CA Juventud vs Nacional Montevideo Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – September 28

CA Juventud

W L W D W

3rd place in Apertura

0-0

28/09/2025 15:00

Nacional Montevideo

W W W W W

2nd place in Apertura

Uruguay Primera Division

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for CA Juventud vs Nacional Montevideo on September 28, 2025 (kick-off: 15:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full CA Juventud vs Nacional Montevideo preview before placing for you.

CA Juventud are currently 3rd with 30 points after 15 matches.
Nacional Montevideo sit 2nd with 31 points from 15 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Nacional Montevideo to win with probability 57%.
Head-to-head history favors Nacional Montevideo, who have won 5 of the last 6 meetings. CA Juventud have one win, while 0 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

15:00

2025-09-28

CA Juventud vs Nacional Montevideo - Prediction & Odds

CA Juventud

Nacional Montevideo

2025-09-28 15:00

STANDINGS UP TO 28/09/2025

Apertura	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Liverpool URU	32	15	9	5	1	22	9	13
02 Nacional Montevideo	31	15	9	4	2	35	16	19
03 CA Juventud	30	15	9	3	3	23	15	8
04 CA Penarol	27	15	8	3	4	21	17	4
05 Defensor Sporting Montevideo	24	15	7	3	5	17	12	5
06 Racing Club Montevideo	23	15	6	5	4	14	10	4
07 Boston River	22	15	6	4	5	16	17	-1
08 Cerro Largo	21	15	5	6	4	15	16	-1
09 Plaza Colonia	19	15	5	4	6	13	13	0
10 Montevideo City Torque	17	15	4	5	6	16	22	-6
11 Club Atletico Progreso	15	15	3	6	6	17	27	-10
12 Cerro Montevideo	14	15	3	6	6	13	20	-7
13 Danubio FC	12	15	1	9	5	12	17	-5
14 Wanderers FC	12	15	2	6	7	12	17	-5
15 Miramar Misiones FC	12	15	3	3	9	16	24	-8
16 CA River Plate	10	15	2	4	9	10	20	-10

Clausura	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 CA Penarol	35	15	11	2	2	30	12	18
02 Nacional Montevideo	27	15	8	6	1	25	11	14
03 Montevideo City Torque	27	15	8	3	4	28	17	11
04 Boston River	26	15	6	8	1	26	10	16
05 Cerro Largo	25	15	7	4	4	19	14	5
06 Liverpool URU	25	15	7	4	4	19	16	3
07 Cerro Montevideo	24	15	7	3	5	13	13	0
08 Defensor Sporting Montevideo	23	15	7	2	6	13	16	-3
09 Danubio FC	21	15	6	3	6	18	13	5
10 Club Atletico Progreso	18	15	5	3	7	17	23	-6
11 Racing Club Montevideo	17	15	4	5	6	14	22	-8
12 CA Juventud	16	15	4	4	7	8	13	-5
13 CA River Plate	14	15	3	5	7	12	18	-6
14 Miramar Misiones FC	13	15	3	4	8	17	26	-9
15 Plaza Colonia	8	15	2	2	11	9	26	-17
16 Wanderers FC	7	15	1	4	10	7	25	-18

Torneo Intermedio Group A	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 CA Penarol	16	7	5	1	1	15	5	10
02 Defensor Sporting Montevideo	14	7	4	2	1	12	10	2
03 Wanderers FC	12	7	3	3	1	6	5	1
04 Plaza Colonia	8	7	1	5	1	6	7	-1
05 Liverpool URU	8	7	2	2	3	10	12	-2
06 Cerro Montevideo	8	7	2	2	3	7	9	-2
07 CA River Plate	5	7	1	2	4	6	10	-4
08 Cerro Largo	3	7	0	3	4	7	11	-4

Torneo Intermedio Group B	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Nacional Montevideo	21	7	7	0	0	16	6	10
02 CA Juventud	15	7	5	0	2	14	11	3
03 Racing Club Montevideo	13	7	4	1	2	11	6	5
04 Danubio FC	10	7	3	1	3	11	11	0
05 Boston River	7	7	2	1	4	8	12	-4
06 Club Atletico Progreso	6	7	2	0	5	4	10	-6
07 Montevideo City Torque	5	7	1	2	4	10	12	-2
08 Miramar Misiones FC	4	7	1	1	5	2	8	-6

Head To Head

18/06/2025 19:30

Nacional Montevideo

4 - 1

CA Juventud

URU D1

30/03/2025 14:00

Nacional Montevideo

1 - 2

CA Juventud

URU D1

05/12/2019 19:30

CA Juventud

0 - 3

Nacional Montevideo

URU D1

25/08/2019 14:00

CA Juventud

0 - 2

Nacional Montevideo

URU D1

31/05/2019 19:00

Nacional Montevideo

1 - 0

CA Juventud

URU D1

19/08/2017 14:30

Nacional Montevideo

3 - 0

CA Juventud

URU D1

CA Juventud

17%

Draw

Nacional Montevideo

83%

CA Juventud Last 6 matches

14/09/2025 12:00

CA Juventud 0 - 1 Montevideo City Torque URU D1

05/09/2025 19:00

Defensor Sporting Montevideo 1 - 0 CA Juventud URU D1

31/08/2025 14:30

CA Juventud 1 - 0 Cerro Montevideo URU D1

27/08/2025 13:00

Bella Vista 1 - 0 CA Juventud U Cup

22/08/2025 18:00

Wanderers FC 0 - 1 CA Juventud URU D1

16/08/2025 12:00

CA Juventud 2 - 1 Miramar Misiones FC URU D1

Win

50%

Draw

Lost

50%

Last 6 matches Nacional Montevideo

20/09/2025 17:30

Nacional Montevideo 3 - 1 Liverpool URU URU D1

14/09/2025 17:00

Plaza Colonia 1 - 2 Nacional Montevideo URU D1

11/09/2025 19:30

Nacional Montevideo 1 - 2 Plaza Colonia U Cup

07/09/2025 17:00

Nacional Montevideo 3 - 0 Racing Club Montevideo URU D1

30/08/2025 15:00

CA River Plate 0 - 3 Nacional Montevideo URU D1

26/08/2025 19:30

Huracan FC 1 - 2 Nacional Montevideo U Cup

Win

83%

Draw

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Uruguay Primera Divisi...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

128

Avg. per game

0.60

Conceded

140

Avg. per game

0.65

Scored

274

Avg. per game

0.91

Conceded

161

Avg. per game

0.54

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 214 matches

YesNo

98 (46%)116 (54%)

In last 214 matches

NoYes

183 (61%)117 (39%)

CA Juventud

Recent matches

Nacional Montevideo

Under /Over

(64%)29 16(36%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(67%)30 15(33%)

Under /Over

(24%)11 34(76%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(33%)15 30(67%)

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

/Yes

(56%)25 20(44%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(53%)24 21(47%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

CA Juventud

Nacional Montevideo

Shots

CA Juventud

Total shots

7.64 avg / game

Blocked

40 total

Avg. 3.33

Nacional Montevideo

Total shots

8.96 avg / game

Blocked

76 total

Avg. 2.92

CA Juventud Pass Nacional Montevideo

Total passes

4284

Avg. 357 / game

Accurate

74%

Ball possession

51%

Total passes

15669

Avg. 348 / game

Accurate

73%

Ball possession

54%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

CA Juventud

214

Played games

Nacional Montevideo

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.32

Clean sheets

119

0.40

4.03

863

Corners

1358

4.53

1.39

297

Throw-ins

312

1.04

0.10

Offsides

0.26

0.47

101

GK saves

447

1.49

CA Juventud

DISCIPLINARY

Nacional Montevideo

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.32

497

704

2.35

0.16

0.14

0.70

150

Fouls

636

2.12

0.46

Tackles

727

2.42

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

How We Build the CA Juventud vs Nacional Montevideo Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for CA Juventud vs Nacional Montevideo on 28 September 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Uruguay Primera Division fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

CA Juventud vs Nacional Montevideo Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess CA Juventud's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Nacional Montevideo's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Uruguay Primera Division Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Uruguay Primera Division standings and the Uruguay Primera Division form table to understand exactly where CA Juventud and Nacional Montevideo sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Uruguay Primera Division predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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