Burnley vs Newcastle United: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 04 May

Burnley

D W D L L

19th place in English Premier League

1-4

04/05/2024 10:00

Newcastle United

L W W D L

7th place in English Premier League

English Premier League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Burnley vs Newcastle United on 04 May 2024 (kick-off: 10:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Burnley vs Newcastle United preview before placing your bet.

Burnley are currently 19th with 24 points after 38 matches.
Newcastle United sit 7th with 60 points from 38 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Newcastle United to win with probability 45%.
Head-to-head history favors Newcastle United, who have won 5 of the last 6 meetings. Burnley have no wins, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

10:00

2024-05-04

Burnley vs Newcastle United - Prediction & Odds

Burnley

Newcastle United

2024-05-04 10:00

STANDINGS UP TO 04/05/2024

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Manchester City	91	38	28	7	3	96	34	62
02 Arsenal	89	38	28	5	5	91	29	62
03 Liverpool	82	38	24	10	4	86	41	45
04 Aston Villa	68	38	20	8	10	76	61	15
05 Tottenham Hotspur	66	38	20	6	12	74	61	13
06 Chelsea	63	38	18	9	11	77	63	14
07 Newcastle United	60	38	18	6	14	85	62	23
08 Manchester United	60	38	18	6	14	57	58	-1
09 West Ham United	52	38	14	10	14	60	74	-14
10 Crystal Palace	49	38	13	10	15	57	58	-1
11 Brighton Hove Albion	48	38	12	12	14	55	62	-7
12 AFC Bournemouth	48	38	13	9	16	54	67	-13
13 Fulham	47	38	13	8	17	55	61	-6
14 Wolves	46	38	13	7	18	50	65	-15
15 Everton	40	38	13	9	16	40	51	-11
16 Brentford	39	38	10	9	19	56	65	-9
17 Nottingham Forest	32	38	9	9	20	49	67	-18
18 Luton Town	26	38	6	8	24	52	85	-33
19 Burnley	24	38	5	9	24	41	78	-37
20 Sheffield United	16	38	3	7	28	35	104	-69

Head To Head

30/09/2023 10:00

Newcastle United

2 - 0

Burnley

ENG PR

22/05/2022 11:00

Burnley

1 - 2

Newcastle United

ENG PR

04/12/2021 11:00

Newcastle United

1 - 0

Burnley

ENG PR

25/08/2021 14:45

Newcastle United

0 - 0

Burnley

ENG LC

11/04/2021 07:00

Burnley

1 - 2

Newcastle United

ENG PR

03/10/2020 15:00

Newcastle United

3 - 1

Burnley

ENG PR

Burnley

Draw

17%

Newcastle United

83%

Burnley Last 6 matches

20/04/2024 10:00

Sheffield United 1 - 4 Burnley ENG PR

13/04/2024 10:00

Burnley 1 - 1 Brighton Hove Albion ENG PR

06/04/2024 10:00

Everton 1 - 0 Burnley ENG PR

02/04/2024 14:45

Burnley 1 - 1 Wolves ENG PR

30/03/2024 11:00

Chelsea 2 - 2 Burnley ENG PR

16/03/2024 11:00

Burnley 2 - 1 Brentford ENG PR

Win

33%

Draw

50%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Newcastle United

24/04/2024 15:00

Crystal Palace 2 - 0 Newcastle United ENG PR

13/04/2024 07:30

Newcastle United 4 - 0 Tottenham Hotspur ENG PR

06/04/2024 10:00

Fulham 0 - 1 Newcastle United ENG PR

02/04/2024 14:30

Newcastle United 1 - 1 Everton ENG PR

30/03/2024 08:30

Newcastle United 4 - 3 West Ham United ENG PR

16/03/2024 13:30

Manchester City 2 - 0 Newcastle United ENG FAC

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues English Premier League

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Burnley

Newcastle United

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.63

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.05

Scored

Avg. per game

1.47

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.63

Scored a goal

In last 6 home matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 home matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 19 home matches

YesNo

9 (47%)10 (53%)

In last 19 home matches

NoYes

14 (74%)5 (26%)

Burnley

Recent matches

Newcastle United

Under /Over

(95%)18 1(5%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(84%)16 3(16%)

Under /Over

(58%)11 8(42%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(58%)11 8(42%)

Under /Over

(53%)10 9(47%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(58%)11 8(42%)

/Yes

(58%)11 8(42%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(58%)11 8(42%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Burnley

Newcastle United

Shots

Burnley

Total shots

13.37 avg / game

Blocked

70 total

Avg. 3.68

Newcastle United

Total shots

17.37 avg / game

Blocked

96 total

Avg. 5.05

Burnley Pass Newcastle United

Total passes

8972

Avg. 472 / game

Accurate

81%

Ball possession

51%

Total passes

9075

Avg. 478 / game

Accurate

81%

Ball possession

53%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Burnley

Played games

Newcastle United

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.05

Clean sheets

0.42

5.58

106

Corners

112

5.89

18.21

346

Throw-ins

350

18.42

1.95

Offsides

1.32

3.58

GK saves

3.05

Burnley

DISCIPLINARY

Newcastle United

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.42

1.79

0.05

0.05

10.42

198

Fouls

187

9.84

16.37

311

Tackles

326

17.16

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Burnley vs Newcastle United Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Burnley vs Newcastle United on 04 May 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this English Premier League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Burnley vs Newcastle United Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Burnley's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Newcastle United's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

English Premier League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live English Premier League standings and the English Premier League form table to understand exactly where Burnley and Newcastle United sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our English Premier League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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