CA Penarol vs Danubio FC Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – March 07

CA Penarol

W L D L D

4th place in Apertura

1-1

07/03/2026 19:30

Danubio FC

D D D W L

11th place in Apertura

Uruguay Primera Division

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for CA Penarol vs Danubio FC on March 07, 2026 (kick-off: 19:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full CA Penarol vs Danubio FC preview before placing for you.

CA Penarol are currently 4th with 27 points after 15 matches.
Danubio FC sit 11th with 18 points from 15 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: CA Penarol to win with probability 57%.
Head-to-head history favors CA Penarol, who have won 4 of the last 6 meetings. Danubio FC have 2 wins, while 0 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

19:30

2026-03-07

CA Penarol vs Danubio FC - Prediction & Odds

CA Penarol

Danubio FC

2026-03-07 19:30

STANDINGS UP TO 07/03/2026

Apertura	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Racing Club Montevideo	31	15	9	4	2	23	14	9
02 Deportivo Maldonado	29	15	9	2	4	24	16	8
03 Albion FC	28	15	8	4	3	26	16	10
04 CA Penarol	27	15	8	3	4	23	16	7
05 Central Espanol	24	15	7	3	5	23	22	1
06 Montevideo City Torque	23	15	6	5	4	22	16	6
07 Nacional Montevideo	22	15	7	1	7	26	21	5
08 Defensor Sporting Montevideo	21	15	5	6	4	13	11	2
09 Liverpool URU	20	15	5	5	5	20	18	2
10 Wanderers FC	20	15	6	2	7	16	21	-5
11 Danubio FC	18	15	4	6	5	17	21	-4
12 Cerro Largo	17	15	5	2	8	16	19	-3
13 Boston River	17	15	5	2	8	14	20	-6
14 CA Juventud	15	15	4	3	8	17	22	-5
15 Club Atletico Progreso	10	15	2	4	9	12	23	-11
16 Cerro Montevideo	10	15	2	4	9	8	24	-16

Torneo Intermedio Group A	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 CA Penarol	16	7	5	1	1	12	3	9
02 Cerro Largo	11	7	3	2	2	7	5	2
03 Racing Club Montevideo	10	7	2	4	1	4	3	1
04 Liverpool URU	9	7	2	3	2	5	5	0
05 Central Espanol	9	7	2	3	2	4	4	0
06 Cerro Montevideo	9	7	3	0	4	6	10	-4
07 Defensor Sporting Montevideo	6	7	1	3	3	6	9	-3
08 Boston River	5	7	1	2	4	5	10	-5

Torneo Intermedio Group B	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Wanderers FC	15	7	4	3	0	12	4	8
02 Nacional Montevideo	13	7	4	1	2	8	8	0
03 Deportivo Maldonado	12	7	3	3	1	12	6	6
04 Montevideo City Torque	12	7	4	0	3	11	11	0
05 CA Juventud	8	7	2	2	3	8	11	-3
06 Albion FC	6	7	1	3	3	6	8	-2
07 Club Atletico Progreso	6	7	2	0	5	6	11	-5
08 Danubio FC	4	7	0	4	3	5	9	-4
09 Unknown	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10 Unknown	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Head To Head

05/10/2025 17:00

CA Penarol

2 - 0

Danubio FC

URU D1

05/04/2025 15:00

Danubio FC

0 - 1

CA Penarol

URU D1

16/10/2024 14:00

Danubio FC

0 - 1

CA Penarol

URU D1

14/04/2024 17:00

CA Penarol

2 - 0

Danubio FC

URU D1

19/11/2023 15:30

Danubio FC

2 - 1

CA Penarol

URU D1

08/07/2023 14:00

Danubio FC

1 - 0

CA Penarol

URU D1

CA Penarol

67%

Draw

Danubio FC

33%

CA Penarol Last 6 matches

01/03/2026 18:30

Nacional Montevideo 0 - 1 CA Penarol URU D1

22/02/2026 19:30

CA Penarol 2 - 1 Deportivo Maldonado URU D1

15/02/2026 19:30

Central Espanol 2 - 1 CA Penarol URU D1

07/02/2026 19:30

CA Penarol 3 - 1 Montevideo City Torque URU D1

01/02/2026 19:00

CA Penarol 0 - 0 Nacional Montevideo Uruguay SC

23/01/2026 19:30

CA Penarol 2 - 2 Boston River UCL

Win

50%

Draw

33%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Danubio FC

28/02/2026 16:00

Danubio FC 2 - 2 Club Atletico Progreso URU D1

21/02/2026 08:45

Racing Club Montevideo 4 - 0 Danubio FC URU D1

15/02/2026 16:00

Danubio FC 2 - 0 Boston River URU D1

09/02/2026 19:00

Cerro Montevideo 0 - 1 Danubio FC URU D1

12/01/2026 18:00

Boston River 1 - 0 Danubio FC UCL

08/11/2025 15:30

Danubio FC 2 - 0 Plaza Colonia URU D1

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Uruguay Primera Divisi...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

265

Avg. per game

0.88

Conceded

124

Avg. per game

0.41

Scored

135

Avg. per game

0.55

Conceded

151

Avg. per game

0.61

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

0 (0%)6 (100%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

180 (60%)120 (40%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

101 (41%)145 (59%)

CA Penarol

Recent matches

Danubio FC

Under /Over

(73%)33 12(27%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(69%)31 14(31%)

Under /Over

(24%)11 34(76%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(33%)15 30(67%)

Under /Over

(31%)14 31(69%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

/Yes

(44%)20 25(56%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(49%)22 23(51%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

CA Penarol

Danubio FC

Shots

CA Penarol

Total shots

8.86 avg / game

Blocked

81 total

Avg. 2.89

Danubio FC

Total shots

7.81 avg / game

Blocked

22 total

Avg. 3.67

CA Penarol Pass Danubio FC

Total passes

14455

Avg. 329 / game

Accurate

66%

Ball possession

54%

Total passes

4822

Avg. 344 / game

Accurate

61%

Ball possession

50%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

CA Penarol

300

Played games

Danubio FC

246

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.45

135

Clean sheets

0.35

4.57

1370

Corners

1105

4.49

1.57

472

Throw-ins

0.15

0.29

Offsides

0.09

1.41

424

GK saves

359

1.46

CA Penarol

DISCIPLINARY

Danubio FC

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.03

609

573

2.33

0.10

0.16

2.13

638

Fouls

200

0.81

2.42

725

Tackles

237

0.96

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

How We Build the CA Penarol vs Danubio FC Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for CA Penarol vs Danubio FC on 07 March 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Uruguay Primera Division fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

CA Penarol vs Danubio FC Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess CA Penarol's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Danubio FC's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Uruguay Primera Division Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Uruguay Primera Division standings and the Uruguay Primera Division form table to understand exactly where CA Penarol and Danubio FC sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Uruguay Primera Division predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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