CA Penarol vs Defensor Sporting Montevideo: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 04 May

CA Penarol

W L D L D

4th place in Apertura

1-1

04/05/2026 18:30

Defensor Sporting Montevideo

L W D W D

8th place in Apertura

Uruguay Primera Division

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for CA Penarol vs Defensor Sporting Montevideo on 04 May 2026 (kick-off: 18:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full CA Penarol vs Defensor Sporting Montevideo preview before placing your bet.

CA Penarol are currently 4th with 27 points after 15 matches.
Defensor Sporting Montevideo sit 8th with 21 points from 15 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: CA Penarol to win with probability 52%.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

18:30

2026-05-04

CA Penarol vs Defensor Sporting Montevideo - Prediction & Odds

CA Penarol

Defensor Sporting Montevideo

2026-05-04 18:30

STANDINGS UP TO 04/05/2026

Apertura	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Racing Club Montevideo	31	15	9	4	2	23	14	9
02 Deportivo Maldonado	29	15	9	2	4	24	16	8
03 Albion FC	28	15	8	4	3	26	16	10
04 CA Penarol	27	15	8	3	4	23	16	7
05 Central Espanol	24	15	7	3	5	23	22	1
06 Montevideo City Torque	23	15	6	5	4	22	16	6
07 Nacional Montevideo	22	15	7	1	7	26	21	5
08 Defensor Sporting Montevideo	21	15	5	6	4	13	11	2
09 Liverpool URU	20	15	5	5	5	20	18	2
10 Wanderers FC	20	15	6	2	7	16	21	-5
11 Danubio FC	18	15	4	6	5	17	21	-4
12 Cerro Largo	17	15	5	2	8	16	19	-3
13 Boston River	17	15	5	2	8	14	20	-6
14 CA Juventud	15	15	4	3	8	17	22	-5
15 Club Atletico Progreso	10	15	2	4	9	12	23	-11
16 Cerro Montevideo	10	15	2	4	9	8	24	-16

Torneo Intermedio Group A	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 CA Penarol	13	6	4	1	1	9	3	6
02 Cerro Largo	11	6	3	2	1	7	2	5
03 Cerro Montevideo	9	6	3	0	3	5	8	-3
04 Liverpool URU	8	6	2	2	2	5	5	0
05 Central Espanol	8	6	2	2	2	4	4	0
06 Racing Club Montevideo	7	6	1	4	1	3	3	0
07 Boston River	5	6	1	2	3	5	9	-4
08 Defensor Sporting Montevideo	3	6	0	3	3	4	8	-4

Torneo Intermedio Group B	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Wanderers FC	12	6	3	3	0	10	4	6
02 Montevideo City Torque	12	6	4	0	2	11	9	2
03 Deportivo Maldonado	11	6	3	2	1	12	6	6
04 Nacional Montevideo	10	6	3	1	2	6	7	-1
05 CA Juventud	7	6	2	1	3	8	11	-3
06 Club Atletico Progreso	6	6	2	0	4	5	9	-4
07 Albion FC	5	6	1	2	3	4	6	-2
08 Danubio FC	3	6	0	3	3	3	7	-4
09 Unknown	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10 Unknown	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

CA Penarol Last 6 matches

19/07/2026 01:55

CA Penarol 3 - 0 Boston River Liga AUF Uruguaya

13/07/2026 04:30

Racing Club Montevideo 1 - 1 CA Penarol Liga AUF Uruguaya

08/06/2026 01:00

Cerro Montevideo 0 - 1 CA Penarol Liga AUF Uruguaya

02/06/2026 06:00

CA Penarol 0 - 1 Central Espanol Liga AUF Uruguaya

28/05/2026 07:30

CA Penarol 0 - 1 Independiente Santa Fe Copa Libertadores

25/05/2026 04:30

Defensor Sporting Montevideo 0 - 2 CA Penarol Liga AUF Uruguaya

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Defensor Sporting Montevideo

26/07/2026 04:00

Defensor Sporting Montevideo 1 - 2 Liverpool URU Liga AUF Uruguaya

14/07/2026 05:00

Cerro Largo 1 - 1 Defensor Sporting Montevideo Liga AUF Uruguaya

04/07/2026 21:00

Cruzeiro 2 - 0 Defensor Sporting Montevideo International Club Friendly

08/06/2026 04:30

Defensor Sporting Montevideo 1 - 1 Boston River Liga AUF Uruguaya

30/05/2026 20:00

Racing Club Montevideo 0 - 0 Defensor Sporting Montevideo Liga AUF Uruguaya

25/05/2026 04:30

Defensor Sporting Montevideo 0 - 2 CA Penarol Liga AUF Uruguaya

Win

Draw

50%

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Uruguay Primera Divisi...

Played games

CA Penarol

166

Defensor Sporting Montevideo

137

Goals

Scored

256

Avg. per game

1.54

Conceded

125

Avg. per game

0.75

Scored

187

Avg. per game

1.36

Conceded

152

Avg. per game

1.11

Scored a goal

In last 6 home matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 home matches

NoYes

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 166 home matches

YesNo

128 (77%)38 (23%)

In last 166 home matches

NoYes

103 (75%)34 (25%)

CA Penarol

Recent matches

Defensor Sporting Montevideo

Under /Over

(78%)35 10(22%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(71%)32 13(29%)

Under /Over

(29%)13 32(71%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(27%)12 33(73%)

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

/Yes

(44%)20 25(56%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(49%)22 23(51%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

CA Penarol

Defensor Sporting Montevideo

Shots

CA Penarol

Total shots

9.17 avg / game

Blocked

46 total

Avg. 3.29

Defensor Sporting Montevideo

Total shots

9.35 avg / game

Blocked

12 total

Avg. 4.00

CA Penarol Pass Defensor Sporting Montevideo

Total passes

7933

Avg. 361 / game

Accurate

69%

Ball possession

54%

Total passes

1236

Avg. 412 / game

Accurate

73%

Ball possession

53%

TOTAL ATTACKS

CA Penarol

15339

Avg. 92.40 / game

Defensor Sporting Montevideo

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

Defensor Sporting Montevideo

8189

Avg. 59.77 / game

OTHERS

CA Penarol

166

Played games

Defensor Sporting Montevideo

137

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.46

Clean sheets

0.34

4.63

769

Corners

619

4.52

1.67

278

Throw-ins

0.22

0.34

Offsides

0.12

1.10

183

GK saves

144

1.05

CA Penarol

DISCIPLINARY

Defensor Sporting Montevideo

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.86

308

317

2.31

0.09

0.13

1.99

330

Fouls

0.49

2.21

367

Tackles

0.39

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

Defensor Sporting Montevideo

Cerro Montevideo

URU

How We Build the CA Penarol vs Defensor Sporting Montevideo Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for CA Penarol vs Defensor Sporting Montevideo on 04 May 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Uruguay Primera Division fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

CA Penarol vs Defensor Sporting Montevideo Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess CA Penarol's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Defensor Sporting Montevideo's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Uruguay Primera Division Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Uruguay Primera Division standings and the Uruguay Primera Division form table to understand exactly where CA Penarol and Defensor Sporting Montevideo sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Uruguay Primera Division predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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