Burundi vs Malawi: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 14 November

Burundi

W W L L L

3rd place in Group L

0-0

14/11/2024 08:00

Malawi

L L L L L

4th place in Group L

African Nations Cup

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Burundi vs Malawi on 14 November 2024 (kick-off: 08:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Burundi vs Malawi preview before placing your bet.

Burundi are currently 3rd with 4 points after 6 matches.
Malawi sit 4th with 4 points from 6 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: a draw with probability 29%.
Head-to-head history favors Burundi, who have won 1 of the last 1 meetings. Malawi have no wins, while 0 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

08:00

2024-11-14

Burundi vs Malawi - Prediction & Odds

Burundi

Malawi

2024-11-14 08:00

STANDINGS UP TO 14/11/2024

Group L	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Senegal	16	6	5	1	0	10	1	9
02 Burkina Faso	10	6	3	1	2	10	7	3
03 Burundi	4	6	1	1	4	4	11	-7
04 Malawi	4	6	1	1	4	6	11	-5

Head To Head

05/09/2024 06:00

Malawi

2 - 3

Burundi

CAF NC

Burundi

100%

Draw

Malawi

Burundi Last 6 matches

31/10/2024 10:00

Somalia 0 - 3 Burundi CAF SC

25/10/2024 09:00

Burundi 3 - 0 Somalia CAF SC

13/10/2024 09:00

Burundi 0 - 2 Burkina Faso CAF NC

10/10/2024 12:00

Burkina Faso 4 - 1 Burundi CAF NC

09/09/2024 06:00

Burundi 0 - 1 Senegal CAF NC

05/09/2024 06:00

Malawi 2 - 3 Burundi CAF NC

Win

50%

Draw

Lost

50%

Last 6 matches Malawi

15/10/2024 06:00

Malawi 0 - 1 Senegal CAF NC

11/10/2024 12:00

Senegal 4 - 0 Malawi CAF NC

10/09/2024 12:00

Burkina Faso 3 - 1 Malawi CAF NC

05/09/2024 06:00

Malawi 2 - 3 Burundi CAF NC

10/06/2024 06:00

Equatorial Guinea 1 - 0 Malawi WCPAF

06/06/2024 06:00

Malawi 3 - 1 Sao Tome Principe WCPAF

Win

17%

Draw

Lost

83%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues African Nations Cup

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Burundi

Malawi

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.73

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.75

Scored

Avg. per game

0.49

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.63

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

0 (0%)6 (100%)

In last 52 matches

YesNo

23 (44%)29 (56%)

In last 52 matches

NoYes

27 (35%)51 (65%)

Burundi

Recent matches

Malawi

Under /Over

(64%)29 16(36%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(56%)25 20(44%)

Under /Over

(29%)13 32(71%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(24%)11 34(76%)

Under /Over

(44%)20 25(56%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(33%)15 30(67%)

/Yes

(36%)16 29(64%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(27%)12 33(73%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Burundi

Malawi

Shots

Burundi

Total shots

7.22 avg / game

Blocked

14 total

Avg. 2.00

Malawi

Total shots

8.20 avg / game

Blocked

17 total

Avg. 1.89

Burundi Pass Malawi

Total passes

2093

Avg. 233 / game

Accurate

75%

Ball possession

46%

Total passes

3912

Avg. 245 / game

Accurate

78%

Ball possession

46%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Burundi

Played games

Malawi

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.21

Clean sheets

0.37

2.65

138

Corners

242

3.10

3.46

180

Throw-ins

178

2.28

0.73

Offsides

0.62

1.40

GK saves

1.00

Burundi

DISCIPLINARY

Malawi

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.06

1.17

0.08

0.04

4.94

257

Fouls

346

4.44

1.75

Tackles

172

2.21

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Burundi vs Malawi Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Burundi vs Malawi on 14 November 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this African Nations Cup fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Burundi vs Malawi Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Burundi's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Malawi's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

African Nations Cup Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live African Nations Cup standings and the African Nations Cup form table to understand exactly where Burundi and Malawi sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our African Nations Cup predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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