	0
06 Cerro Largo	21	15	6	3	6	16	16	0
07 Racing Club Montevideo	19	15	5	4	6	22	22	0
08 Liverpool URU	18	15	4	6	5	22	24	-2
09 Wanderers FC	18	15	5	3	7	15	20	-5
10 Cerro Montevideo	17	15	4	5	6	19	25	-6
11 Deportivo Maldonado	15	15	4	3	8	14	19	-5
12 Rampla Juniors FC	15	15	4	3	8	15	27	-12
13 CA River Plate	14	15	3	5	7	20	25	-5
14 Danubio FC	14	15	3	5	7	13	19	-6
15 Centro Atletico Fenix	13	15	3	4	8	11	17	-6
16 Miramar Misiones FC	11	15	2	5	8	18	28	-10

Head To Head

27/07/2024 16:30

CA Penarol

1 - 0

Defensor Sporting Montevideo

URU D1

18/05/2024 17:00

Defensor Sporting Montevideo

0 - 2

CA Penarol

URU D1

07/10/2023 17:30

CA Penarol

2 - 1

Defensor Sporting Montevideo

URU D1

23/07/2023 14:00

CA Penarol

2 - 1

Defensor Sporting Montevideo

URU D1

25/02/2023 19:00

Defensor Sporting Montevideo

2 - 2

CA Penarol

URU D1

07/08/2022 17:30

Defensor Sporting Montevideo

2 - 3

CA Penarol

URU D1

CA Penarol

83%

Draw

17%

Defensor Sporting Montevideo

CA Penarol Last 6 matches

14/11/2024 18:30

Wanderers FC 0 - 2 CA Penarol URU D1

09/11/2024 18:00

CA Penarol 2 - 0 Liverpool URU URU D1

03/11/2024 18:30

CA River Plate 0 - 1 CA Penarol URU D1

30/10/2024 20:30

CA Penarol 3 - 1 Botafogo RJ CON CLA

23/10/2024 20:40

Botafogo RJ 5 - 0 CA Penarol CON CLA

19/10/2024 18:30

CA Penarol 2 - 0 Boston River URU D1

Win

83%

Draw

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Defensor Sporting Montevideo

13/11/2024 20:30

Defensor Sporting Montevideo 3 - 0 Club Atletico Progreso URU D1

10/11/2024 18:00

Defensor Sporting Montevideo 1 - 0 Centro Atletico Fenix URU D1

04/11/2024 18:30

Wanderers FC 1 - 1 Defensor Sporting Montevideo URU D1

31/10/2024 19:30

Defensor Sporting Montevideo 6 - 0 Ferro Carril U Cup

24/10/2024 15:00

Defensor Sporting Montevideo 1 - 0 Racing Club Montevideo U Cup

21/10/2024 18:00

Defensor Sporting Montevideo 2 - 1 Liverpool URU URU D1

Win

83%

Draw

17%

Lost

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Uruguay Primera Divisi...

Played games

CA Penarol

166

Defensor Sporting Montevideo

137

Goals

Scored

256

Avg. per game

1.54

Conceded

125

Avg. per game

0.75

Scored

187

Avg. per game

1.36

Conceded

152

Avg. per game

1.11

Scored a goal

In last 6 home matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 home matches

NoYes

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 166 home matches

YesNo

128 (77%)38 (23%)

In last 166 home matches

NoYes

103 (75%)34 (25%)

CA Penarol

Recent matches

Defensor Sporting Montevideo

Under /Over

(78%)35 10(22%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(71%)32 13(29%)

Under /Over

(29%)13 32(71%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(27%)12 33(73%)

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

/Yes

(44%)20 25(56%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(49%)22 23(51%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

CA Penarol

Defensor Sporting Montevideo

Shots

CA Penarol

Total shots

9.17 avg / game

Blocked

46 total

Avg. 3.29

Defensor Sporting Montevideo

Total shots

9.35 avg / game

Blocked

12 total

Avg. 4.00

CA Penarol Pass Defensor Sporting Montevideo

Total passes

7933

Avg. 361 / game

Accurate

69%

Ball possession

54%

Total passes

1236

Avg. 412 / game

Accurate

73%

Ball possession

53%

TOTAL ATTACKS

CA Penarol

15339

Avg. 92.40 / game

Defensor Sporting Montevideo

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

Defensor Sporting Montevideo

8189

Avg. 59.77 / game

OTHERS

CA Penarol

166

Played games

Defensor Sporting Montevideo

137

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.46

Clean sheets

0.34

4.63

769

Corners

619

4.52

1.67

278

Throw-ins

0.22

0.34

Offsides

0.12

1.10

183

GK saves

144

1.05

CA Penarol

DISCIPLINARY

Defensor Sporting Montevideo

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.86

308

317

2.31

0.09

0.13

1.99

330

Fouls

0.49

2.21

367

Tackles

0.39

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

Defensor Sporting Montevideo

Cerro Montevideo

URU

How We Build the CA Penarol vs Defensor Sporting Montevideo Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for CA Penarol vs Defensor Sporting Montevideo on 17 November 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Uruguay Primera Division fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

CA Penarol vs Defensor Sporting Montevideo Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess CA Penarol's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Defensor Sporting Montevideo's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Uruguay Primera Division Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Uruguay Primera Division standings and the Uruguay Primera Division form table to understand exactly where CA Penarol and Defensor Sporting Montevideo sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Uruguay Primera Division predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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